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Home » Bet On NFL Games 2022 » NFL Picks & Predictions » Alternate Lines & Odds for the Big Game

Alternate Lines & Odds for the Big Game

Nikki Adams by Nikki Adams
Feb 6, 2023, 8:04pm ET
in NFL Picks & Predictions
The Philadelphia Eagles mascot Swoop walks on the field before the 2023 NFL Pro Bowl Games

The Philadelphia Eagles mascot Swoop - Ethan Miller/Getty Images/AFP

The betting options for Super Bowl 57 are endless at BetUS, promising bettors an embarrassment of choices at the sportsbook, and, of these, alternative betting lines can offer some of the best angles for profit.

As the gridiron battle between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz., on Sunday fast approaches, we look at four of the best alternative Super Bowl point spreads, two for each team.

Let’s check the latest Super Bowl picks, stats, injury reports, and Super Bowl odds. We’ve got plenty of Super Bowl lines for you to consider.

Find out why these alternative point spreads stand out as we break them down below.

Super Bowl 57 Odds

  • Point Spread: Eagles -1 (-120)
  • Moneyline: Eagles -125 | Chiefs +105
  • Total: O 50½ (-110) | U 50 ½ (-110)

Get exclusive BetUS offers on betting on Super Bowl 57!

Eagles, Chiefs Evenly Matched

The Chiefs (14-3-0) and the Eagles (14-3-0) emerged as the top teams in their respective conferences and clinched the No. 1 seed as a result. Thus, it’s not surprising to see them arrive at the final stage of the playoffs with the Vince Lombardi Trophy on the line and the bragging rights that come with it.

It’s also not surprising at all to see them tipped a nose hairbreadth apart across the betting online board. Granted, the Eagles were trading as high as -2½ early on, emerging as the bookmakers’ favorites to win Super Bowl 57. But the market corrected itself quickly thereafter as betting poured in. Now, the line is delicately nestled on a 1-point spread with the Eagles to the good.

Similarly, the total has oscillated between an opening of 49½ points and a high of 52 points. In recent days, it’s trimmed down to 50½ points.

As the markets currently stack up, it’s difficult to get a proper read on this matchup. Especially as far as the point spread goes where the Eagles’ advantage is notional at best.

Here is where turning to alternative betting lines can give bettors an edge. By adjusting the lines, bettors give themselves more wiggle room to work with and increase their chances of winning.

Kansas City Chiefs Alternative Lines

  • Alternate Point Spread 1: Chiefs -2½ (+115)
  • Alternate Point Spread 2: Chiefs -3½ (+155)

In order to be successful in betting, doing something totally different and unexpected from what everybody else is doing is a strategy worth considering. In other words, when everyone zigs, you zag.

The main NFL odds currently point to a close game between the Eagles and Chiefs, suggesting that either side can win this game. However, the initial market that went to press had the Eagles favored just shy of a field goal.

Bookmakers don’t always get it right, though. Alternatively, the decision to favor the Eagles could have been a cleverly designed trap Super Bowl bet to attract bettors to Philadelphia’s side of the coin.

It’s impossible to know exactly what the markets were thinking. Nevertheless, flipping the current script by betting the alternate lines offers great value.

Let’s not forget, Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are proven champions, having led the Chiefs to Super Bowl 54 glory, beating the San Francisco 49ers 31-20. Separately, this is the first-ever trip to the Super Bowl for second-year head coach Nick Sirianni and third-year quarterback Jalen Hurts.

Tell a friend to tell a friend… WE HERE! pic.twitter.com/XsAZs49yxz

— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) February 6, 2023

Two alternate lines practically leap off the page and those are Kansas City – 2½ and -3½. The first option is the more conservative option with a juice of +115 while the second is bolder.

The first option falls into the Chiefs’ wheelhouse as per the NFL betting trends and it’s priced slightly higher than the moneyline, which is tipped at Chiefs +105 as we look at the latest odds. The Chiefs are 1-1-0 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog this season with a 3.0 winning margin on average.

The second option, Chiefs at -3½, offers even better value with a juice of +155. But It’s not a bet for the fainthearted, so don’t go betting the farm on it.

The Chiefs are 7-11-01 versus the spread through 19 games with a 7.2 winning margin on average. That yields less than a 40% covering ratio, but it’s worth noting that of these 19 games, 10 saw them win by more than 3½ points.

They’re also 4-0-1 ATS with a whopping 16.8 winning margin against non-conference opponents. In fact, this is where the Chiefs performed the best as they finished No. 1 versus the spread in non-conference matchups.

Philadelphia Eagles Alternate Lines

  • Alternate Point Spread 1: Eagles -3½ (+122)
  • Alternate Point Spread 2: Eagles -6 (+163)

For those bettors that agree with the market outlook, then the same approach applies. If you’re backing the Eagles over the Chiefs, you can find a better bang for your buck than what is being offered by the current line of Eagles -1 (-120).

Using the alternative point spreads, bettors can go back to the early line of Eagles -2½, which offers a more attractive juice of -105. But to cultivate even better betting online value, you’ll need to go further against the grain.

The first option is the alternative line that has the Eagles at -3½ and juiced to +122. This is attractive for a number of reasons, not least because the Eagles were among the better teams against the spread this season.

The Eagles arrive at this stage with a 10-9-0 ATS record and a 9.9 winning margin. As betting favorites, they went 10-8-0 ATS with a 10.8 winning margin on average. In both of these cases, the Eagles covered at just over 55%.

The quality of the Chiefs is another reason why backing the Eagles at just above a field goal is worth considering and why it might be the smarter option than going the whole hog and taking the alternative spread of Eagles -6 (+163).

Thank you for the shout for @rodneypeete9, @JalenHurts! 🙏🏾🦅
When Rodney came into the @nfl in 1989 there were only 2 active starting black qbs in the entire league out of 96🤯These 2 starting in #SuperBowlLVII is awesome! See you Sunday @Eagles #FlyEaglesFly #BlackHistoryMonth pic.twitter.com/8nhmP2qw6w

— Holly Robinson Peete 💃🏾♍️ (@hollyrpeete) February 5, 2023

It’s not often that the Chiefs are pegged as the underdogs in a game. It’s also worth noting that the Chiefs were favored to win Super Bowl LVII since the start of the season. The market turned against them only when Mahomes suffered a high ankle sprain against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Divisional Round.

Understanding the Chiefs’ quality, talent, and skill, and taking into consideration their championship pedigree, it’s hard to see them, in the event of an Eagles victory, getting blown out by Jalen Hurts and Co.

The only Super Bowl 57 scenario in which the Chiefs are likely to get blown out, by 6 ½ points or more, is if it turns into an unfair fight. Not unlike what happened in the NFC Championship game, in which the Niners saw both starting quarterback Brock Purdy (elbow) and backup Josh Johnson (concussion) succumb to injury. Nobody wants to see that happen!

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The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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Tags: FeaturedKansas City ChiefsNFL PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSuper Bowl
Nikki Adams

Nikki Adams

Nikki Adams is an experienced betting analyst, who has been producing high-quality content for several top sports sites, including SBR, Oddschecker, and now BetUS. Her most profitable sport to bet on is NFL, but she also enjoys looking for winners in NCAAF, NBA, NHL, Soccer, Tennis, and more. When she isn’t catching football or writing informative and engaging commentary, she’s working on perfecting her lasso-whip forehand (a la Rafael Nadal) or binging on reality TV.

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