Don’t know which side of the total to back in Super Bowl 57? Don’t worry, you’ve come to the right place.
Here, we break down Sunday’s Super Bowl tilt between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs from a total perspective and serve up our choice predictions and NFL picks for your consideration.
In short, we attempt to answer whether the over or the under is the best
Let’s get started.
Let’s check the latest NFL picks, stats, injury reports and odds for Eagles vs Chiefs. We’ve got plenty of NFL lines for the Super Bowl Game.
Super Bowl 57 Odds
- Point Spread: Eagles -1½ (-110)
- Moneyline: Eagles -125 | Chiefs +105
- Total: O 51 (-110) | U 51 (-110)
- Team Totals: Eagles O/U 26½ (-110) | Chiefs O/U 24½ (-110)
As we look at the latest NFL odds, the game total is projected to 51 points, up from an opening total of 49½ points two weeks ago.
The team totals are skewed toward the Eagles – a move that is In keeping with the overarching betting online odds that favor Philadelphia to lift the Vince Lombardi trophy at the expense of Kansas City. The Eagles are projected to 26½ points while the Chiefs to 24½, but both lines are juiced to -110 for the over and under.
Game Total: Over 51
The last four Super Bowls in a row saw the final score fall below the closing betting totals, but NFL betting trends don’t drive the markets and they clearly didn’t factor here as the total is above 50 points.
Quarterbacks, star players in key positions, team’s strengths in every facet of the game and coaching nous are some of the many things that will form the foundation for the odds markets. Both teams tick all of these boxes – making this about as even a Super Bowl matchup as bettors have seen in recent history.
Injuries to key players are another consideration the markets put great stock into. Once again, both of these teams have had their fair share of injury woes, adding to the feeling of parity between them.
Most notably, quarterback Jalen Hurts suffered a shoulder injury in the final weeks of the regular season and his opposite, Patrick Mahomes, sprained his ankle in the AFC Divisional Round of the playoffs. Both signal callers have had some time (Hurts more so than Mahomes) to recover, but they aren’t 100% fit. And yet, the markets, interestingly. have rolled out a total that has cracked the 50-point barrier.
That has a lot to do with their performance in the playoffs, leading their sides to the impressive victories. If that’s not a ringing endorsement of their quality, what is?
Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes wins NFL Most Valuable Player Award 🏆 threw for 5,250 yards & had 41 touchdowns #MVP #SuperBowl #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/ZTaVGzlDUq
— TooMainey Productions (@TooMainey) February 5, 2023
Recently crowned MVP Mahomes led the NFL in passing (5,250 yards) and touchdowns (41). The Chiefs were the No. 1 passing offense with 297.4 yards per game and the No.1 scoring offense with 29.2 points per game.
The Eagles finished third overall in scoring with 28.1 ppg. Their bread and butter is the run game, finishing fifth overall with 147.6 yards per game. The passing game ranked eighth with 241.5 yards per game. Hurts himself was in the MVP conversation after passing for 3,701 yards and 22 touchdowns and rushing for 760 yards and 13 scores.
JALEN HURTS TOUCHDOWN
— Barstool Philly (@BarstoolPhilly) September 11, 2022
Chiefs vs Eagles Total Prediction
While both of these quarterbacks and their respective offenses can put up points in a hurry, there’s a bigger cross section to work with where Mahomes is concerned and that has us leaning toward the Chiefs in team totals betting.
All too often, we’ve seen the Chiefs runaway with the score and Mahomes pulling off clutch plays and awe-inspiring otherworldly passes. We’ve even seen them win ugly or completely turn the tables on opponents by winning a game they probably had no business winning. We’ve also seen them win the biggest prize in the NFL, the Super Bowl.
Between that and the Chiefs’ seasonal scoring average of 29.2 ppg, taking the over 24½ feels like a lock bet.
As far as the game total is concerned, the over practically leaps off the page. Granted the Eagles’ defense allowed merely seven points in each of their playoff games against the Giants and Niners. But – let’s face it – neither Daniel Jones, Brock Purdy nor Josh Johnson come close to Mahomes. They don’t even orbit the same plane or breathe the same stratospheric oxygen that the two-time MVP winner Mahomes does.
Philadelphia hasn’t seen a quarterback of Mahomes’ ilk or one of his caliber that was in form this season. This will be a litmus test, therefore. And a chance to finally answer the question that has troubled many all season long. Is Philly really as good as its stats suggest? Or is it all just smoke and mirrors, built on the back of lesser opponents thanks to the league’s second-easiest NFL schedule?
Besides the defense, this is also going to be a huge test for Hurts and it will come on the biggest stage in the game before an international audience. That amounts to a lot of pressure, to put it mildly. Can Hurts live up to the expectations and the occasion?
All told, whichever way you are slicing this game for your NFL picks, on the moneyline and point spread, it’s bound to be a cracking game. As such, it’s more likely to deliver a high-scoring game than not and so we’re shading the over for the game picks.
- Pick: Chiefs Over 24½ (-110)
- Pick: Over 51 (-110)