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Profit off Prolific Quarterback Play When the Broncos Face the Texans

The stakes are high as the Denver Broncos and Houston Texans meet in Week 13 with both teams for a playoff spot in the AFC. They each have six wins and have a small margin for error. This makes their meeting more intense, a game that should be dictated by strong quarterbacking. Houston is favored by over a field goal. But we’ll turn to the NFL prop bets in this AFC matchup.

Stroud Has Ice Cold Veins for Houston

It’s a foregone conclusion that C.J. Stroud is winning the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. It’s an easy bet online if you’re going to whale on it. What makes the newcomer special is his ability to play like a veteran: he’s calm and precise, hence why he has a 19-5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. His 1.3% interception rate leads the NFL.

Profit off Prolific Quarterback Play When the Broncos Face the Texans
Profit off Prolific Quarterback Play When the Broncos Face the Texans

Making it more impressive is how Stroud is doing it despite Houston not having any Pro Bowlers as far as targets. He’s turned Nico Collins and Tank Dell into potential 1,000-yard receivers. And against Denver, Stroud should continue to shred.

The Broncos, despite improving their defense, are still porous at stopping the pass. This team is ranked in the bottom six in both passing touchdowns (27) and net yards gained per pass attempt (6.6), defensively. Stroud should be a solid NFL pick to put up more stats.

Wilson Doing Enough for the Broncos

Stroud’s counterpart, Russell Wilson, continues to make a case as this year’s Comeback Player of the Year. Many threw him under the bus with last year’s disastrous showing. But 11 games under new coach Sean Payton and Wilson is putting up efficient stats like he was back in Seattle.

Wilson’s 103.4 passer rating is his highest since the 2020 season and he has 20 TDs against just four picks. Like Stroud, he leads the NFL in interception percent (1.3%). He’s only throwing under 200 yards per game, which is the fewest since his rookie season. But Denver is winning.

The Broncos are 4-1 against the NFL spreads (ATS) in their last five games. They’ve won five straight games with four coming against teams at .500 or better. And against Houston, a team that is the third-worst in net yards gained per pass attempt, he could just go over his average.

The totals have gone under in five of Denver’s last six games and in six of Houston’s last eight. It has trended the same way for four of Houston’s last five home games.

Broncos vs Texans Game Information

  • Game: Broncos (6-5) vs Texans (6-5)
  • Date/Time: Sunday, Dec. 3, 1 p.m. ET
  • Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
  • Broncos vs Texans Live Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Broncos vs Texans Betting Lines

 

Broncos vs Texans Game Weather Conditions

This game is played in a domed stadium.

Broncos vs Texans Game Prediction

Predicted Score: Texans 23, Broncos 20

 

Bet on Stroud and Wilson To Air it Out

As far as making a pick, we’d take the points with Denver. But the best markets here are the passing props. Bet the ‘overs’ on Stroud and Wilson, particularly in these two:

NFL Pick: C.J. Stroud (HOU) – Over 1½ TDs

NFL Pick: Russell Wilson (DEN) – Over 221½ Passing Yards

 

The Broncos have allowed at least two passing touchdowns in half of their games while the Texans have allowed over 221 passing yards in four of their six home games.

 

 

Questions Of The Day

Which team has better opportunities to be in the 2024 Super Bowl?


The current Super Bowl odds have Houston at 28-1 to win the AFC and make Super Bowl LVIII. Denver is listed at 40-1.

Which team will score more touchdowns in the game?


As the betting favorite according to the NFL lines, the Texans should be favored to score more touchdowns.

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