The Tennessee Titans and Los Angeles Chargers battle in Week 15 with very little defense expected. Neither have the tools to succeed on defense, and both rank near the bottom statistically when the other team has the ball.
Let’s take a look at the props in the sportsbook to see what the best options are for those who bet online.
Odds: Titans vs Chargers Props
- Justin Herbert O/U 303.5 Passing Yards
- Derrick Henry O/U 101.5 Rushing Yards
- Austin Ekeler O/U 43.5 Receiving Yards
Scoop on Free Play from the Locker Room
Justin Herbert O/U 303.5 Passing Yards
A figure north of 300 yards is relatively high for a QB passing prop these days, but it’s a mark Herbert eclipsed in two straight games. Herbert threw 367 yards on Sunday against the Dolphins and 335 against the Raiders in Week 13.
The good news for this bet is that Herbert went over his passing yards total in both games. It’s a pleasant change after failing to cover his passing yards total in the previous seven weeks.
It’s not that he had “bad” games, just not good enough in the eyes of the bookmakers.
The Over is an attractive play here, considering the Titans have the worst passing defense in the NFL. Tennessee ranks dead last in passes allowed, 31st in opponent passing yards per game, and 24th in yards per pass.
- Pick: Justin Herbert Over 303.5 Passing Yards
Derrick Henry O/U 101.5 Rushing Yards
As the second-leading rusher in the NFL, Derrick Henry is a pretty easy guy to trust week-to-week. Even with a yardage total of 101.5, I feel good about Henry against the Chargers’ defense.
After a bit of a cold streak, Henry exploded against the Jacksonville Jaguars for 121 yards rushing and 34 yards receiving. It was his first game to eclipse the century mark since Nov. 6 and may indicate a turning of the tides for Tennessee.
Before his slump, Henry went over 100 yards in five straight games, including a 219-yard beat-down of the Houston Texans.
Considering the Chargers have the second-worst rushing defense in the league other than the Texans, this total may be about 100 yards too low.
- Pick: Derrick Henry Over 101.5 Rushing Yards
Austin Ekeler O/U 43.5 Receiving Yards
While Ekeler has been failing in his primary duties as a running back, he’s more than making up for it with his production in the passing game.
Ekeler is so much a part of the passing game in LA that he has almost as many receiving yards (623) as rushing yards (634) through 13 games.
The scales have been tilting even more toward his passing game lately. In the last three weeks, Ekeler totaled more receiving yards (59, 67, 60) than he did rushing yards (45, 35, 20).
From a betting perspective, Ekeler has gone Over his receiving yards prop in three straight games and eight times in the last 12 games.
- Pick: Austin Ekeler Over 43.5 Receiving Yards