Raiders vs Chiefs Week 13 Prop Picks: 3 Best Bets on Black Friday

Best 3 Prop Bets for Raiders vs Chiefs on NFL Black Friday

1. Best TD Prop: Noah Gray 1+ TDs (+250)

Are we betting online on the Chiefs? Bank on their tight ends this Friday. Las Vegas has a subpar defense mainly in short-yardage situations. That means that the duo of Noah Gray and Travis Kelce can score big here – even in fantasy. Las Vegas gives up the second-most fantasy points against opposing tight ends. We’re betting on Gray to score a TD.

Signing Noah Gray long term was a big brain move from Veach.

pic.twitter.com/AYk9gxOzZU

— fatty patty (@theonlydyl_) November 23, 2024

The Chiefs’ younger TE has appeared to usurp Kelce as the team’s main red-zone weapon. He’s caught four touchdowns over the last two games. While Kelce will still be a threat, we like the NFL player props – anytime TD on Gray more. Compare his red-zone stats with Kelce.

Inside the 20, Kelce has been targeted 15 times versus just six from Gray. And yet Gray has scored three TDs versus two from Kelce. The defense will continue to key in on Kelce, who has typically had big games against the Raiders. So bet on Noah Gray to be the recipient of another red-zone TD.

Bet This Pick: Noah Gray – 1+ TDs (+290)

2. Best Player Prop: Travis Kelce 6+ Receptions

Moving to Kelce, he’s quietly having another productive season. While he’s not been the same fantasy monster as past seasons, he’s still on pace for 850+ receiving yards and 100+ receptions. Additionally, he averages nearly six receptions and over 72 yards every time he faces the Raiders. The NFL odds here are solid.

Travis Kelce is having a much better season than people are giving him credit for. pic.twitter.com/tdSHF62A53

— Farzin Vousoughian (@Farzin21) November 27, 2024

Looking at the lines, Kelce to catch 6+ passes at -150. This is almost a bargain and it’s even tempting to grab 7+ at +104 or 8+ at +152. Travis Kelce has made six or more receptions in four of his last five games against Las Vegas and in seven of his last nine. While he may not produce plenty of yards due to being a bit slower than he used to be, the hands are still there.

Gray will score the touchdown count on Kelce tol rack up receptions in your NFL predictions. He’s due for another solid outing, especially against a franchise he’s used to owning.

Bet This Pick: Travis Kelce – 6+ Receptions (-150) 

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3. Best QB Prop: Aidan O’Connell Under 212.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Raiders quarterback Aidan O’Connell returns just in time to face their toughest opponent. Per NFL news, Las Vegas QB Gardner Minshew suffered a season-ending injury last week, opening the door for O’Connell’s return.

Unlike what some optimists are saying, we’re bearish on his chances of putting up prolific stats. Yes, O’Connell balled out when he last played in Kansas City. Per Raiders vs Chiefs stats, he completed 23-of-33 passes for a touchdown, no picks, and a 101.6 passer rating in the last meeting.

“He carried himself as a starter. He carried himself as a starter when he was hurt …. [and] when he was a backup,” Antonio Pierce on Aidan O’Connell returning from a thumb injury.#Raiders pic.twitter.com/4sC4KbgsG5

— Levi Edwards (@theleviedwards) November 27, 2024

This also came against a better Chiefs defense in 2023. Kansas City ranked as the league’s second-best defense. But the Chiefs won’t get caught again. They know more about O’Connell now and are chomping at the bit to have a more dominant game after nearly losing to the three-win Panthers last week.

Sure, the Chiefs have plenty of injuries. But they still have their best players like Chris Jones up front and Justin Reid at the back. Aidan O’Connell had a thumb injury and may be a bit rusty. The Chiefs have also not allowed a QB to pass for 200+ yards in their last three home games. Bet against ‘AOC’s passing yards with your NFL picks.

Bet This Pick: Aidan O’Connell – Under (212.5) Passing Yards (-115)

Questions Of The Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.