Everyone and their grandma knows the New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers game this Thursday Night is going to be like a 1930s game: with scores under 20 points and plenty of crude play. Thus, the best NFL bets today focus on playing this potential “barnburner”. But with countless props to bet on, let’s hone in on some easy ones to cash.
Best Week 14 Thursday Night Football Props
Trubisky Will Put Up Stats
Of the quarterbacks playing this ‘TNF’, Trubisky is easier to figure out. He’s had past experience as a starter. He even made a Pro Bowl once upon a time. Now, he’s got his feet wet in Pittsburgh and should be even more confident running the offense.
— Around The NFL (@AroundTheNFL) December 6, 2023
That means he will air out that ball like the starting job is his. Pittsburgh is in a must-win mode and can’t afford a loss to New England. On top of that, the Patriots have a tough rushing defense that allows the third-fewest yards (96.7 per game) and the lowest yards per attempt (3.2).
Najee Harris, Pittsburgh’s running back, is banged up. He’s struggled to run the ball consistently. The team will depend on Trubisky to get things going, so bet online on him to be aggressive and to compile passing yards and even a pick.
- NFL Pick: Mitchell Trubisky (PIT) – Over 184½ Passing Yards
- NFL Pick: Mitchell Trubisky (PIT) – Over ½ Interceptions
Field Goals Ahoy
The Steelers and Patriots have awful offenses. But they also have clutch defenses: both are tied for sixth with red zone defense allowing just 45.7% of opponents to score a touchdown within 20 yards. Combine these two things and we will have a game where each team moves the ball but can’t quite score the six points. So they settle for field goals.
Judging where our sportsbook has lined the field goals prop, it’s a bit uneven. We will have some scoring in this game and it will come via FGs.
Steelers Via Black-and-White Style Football
Pittsburgh has always been known as a strong defensive team. Even now, the team is winning games with its defense. All seven of Pittsburgh’s wins have been by a touchdown or fewer – five were by under a TD (six points or fewer). As such, we’ll gladly take the plus NFL betting lines on Pittsburgh to win by 1-6 points.
As far as NFL picks are concerned, Pittsburgh won’t blow the Patriots out. Bill Belichick has kept his defense stout. They’re only 2-10 for the season. But seven losses have come within a touchdown. So for a game that will total only around 21 to 30 points, it’s hard to see New England getting starched, especially by Pittsburgh’s 27th-ranked home offense.
Best Patriots-Steelers Parlay
This will be a low-scoring game. We can’t emphasize it enough and even at just 30 points, it is foolhardy to recommend betting on the ‘over’. This game is going under and Pittsburgh is going to win it. However, the six-point spread is a tad too wide for such a low-scoring game. It’s better to bet Pittsburgh straight.
Same-Game Parlay: Pittsburgh Steelers ML (-275) & Under 30
Questions Of The Day
Which team will score more points in the TNF Primetime game between the Patriots and Steelers?
NFL predictions have Pittsburgh beating New England with a six-point spread. Regardless of how it does it, the Steelers should win the game.
Which prop bet offers the best value for bettors in the Patriots-Steelers TNF primetime game?
Bet on Pittsburgh to win by 1-6 points. The Steelers are unlikely to blow out the Patriots given New England’s defense.