The Philadelphia Eagles are the slight favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs to win Super Bowl 57. That’s the stance taken by the markets right from start and it has held firm already a week-and-a-half into the buildup to Sunday’s kickoff at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz.
The odds could still change, of course. They’re not set in stone and with four days until the Big Game, a lot can change. For now, however, Philadelphia is the 1-point favorite over Kansas City at the sportsbook powered by BetUS.
The Eagles are also favored at -125 (bet $125 to win $100) on the moneyline to beat the Chiefs, who are tipped at +105 (bet $100 to win $105), while the total is currently projected to 51 points.
When NFL odds are as tight as an accountant’s purse, it usually means one thing: The probability of either side winning is pretty close. In layman’s terms: it’s a tossup.
Have you decided how to line up your Super Bowl 57 picks? If not, read on because we’re talking about why bettors should be wary of the Eagles here. If nothing else, these betting tips are bound to be useful in one way or another.
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Super Bowl 57 Odds
- Pointspread: Eagles -1 (-120)
- Moneyline: Chiefs +105 | Eagles -125
- Total: O 51 (-110) | U 51 (-110)
Five Reasons Why Betting Eagles is a Trap
1. Philly’s Easy Sked
Everyone is high on Philadelphia after a regular-season campaign that finished with a 14-3-0 record and the No. 1 seed in the NFC. However, it’s worth noting that the Eagles had the second-easiest NFL schedule according to the NFL’s Strength of Schedule rankings. An advantage the entire NFC East benefited from this season as the Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys were tied with the league’s easiest schedule and the New York Giants were dealt the third easiest.
Why does this matter? To put it simply, they haven’t faced a team of Kansas City’s caliber yet, or a quarterback of Patrick Mahomes’ ilk and an offense quite as potent as the Chiefs’ through the 19 games played since Week 1 of the regular season. But they did last season and the Chiefs defeated them 42-30.
VOTE: What’s your early prediction for #SuperBowl57 in Arizona? #SuperBowl #ChiefsKingdom #FlyEaglesFly @azcentral @azcsports‘ prediction: https://t.co/9EsxzLm7or
How to watch: https://t.co/uiUStxtpiL
— azcentral sports (@azcsports) January 30, 2023
2. Philly Untested in the Playoffs
Not only did Philly get lucky with a soft regular-season schedule, its path to Super Bowl 57 opened up like the biblical parting of the red sea when the No. 3 seed Minnesota Vikings were dumped in the Wild Card round and the No. 2 seed San Francisco 49ers basically tapped out after hitting the bottom of the quarterback barrel.
To begin with, the Eagles were treated to the favorable matchup against the New York Giants in the Divisional Round after the G-men upset the Vikings 31-24. When all was said and done, the Eagles steamrolled their familiar foes 38-7.
Then, the San Francisco 49ers were hit with a quarterback disaster in the NFC Championship Game, turning what was supposed to be a tough ask for the Eagles into a total cakewalk as they sauntered to the 31-7 win.
First, linebacker Haason Reddick’s hit on Brock Purdy forced the rookie quarterback out of the game with an elbow injury. Then backup Josh Johnson was taken out of the game with a concussion following a brief stint. With no options left, Purdy was forced back into the game, but with a torn UCL, he was totally ineffective and the 49ers all but abandoned any notion of throwing the ball despite trailing by double digits. It was all too much to overcome.
3. Sirianni in Over His Head?
This is Nick Sirianni’s first trip to the Big Game as a head coach. The 41-year-old is in his second year at the helm of the Eagles and, arguably, off to a commendable start to his career. But it could all be too much. The occasion too big. The pressure too great. And that’s even before the big day itself.
The Super Bowl is a big deal. It’s one of the greatest sporting events on the annual calendar and the two-week buildup can be intense. It’s non-stop. The worldwide media in attendance, cameras everywhere, the constant parties, demands from all sides.
Sirianni has never been on a Super Bowl team. Not even whiffed at the big game before this. That lack of experience could be the difference maker. The same can’t be said of his opposite, Andy Reid, who is through to his third Super Bowl in the last four years and takes a 1-1 record with the Chiefs into Sunday’s game. Earlier in his career, he brought the Eagles to Super Bowl 39, where they lost 24-21 to New England.
4. Jalen Hurts’ Maiden Super Bowl
Jalen Hurts deserves all the plaudits for engineering a run to the historic showdown with Mahomes in the league’s first-ever Super Bowl to feature two Black starting quarterbacks. He is an inspiration, a leader and has the respect of his teammates and coaching staff. But just like his head coach, it’s his maiden trip to the big game and he might be in over his head, too.
In fact, the third-year quarterback is enjoying only his second postseason campaign and takes a 2-1 playoff record into Super Bowl Sunday. Last season, Hurts and the Eagles crashed out of the playoffs in a loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This season, they faced barely any resistance and reach the ultimate stage unscathed.
The same can’t be said of Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs, who won Super Bowl 54 and, importantly, know only too well what it feels like to lose the big game after falling in Super Bowl 55.
“His work ethic is unmatched..he’s a leader.”@_CeeDeeThree discusses what separated Jalen Hurts from other QBs this season on Super Bowl Live. pic.twitter.com/Q37mdIQ0ow
— NFL Network (@nflnetwork) February 8, 2023
5. Are the Eagles Really the Favorites?
Hands up if you’re going to be shocked by a Chiefs win? Put it this way, is it really going to be an “upset” if the Chiefs beat the Eagles? Surely not?
The NFL odds are cornered with Philadelphia, but that doesn’t mean that the bookmakers have it right. In fact, Kansas City was the bookmakers’ fave – along with the Buffalo Bills – to win Super Bowl 57 from the start of the season.
The main reason why they find themselves at the disadvantage here is Mahomes’ ankle injury, which he sustained during Kansas City’s opening game of the playoffs.
That said, Mahomes is in line to win his second career regular-season MVP award after leading the Chiefs to a 14-3-0 record and the No. 1 seed in the AFC. He did it while navigating the Chiefs through a much tougher schedule – the fifth toughest according to the NFL’s Strength of Schedule rankings. Plus, they had a more challenging path in the playoffs, too.
The Chiefs overcame the inspired Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20 in the Divisional Round and edged last year’s Super Bowl finalists, the Cincinnati Bengals, 23-20 in the AFC Championship Game. In both games, Mahomes battled through a high-ankle sprain to help lift his side to victory.