Packers vs Bears Predictions: Lock in Green Bay ATS 11/17
- Chicago’s Caleb Williams has been sacked 38 times this season.
- The Packers vs Bears betting line is 5½
- Matt LaFleur’s Packers are 7-3 ATS as favorites coming off a bye.
- Get all the NFL Week 11 odds at the BetUS sportsbook
Ah, Bears vs Packers — a rivalry as old as cheese curds and brats, and every year it gets spicier. This time, we’ve got the Green Bay Packers rolling into Soldier Field as 5.5-point favorites after a well-timed bye, facing a Bears team that’s looking shakier than a Chicago deep dish after an earthquake.
The Packers have beaten the Bears 10 straight times by a touchdown or more.
The sky is falling in Chicago.
Green Bay is -5.5 this weekend…… pic.twitter.com/MXI2rLB8ny
— Paul Farrington (@paulfarrington_) November 14, 2024
Chicago’s currently on a three-game losing skid while Green Bay, rested and refocused, is looking to get back on track. If you’re considering a bet, here’s why the Packers are set to win, cover the spread and cash NFL predictions against the Bears this week.
Packers vs Bears Game Information
- Game: Green Bay Packers (6-3) vs Chicago Bears (4-5)
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
- Day/Time: Sunday, Nov. 17, 1:00 p.m. ET
- Packers vs Bears Live Stream: DAZN
Packers vs Bears Odds and Spread
Place your bets on Packers vs Bears at BetUS Sportsbook!
2 Reasons Why to Bet the Packers
1. Rested Packers vs Rusty Bears
Green Bay couldn’t have timed this bye week any better if it tried. The Packers went into their Week 10 bye at a solid 6-3, with four straight wins before a hard-fought loss to the Lions. Now they’re rested, refocused, and have their eyes set on picking up where they left off.
Statistically, Coach Matt LaFleur knows how to take advantage of the bye — the Packers have gone 7-3 against the spread (ATS) as favorites when coming off a bye with LaFleur at the helm.
On the flip side, the Bears’ post-bye season could best be described as a dumpster fire. They went into their Week 7 bye on a high at 4-2, only to lose three straight games. Not only are they losing, but they’re barely putting points on the board, with just 27 points in their last three games.
The Bears’ offense has stumbled out of the gate in every game since, with a total of 12 points scored in the first halves across those matchups. That led to Chicago making NFL news earlier this week by firing first-year offensive coordinator Shane Waldron.
You know it’s rough when the new offensive coordinator gets the pink slip just 10 weeks into the season. Rested Packers, rusty Bears? Advantage, Green Bay.
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2. The Bears’ “Offensive” Line
Chicago is allowing rookie quarterback Caleb Williams to spend more time on his back than a red light district worker. Per Packers vs Bears stats, Chicago’s offensive line has given up a staggering 38 sacks this season, the second-highest in the league. Williams, a No. 1 overall pick with high expectations, isn’t exactly thriving behind this line.
Sure, he has talented weapons in D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and running back D’Andre Swift, but it’s hard to find a rhythm when you’re constantly dodging defensive linemen. Williams has shown flashes of brilliance, but no rookie can thrive when they’re practically guaranteed to get sacked multiple times per game.
Enter the Packers’ defense. With extra prep time, they’re about to have a field day against this weak Bears line. Green Bay’s pass rushers have already proven they can disrupt offenses, and with Williams’ tendency to hold onto the ball too long, the Packers’ defensive front should have no trouble adding to that sack tally.
For those who bet online, expect some key sacks, forced errors, and maybe even a turnover or two, all of which will help Green Bay take control early and keep Chicago’s offense in check.
Betting Pick for Packers vs Bears
When you break it down, all signs point to Green Bay covering that -5.5 spread. You’ve got the Packers coming off a bye, the Bears struggling to find any offensive rhythm, and a historic advantage for Green Bay in this matchup.
Also, per Packers vs Bears betting trends, Chicago is just 8-21-1 ATS against the NFC North since 2019.
The Packers have quietly become one of the better offenses in the league this season, averaging the ninth-most points per game and scoring 24 or more in six of their last seven. Jordan Love is proving himself as a reliable QB, and this game feels like a golden opportunity for him to get more confidence on the road.
Average receiver separation on all routes and QB charted accuracy rate pic.twitter.com/vXCxx6am9Z
— Jrfortgang (@throwthedamball) November 13, 2024
Chicago’s got drama, dysfunction and desperation — not exactly the recipe for a home win, or even a close game. Green Bay’s rested, focused, and likely to keep the Bears playing catch-up. The bottom line is to take the Packers at -5.5 in your NFL picks and get ready to cash your winning ticket.
Question Of The Day
What are the NFL odds for the Packers vs Bears?
The Packers are favorites to continue dominating the Bears with the spread at -5.5 points.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets
