This Week 9 Ravens vs Colts matchup features two teams who are strong contenders for an AFC playoff spot. Right now, the Colts are at -250 to make the playoffs, while Baltimore is squarely in the playoff picture. The Ravens are coming off of a loss to the 7-0 Pittsburgh Steelers and they’ll look to bounce back on the road in Indianapolis. Lamar Jackson really struggled against the Steelers, as he completed fewer than half of his passes, threw two interceptions, and fumbled the ball twice. He finished 13 for 28 for 208 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 65 rushing yards. The Ravens lost even though they picked up more yards on the ground than the Steelers had in total.
This week has become more complicated for the Ravens as eight defensive players, including four defensive starters, were placed on the COVID-19 reserve list, which means they won’t practice for the rest of the week. However, all but CB Marlon Humphrey, who tested positive for COVID-19, may have a chance to play on Sunday if they continue to test negative between now and Sunday. The Colts handily defeated the Lions in Week 9, with a 41-21 win in Detroit. Philip Rivers threw for 262 yards, 3 touchdowns, and no interceptions in the win. RB Nyheim Hines caught two touchdown passes and Jordan Wilkins picked up 89 yards on 20 carries.
Currently, the sportsbook lists the Ravens as 2½-point favorites despite the uncertainty surrounding their defense. We’ll take a look at some props and the major online betting lines for this Week 9 matchup.
|Game: Baltimore (5-2) vs Colts (5-2)
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium
Time: 1:00 PM ET
NFL Betting Lines
|Team||Point Spread||Moneyline||Over/Under||Team Total|
Moneyline: Ravens -135 | Colts +115
The Colts are 5-2, playing at home, and the Ravens are missing multiple starters for at least practice this week. This seems like a good value for betting on the Colts, who had their best offensive game of the season against the Lions last week. Baltimore leads the league in rushing yards per game but Indianapolis has the second-best defense in the league. The Colts may not be able to completely stop Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offense, as they have faced mostly pocket passers thus far. But, they should be able to contain them enough to get a win here and improve to 4-0 at home this season.
Pick: Colts to Win
Point Spread: Ravens -2½
The Ravens have gone 3-3-1 ATS this season, while the Colts stand at 4-3 ATS. During John Harbaugh’s tenure as head coach, the Ravens have gone 1-6 ATS against the Colts. The Ravens are 0-1-1 ATS the week following ATS losses this season and they’re facing a tough test with the COVID uncertainty looming over them. The Colts have relied on their passing game and the Ravens are a top 10 passing defense who held Ben Roethlisberger to only 182 yards last week despite their loss. They outplayed the Steelers, but Jackson turned the ball over four times, including a pick-six on the first drive of the game. The Colts offensive line has been stellar, allowing the fewest sacks per game in the league, and if they can adequately protect Philip Rivers, the Colts should cover.
Pick: Colts to Cover
Over/Under: 47 points
This game features two top-five scoring defenses as the Ravens rank second and the Colts rank fifth in the league in opponent points per game. The Ravens have allowed 18.9 points per game while the Colts have given up 19.4 points per game. Both teams also have top-ten scoring offenses. The Colts offense has been clicking in recent weeks, and the point total has gone over in their last three games. Meanwhile, the O/U is 3-4 in the Ravens seven games this season, but it has gone over in the last two.
As good as these defenses have been, they’ve both been somewhat undisciplined and extended opponents’ offensive drives with penalties, ranking in the bottom third of the league in penalty yards. With the Ravens potentially missing a bunch of offensive starters and the Colts having to contend with Jackson and the Ravens rushing attack, this has the look of an over.
Pick: Over 47 points
Props for Ravens at Colts
Team to Score Longest Field Goal
Justin Tucker is perhaps the best kicker of all time and he’s hit two of his three field goals from 50 or more yards this season for the Ravens. The Colts are tied for the most field goals attempted per game in the league, with 2.6. However, they’ve only attempted 1.3 per game in their last three and rookie Rodrigo Blankenship missed two extra points last weekend, which could affect his confidence. He’s also yet to attempt a field goal from 50 or longer.
First Scoring Play
Colts Any Other Score +5000
Ravens Any Other Score +5000
This looks like a really fun one. The Colts lead the league in non-offensive touchdowns with four in their seven games this season. Meanwhile, the Ravens have managed three of their own. Lamar Jackson has been really turnover-prone lately and kicked off the Raven’s first Week 8 drive with a pick-six. The Colts caught a pick-six of their own last weekend and a few bucks on these bets could potentially spell a big return.
I like the Colts in Week 9, and this looks like some of the best value you can get for betting on them this weekend. The Ravens defense might be in disarray on Sunday if their starters on the COVID IR list aren’t able to clear protocol. Even so, they haven’t been practicing and that seems like it’d have an impact on preparation for Rivers and the Colts. I think the Colts will take an early lead and keep it throughout.