Super Bowl 59 Quarterback Props: Bet on Hurts’ Legs, Mahomes’ Arm

· Feb 03 - 4 minutes read

Bet Patrick Mahomes to have at least 25 completions in Super Bowl 59.
Jalen Hurts should eclipse his betting line of 9.5 carries vs Kansas City.
Make bank with our top Super Bowl 59 picks! Join with our promo code HUDDLE125.

The Super Bowl isn’t just about touchdowns and confetti — it’s about finding the right bets to cash in before the clock hits zero. And when it comes to quarterback props, the big game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles gives us prime opportunities to take advantage of trends, matchups and game flow.

Super Bowl 59 Quarterback Props: Bet on Hurts’ Legs, Mahomes’ Arm — Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs | David Eulitt/Getty Images/AFP

Jalen Hurts is ready to take off on the ground, while Patrick Mahomes is set to light up the scoreboard through the air. These two superstar QBs are built for the biggest stage, and we’re riding their best player props into the money. It’s time to break down why these NFL predictions are too good to pass up.

Top 2 NFL QB Prop Picks for Super Bowl 59

1. Jalen Hurts +9.5 Carries

If you think Hurts is gonna sit back in the pocket and play statute against the Chiefs, I’ve got a timeshare on the moon to sell you. Like the Bruce Springsteen song, Hurts was born to run. And when the stakes are high, he takes matters into his own feet and makes NFL news headlines.

Jalen Hurts now has more Super Bowl appearances than Aaron Rodgers pic.twitter.com/aJ4BhXwWwA

— Robbie Byrne (@Robertbyrne2001) January 26, 2025

Yeah, he’s averaging just 7.7 carries per game in the playoffs, but that’s because the Eagles haven’t had to put him in full-blown hero mode yet. When the Commanders pushed them in the NFC Championship, Hurts ran 10 times and moonwalked into the end zone thee times, per Chiefs vs Eagles stats.

Against the Chiefs’ aggressive pass rush? You better believe that Hurts is bolting the pocket the second he feels a hint of pressure.

Philly runs the ball more than any other team (46.4% neutral script), and Hurts accounts for a whopping 25.3% of their ground game. The Chiefs? They’ve given up 434 rushing yards to quarterbacks, seventh-most in the league. Hurts isn’t just gonna hit double-digit carries — he might hit that by the third quarter.

The man loves running, the Eagles love running, and this is the freakin’ Super Bowl. Let’s cash this NFL player prop bet of over 9.5 carries at -124.

PICK: Jalen Hurts Over 9.5 Carries (-124)

2. Patrick Mahomes Over 25 Completions

If there’s one thing you can bet on in the Super Bowl, Mahomes will throw a LOT. The Chiefs run the ball about as often as I hit the gym—which is to say, not much. Kansas City is the second-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (68.3% pass rate), and Mahomes averages 33.8 attempts per game per NFL betting tips. You do the math

The Chiefs also play fast (7th-fastest offense), meaning more snaps, dropbacks and chances for Mahomes to pick apart this Eagles defense like Siskel and Ebert. Oh, and did I mention they’re playing in a dome? No wind, no elements, just pure, unfiltered Mahomes slinging the rock all night.

Tom Brady vs Patrick Mahomes is the NFL’s MJ vs LeBron…

Except the “LeBron” in this case just basically crushed the MJ’s numbers in every single way from day one.

Mahomes GOATed and he isn’t 30 yet.

First 8 seasons for both: pic.twitter.com/5dE7NqkgZy

— Travis May (@FF_TravisM) January 27, 2025

And here’s the kicker: Vic Fangio’s defenses cannot stop Mahomes. Teams with Philadelphia’s defensive coordinator have gone 0-8 straight up against Mahomes, watching helplessly as he carves them up with a 64% completion rate and a highlight reel full of magic.

The line dropped from 25.5 to 24.5, but don’t let the movement fool you. Mahomes is still the best passer in football under a roof. This over 24.5 completions bet online looks juicy.

PICK: Patrick Mahomes Over 24.5 Completions (-114)