The Las Vegas Raiders are suddenly in must-win mode after dropping two straight and falling outside of the playoff picture in the AFC. Las Vegas is 6-5 and needs to pick up some wins to get back into Wild-Card contention. Fortunately for Jon Gruden’s squad, they get the winless New York Jets this week.
New York has had its chances to win this season, dropping three one-score games in its last five. Unfortunately, last week was not one of those, as the Jets could get nothing going in a 20-3 home loss to the Miami Dolphins. They’ll take their chances against a potentially potent Raiders offense in this one, hoping to give those doing online betting a shock on Sunday afternoon.
|Game: Las Vegas (6-5) vs NY Jets (0-11)
Location: MetLife Stadium
Time: 1 p.m. ET
NFL Betting Lines
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
Moneyline: Raiders -400 | Jets +320
The Raiders looked almost the equal of the Kansas City Chiefs in their Sunday night loss two games ago, with Las Vegas only losing because of a last-minute Patrick Mahomes touchdown pass. But last week, they looked horrible in a 43-6 loss to Atlanta. Expect a bounceback, especially from Josh Jacobs, who managed just 27 rushing yards in the loss. We’d like to think the Jets would have some fight in them as well, but they didn’t show much in last week’s setback.
Pick: Raiders to win
Point Spread: Raiders -9
The NFL odds give the visiting Raiders more than a touchdown spread. It makes sense, considering the Jets are the lowest scoring team in the league with 13.8 points per game. Las Vegas is scoring almost twice that at 26.5 points per contest. New York allows almost 300 passing yards a contest, which has to have Derek Carr pretty excited to get on the field against the Jets defense.
Pick: Raiders to cover
Over/Under: 47 points
This is going to be a difficult number to get to. The Jets had a two-week stretch where they scored 27 points against New England and 28 against the Chargers, but in the four games before that and the one after it, New York has averaged 6.4 points. Unless the Jets have another breakout performance, that means the Raiders would have to score more than 40.
While Las Vegas could certainly do that, seeing the weather forecast for a day in the 40s doesn’t bode well for a score by the Raiders in the 40s. We’re going on the safe side here and assuming this won’t be a shootout.
Pick: Under 47
Final score: Raiders 27, Jets 10
Props Talk for Raiders vs. Jets
Carr and Darren Waller have been one of the more potent quarterback/tight end duos this season. In the colder weather, Carr probably won’t be looking to go deep as much, so the intermediate routes to Waller seem a little more likely. That and Jacobs running the ball against a soft Jets front seven.
Let’s take a look at some NFL betting props for the game.
Total TDs In the Game: Under 4½ +130
The oddsmakers are more confident in the Jets’ scoring ability — or a lot more confident in the Raiders’ — than we are. December games are not usually high-scoring affairs for teams from warmer climates. And the Jets struggle offensively in any climate. Keep the weather in mind when making your NFL picks.
Longest FG Scored In the Game: Under 48½ Yards -115
Another bet made with the weather in mind. While Raiders and Jets kickers have combined to go 7-of-8 from 50 yards or more this season, that was likely in much warmer weather than should be expected on Sunday. We anticipate Las Vegas getting much closer to the end zone before they have to kick anything anyway, while the Jets will likely be going for it on fourth downs from that distance if they fall behind early.
Double Result: Raiders/Raiders -155
This one seems like an easy pick if you feel that the Raiders are going to win this game. Granted, the Jets could be feisty early on and take a first-half lead, but we like Las Vegas to have the lead for much of the game, so we’ll take our chances on them having the advantage at the halftime break as well as at the end of the contest.