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TNF Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer: 2 Player Props for Raiders vs Chargers

Here we go! We have reached the final month of the regular season. Week 15 of the NFL season kicks off with an interesting AFC West battle. Austin Ekeler and the Los Angeles Chargers will travel to Las Vegas to take on Davante Adams and the Raiders. Thursday Night Football has become notorious for low-scoring affairs, and this one is set up for another clunker.

The Chargers have been one of the most disappointing teams in the NFL this season and are eager to wrap up 2023. Chargers starting quarterback Justin Herbert suffered a season-ending injury to his right index finger last week and they will send Easton Stick out for his first NFL start.

TNF Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer: 2 Player Props for Raiders vs Chargers
Justin Herbert #10 of the Los Angeles Chargers -Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

Both teams have a record of 5-8 and technically have not been eliminated from playoff contention as we enter the season’s final month. Many people are calling for Chargers head coach Brandon Staley to be fired, which certainly appears to be coming at the season’s end. Los Angeles has dropped four of its last five, with its only win coming against the lowly Patriots.

The Raiders’ status under center is uncertain for Thursday as Aidan O’Connell could be benched for Jimmy Garoppolo or Brian Hoyer. This game is set up to be ugly.

With just four weeks left to play, injuries are rampant throughout the league, and this game is no exception on a short week. At the time of writing, both sides are dealing with significant injury questions coming into this matchup. The status of Raiders All-Pro running back Josh Jacobs is uncertain after he left Sunday’s game early due to a quad injury. Chargers top wide receiver Keenan Allen hasn’t practiced all week and is listed as questionable with a heel injury. The good news is we have plenty of info on every NFL team we can use with our NFL expert picks today. It’s unbelievable how quickly the NFL season flies by, so we must capitalize on every chance we have remaining.

Here is a look at the latest NFL betting lines on the total for Thursday Night Football. The current odds have the total for this showdown at just 34 points. That total suggests a sluggish showing from both offenses.

Both teams are on the opposite ends of the spectrum regarding pace. Over the last month, the Raiders’ offense has moved at the second-slowest pace. Meanwhile, the Chargers have been one of the fastest-paced offenses with new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore all season. Things could slow down with Stick at quarterback for the Chargers, but in the second half last week, the Chargers were still quickly moving even after he took over.

The Chargers have scored a grand total of 23 points over its previous three games combined. Las Vegas was shut out at home against the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday and has scored more than 18 points just twice this season. Totals of 40 or lower have gone under 79% of the time over the last twelve seasons.! An astonishing 10 of the last 11 Chargers games have gone under the total, and games in Las Vegas this season have gone under in six of seven games.

These teams have a combined 20-6 to the under. Scoring has been a premium so far in the 2023 season, and these teams are a significant reason. This season has been ugly for anyone betting on scoring markets – as we NFL player prop bettors do, especially on these two franchises.

The NFL point spread has the Raiders as 3-point favorites. The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as an underdog, and the Raiders are 4-1-1 against the spread over their last six matchups. Los Angeles could be in trouble again, having lost its last six road games against AFC West opponents.

Touchdown picks have been proving extremely difficult this season, but my goal remains the same as in September. Manage to make a profit by the end of the Super Bowl. The analysis has been spot on, but our guys just haven’t been the ones to find paydirt. If you rode the touchdown train last season, you’ll recall we had multiple weeks of over 15 units of profit. Let’s have a huge week.

As the conductor of the touchdown train, I’ve once again narrowed down the best options for anytime touchdown scorers for you here on Thursday Night Football in Week 15. Selecting touchdown picks for these two teams right now is a fool’s errand, but there are a couple of spots I like enough to do so.

Let’s get to the best NFL prop bets today for the Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers. Best of luck if you tail!

Raiders vs Chargers Best Anytime TD Scorer Bets

Davante Adams (+150)

The Chargers’ offense could be in big trouble Thursday night. Easton Stick will take the reins under center, but I don’t expect him to be in sync with his receivers with the few days to prepare because of the quick turnaround. The Raiders’ defense has been playing well since Antonio Pierce became interim head coach, ranking 13th in defensive DVOA. I’m opting for two Raiders to find the end zone Thursday night.

I wouldn’t get too excited to back the Raiders’ offense as they have gone under their team total in 11 of 13 games this season, including all but one of Aidan O’Connell’s six starts. Still, I’m confident enough in this spot. With Josh Jacobs’s status uncertain, I think there will be opportunities for the their pass catchers to be more involved in the red zone than usual.

Davante Adams has dominated the target share with O’Connell and is second in the entire NFL in red zone targets. Against the Chargers back in Week 4, Adams had eight receptions for 75 yards and had multiple scoring opportunities. The Chargers have been a pass-funnel defense all season, allowing the fifth-most yards and fourth-most touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. Adams has just one score with O’Connell chucking it to him, but this game lines up nicely for an Adams smash spot. Even if Jimmy G or Hoyer get the starting nod, I believe Adams is in for a big night.

Michael Mayer (+550)

My plan here is to cash at least one of these two picks and gamble on O’Connell having his first game with multiple passing touchdowns. Rookie tight end Michael Mayer should be more involved in the passing game with Jacobs banged up. The Chargers have allowed the fourth-most receptions and sixth-most receiving yards to tight ends this season. If Jimmy G or Hoyer are starting, I like rolling Mayer out there even more.

Las Vegas has surprisingly been throwing the ball more lately, and I think this matchup sets up well for the passing game. The Chargers will likely struggle to move the ball, and with Stick making his first NFL start, I believe Maxx Crosby will wreak havoc all night. This could lead to rare multiple-scoring opportunities for the anemic Raiders offense.

Mayer played nearly every snap last week, and he’s routinely running the third most routes on the team. When O’Connell doesn’t look to Adams, I expect him to find his big tight end.



Questions Of The Day

Will Easton Stick lead the Chargers to a win?

It is unlikely that Stcik will lead the Chargers to a road upset in his first NFL start.

Will the injury to Josh Jacobs affect the result of the game on Thursday?

If Jacobs is out on Thursday, we should expect the Raiders pass catchers to step up in his absence and lead them to a win.

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