|Game: Seattle (6-1) vs Buffalo (6-2)
Location: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Time: 1:00 PM ET
The Seahawks are poised to take on the Bills on Sunday in New York State. Both teams are coming off of Week 8 victories. Russell Wilson threw four touchdown passes in the Seahawks 37-27 win against the Niners and the game certainly wasn’t as close as the score implies. The Bills eked out a win against the struggling New England Patriots. Buffalo forced a Cam Newton fumble on its own 14-yard line with 35 seconds remaining to seal a 24-21 victory. All of Buffalo’s three touchdowns came on the ground and the Bills totaled 190 rushing yards in the win.
Both the Bills and Seahawks lead their respective divisions heading into Week 9 and both teams would like to widen the gap. This certainly looks to be one of the most exciting matchups on the Week 9 slate. Currently, the sportsbook lists Seattle as 2½-point road favorites. Let’s run through some of the sports betting lines from the game and NFL props to watch out for.
Seahawks vs Bills Betting Lines
Moneyline: Seahawks -150 | Bills +130
The Seahawks are allowing the most passing yards per game in the NFL, but they’ve managed to compile a 6-1 record on the back of their offense. Their offense is averaging the most points per game in the league (34.3) and most yards per play (6.4). Buffalo’s two losses have come against Kansas City and Tennessee, who both have elite offenses, but neither has been quite as dangerous as Seattle’s.
The Seahawks have the ability to beat the Bills in the air and on the ground and it’ll be a huge challenge for the Bills to stop MVP odds frontrunner Russell Wilson. Seattle is 10-3 SU in its last 13 road games and there won’t be fans this weekend to heckle them. Josh Allen has struggled a bit lately and Buffalo’s offense hasn’t been putting many points on the board. I like the Seahawks in this one, especially with them getting S Jamal Adams back.
Pick: Seahawks to Win
Point Spread: -2½ Points
In their last five games, the Bills have gone 1-4 ATS. During this span, they’ve only managed to score 21 points per game. The Seahawks are 5-2 ATS on the season and 2-1 ATS against teams that are .500 or better. The Bills have lost their last four games ATS and it has coincided with a drop in form from QB Josh Allen.
Allen played at an MVP level through the first four games of the season, but he failed to throw a touchdown pass for the second game in a row last Sunday. In the last four games, he’s averaged only 211.5 passing yards and thrown four touchdowns along with four interceptions. He may be able to get on track against a challenged Seahawks secondary. But, with the success, Seattle found with the blitz against the Niners last week and the return of Adams, the ‘Hawks should be in good position to cover.
Pick: Seahawks to Cover
Over/Under: 54½ points
The Bills have played teams who are .500 or above five times this season and have surrendered 30.2 points per game in those games. They’ve been subpar at stopping the run, allowing 4.7 yards per attempt and 134.5 rushing yards per game. They’ll have their hands full this week as Seattle’s offense ranks first in points per game, yards per play, third in yards per game and yards per passing attempt and seventh in yards per rush attempt. On the defensive side of the ball, Seattle has been allowing a lot of points for a 6-1 team. The Seahawks have allowed their opponents to score 28.4 points per game, which ranks 24th in the league. The total has gone over in five of Buffalo’s eight games this season and five of Seattle’s seven. I’d take it here too.
Props Talk for Seahawks vs Bills
Will There Be a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown?
The implied probability of a non-offensive touchdown from this set of odds is 27.8%. Seattle does force turnovers at a decently high rate and Buffalo has been turnover prone at times, so it’s not completely out of the question. But neither team has scored a defensive or special teams touchdown yet this season. Between the two teams, Buffalo has yet to allow a non-offensive touchdown and the Seahawks allowed a pick six in Week 2. It looks like a non-offensive TD is unlikely.
Total TDs Scored Over/Under 6½
The Seahawks attempt the least number of field goals (0.7) and score the most touchdowns per game (4.6) in the NFL. The Bills have scored 2.9 touchdowns per game of their own. Seattle has scored at least 27 points in every game it has played this season and has allowed at least 23 points in every game. The Bills have been inconsistent on offense in recent weeks. They weren’t able to manage to score a touchdown against the Jets in Week 7 but followed it up with three touchdowns against the Patriots in Week 8. Even a couple of Bill’s touchdowns could be sufficient to seal the over here.
Team to Score Longest TD
Russell Wilson is on pace to set an NFL record for most touchdown passes in a single season and he threw four TDs last weekend. Josh Allen has only averaged a touchdown per game in his last four games. Wilson has thrown 11 TD passes of 15 yards or more this season and has thrown one such touchdown in each game he’s played. The Seahawks have scored eight touchdowns of 25 yards or more and the Bills have only scored two. I wouldn’t bet against another long touchdown from the Seahawks here.