The 1-0 Miami Dolphins head North for an AFC East rivalry game with the 0-1 New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football. The Dolphins are currently -155 betting favorites, with the spread at -3 (-110) and a full-game total of 46.5.
With a mountain of props for this primetime showdown. I couldn’t choose just one. Therefore, I put together a same game parlay to maximize our profits on Sunday night.
Let’s get into the NFL lines and make some money to end our betting weekend.
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 52+ Rushing Yards (-121)
After the NFL odds listed Stevenson’s rushing prop around 60 yards last week, 52 yards feels like a steal. At least it would if it weren’t for Stevenson’s 25-yard performance in Week 1 against the Eagles. He was far more effective in the passing game, with 64 yards on six catches.
But I’m not down on Stevenson for his weak season opener, even if the sportsbooks are. The Eagles, after all, boast one of the scariest defenses in the NFL. He’s a high-quality back and worthy of our NFL picks for SNF.
The Dolphins, meanwhile, allowed the Los Angeles Charges to score 34 points and ran for an astonishing 233 yards in Week 1. After the first week of games, the Dolphins have the worst EPA allowed per run and are 27th in yards after contact.
After a costly fumble last week, I expect Ezekial Elliot to see less work in Bill Belichick’s offense. That leaves more work for Stevenson, who ran for 42 and 25 yards against the Dolphins last year in two games. He was sharing the load with Damien Harris then, though.
With his success in the passing game, I’m considering a bet online for Stevenson to go over his receiving yards total.
Mac Jones Under 242.5 Passing Yards Total (-110)
Mac Jones went off in Week 1 with 316 yards and three touchdowns in the Patriots’ loss to the Eagles. You might think that it’s a good bet for Jones to go over his Vegas NFL odds for passing yards after such a performance.
But, because the Eagles shut down the Pats’ rushing game, Jones was forced to play from behind and pass more than expected.
I think the Patriots will follow what the Chargers did last week and attack Miami’s weakness at stopping the run. Justin Herbert only had 229 passing yards, and more than half came after the catch.
Expect regression and a run-heavy offense to cut down on Jones’ yardage totals on Sunday night.
Dolphins vs Patriots Game Information
- Game: Dolphins (1-0) vs. Patriots (0-4)
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
- Day/Time: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
- Dolphins vs Patriots Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
Dolphins vs Patriots Betting Lines