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Thursday Night Football Parlay Picks: Bet on Bengals +6 and These 2 Props

 

Bank on fireworks when the Cincinnati Bengals rematch the Baltimore Ravens this Thursday Night Football. The last time these teams met, we saw 79 points scored as the total easily went over. The public cued on and bet the total up to 53, which is getting out of hand. Instead of betting on a depreciating line, we’ll get creative on how to bet on a high-scoring match. Our three NFL expert picks today also include an underdog bet.

Joe Burrow #9 of the Cincinnati Bengals throws a pass in the second quarter of a game against the Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field on October 20, 2024
Joe Burrow #9 of the Cincinnati Bengals | Nick Cammett/Getty Images/AFP

Get my 3 predictions for TNF ahead, and make sure to check the Bengals vs Ravens injuries before hitting the sportsbook.

 

3 Legs to Bet for a TNF Parlay Bet

1. Bet ‘Over’ as Bengals Score on Ravens

Cincinnati will put up points on Baltimore. This one is an obvious NFL pick as the Bengals excel in passing and the Ravens give up air yards by the dozen. The Bengals just scored 41 points albeit against Las Vegas. But against Baltimore, the Bengals also score 38. Joe Burrow threw a season-high 371 yards during this game.

Baltimore can’t stop the pass. It has given up the most passing yards (280.9 per game) at 6.8 net yards per attempt. Even if Baltimore has a solid red-zone defense (ranked 16th), it is ranked third-worst in third-down conversion rate with opponents succeeding 46.2% of the time. That means Cincy will have success moving the ball.

The Bengals rank third in third-down conversion rates (46.9%) and second in red zone touchdown rate (69.2%). Joe Burrow has 20 touchdown passes against four picks. He’s completing 70.2% of his throws for a 108.1 passer rating. And he can add to this as Cincinnati will have a tall task stopping Baltimore’s offense.

As such, we can see Baltimore going up on Cincinnati. But the Bengals, as the Ravens did in the first game, can storm back via the passing game. We’re not betting online on the total. Instead, we’re betting on Cincy going over its point totals. The Bengals have scored 25+ points in five of their last eight games. Parlay the Bengals’ over.

Bet This Parlay Pick: Cincinnati Bengals Team Total Over 22.5

 

2. Both Teams Score 20+ Points

An alternative way to bet on the total is to bet on both teams to score 20+ points. The line here is a bit more juiced but it should have a higher chance of hitting. We have defenses that could get exploited in this matchup. Burrow will throw all over Baltimore and the Ravens will run all over Cincinnati. It’s our next NFL parlay pick.

These teams have consistently had elite offenses as long as Burrow and Lamar Jackson play. They’re averaging 27.3 points and 34 points, respectively, in their last three meetings. The Bengals average 332 yards while the Ravens have 446.7. And these stats include last season where Baltimore had a more dominant defense. Bet on both to score 20+.

Bet This Parlay Pick: Both Teams to Score 19.5 Points – Yes (-167)

 

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3. Bengals Cover, Take Fight to Ravens

Cincinnati will not only score against Baltimore. The Bengals will cover the spread. This could be the best NFL game prediction, especially with six points. Baltimore has won three straight against Cincinnati and is 5-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games. But Cincy is also 5-3 ATS in its last eight games a road underdog.

The Ravens are also not as prolific going against the AFC North. Since 2023, Baltimore is just 4-4 ATS in division games. In contrast, it is 13-6-1 ATS in non-division games. Jackson is 9-2 facing Cincinnati with a 100.2 passer rating. But Burrow has outdone him with a 104.1 passer rating even if he’s only 3-5 against Baltimore.

The former first-overall pick is also playing with an edge. Burrow was unamused despite a five-TD performance in a win over Las Vegas.

How this season has gone, knowing what’s ahead of us, knowing what we’re going to have to do to get back into this, one win isn’t going to make or break our season,” Burrow said. “I’m going to strive for perfection every day and every game. So, until that happens, what’s there to be happy about?

This is the type of dog we’d like to ride with. And we’d even bet Burrow and the Bengals to pull off the upset. But for this parlay, stick with the cover at +6.

Bet This Parlay Pick: Cincinnati Bengals +6

 

Question Of The Day

What is Cincinnati’s record on Thursday Night Football?


The Cincinnati Bengals are 10-8 when playing on Thursday Night Football.

 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets

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