Washington vs Penn State Picks: Key Stats to Bet Nittany Lions 11/09
- Penn State’s defense ranks third in the Big Ten with an average of just 13.5 points per game.
- In Washington vs. Penn State stats, the Nittany Lions excel in stopping the run, conceding only 75.5 rushing yards per game.
- Penn State has been efficient in ball security, committing just eight turnovers this season.
- Get the best NCAAF Week 11 odds at BetUS Sportsbook.
The latest NCAAF odds are in, and BetUS Sportsbook lists Penn State as a hefty 13.5-point favorite against the Washington Huskies.
The Over/Under stands at 46.5, giving us a solid look at what the sportsbooks think this game will bring: a lopsided, yet potentially lower-scoring affair.
My NCAA football pick? Penn State all the way as the Nittany Lions look to recover and re-assert their dominance following a tough first loss of the season to Ohio State.
Washington vs Penn State Game Information
- Game: Washington Huskies (5-4, 3-3 Big Ten) vs Penn State Nittany Lions 7-1, 4-1 Big Ten)
- Location: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
- Day/Time: Saturday, Nov. 9, 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch Washington vs Penn State on TV: Peacock
2 Reason Why Penn State is Betting Pick vs Washington
1. Nittany Lions Need to Win … and Win Big
With the first College Football Playoff rankings hot off the press, the Nittany Lions are No. 6. Their standing could improve if they win out the other way as the favored team in NCAA football lines.
Up next for Penn State: Washington, Purdue, Minnesota and Maryland. But let’s face it, the Nittany Lions don’t just need to win; they need to win big. A convincing Week 11 victory could keep them on the CFP radar and showcase why they’re still a legitimate playoff contender.
For Penn State, there’s no better place to reestablish their offensive firepower than a White Out at Beaver Stadium. Drew Allar and company have the perfect opportunity to show off what their offense can accomplish with a crowd in full-throated support.
If Allar can connect with tight end Tyler Warren and get solid contributions from running backs Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen, PSU could roll over Washington. However, Penn State’s receiving corps will have to improve after being stifled by Ohio State if they want to prove they’re CFP material. Warren is at -143 to score a touchdown in NCAA player prop bets there.
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2. Washington a Terrible ATS Road Team
Washington comes into this matchup with a 5-4 record, which feels less impressive when you realize the Huskies have stumbled every time they’ve had to travel this season. The Huskies are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) on the road, and with a record like that, they’re walking into one of the toughest environments in college football with a tall order.
Their NCAAF predictions don’t inspire much confidence either: Washington’s offense ranks 77th nationally, putting up just 23.6 points per game. And if we’re talking about keeping up with Penn State, that’s just not going to cut it.
The Huskies do have some impressive stats on paper, especially in the passing game. They rank eighth in completions and 16th in passing yards, averaging 280.7 yards per game. However, these stats are a bit inflated by favorable home matchups, which won’t mean much on Saturday night.
Quarterback Will Rogers has put up respectable numbers with 2,284 passing yards and 13 touchdowns, but that’s hardly enough to hang with Penn State in front of a raucous Beaver Stadium crowd.
Washington’s record in college football ATS picks isn’t exactly bolstering its case either. The Huskies’ 3-5 ATS mark and 0-3 ATS road record point to a team that struggles to cover against better opponents, particularly outside their comfort zone. With the spread set at 13.5, it’s not hard to imagine Penn State putting up the kind of numbers to cover, if not obliterate, that margin.
Bet on Penn State (-13½) at BetUS
Penn State Dominates at Home
Here’s where it gets fun. Not only is Penn State favored to win, but the Nittany Lions are also playing with a chip on their shoulder after their loss to Ohio State. And if history tells us anything, Penn State bounces back well. Since 2018, they’re 35-10 straight up (SU) at home. Four of those losses came courtesy of Ohio State, which means the Lions are 35-6 SU against everyone else in Beaver Stadium in online betting. That kind of consistency at home, combined with their need to prove themselves in the rankings, puts them in prime position for a dominating performance.
The Nittany Lions aren’t just good at winning; they’re particularly strong in “bounce-back” games. Following a loss, Penn State is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS since 2022. This team knows how to adjust, refocus, and bring the heat.
Penn State’s defense, currently ranked No. 7 in the nation and allowing just 15 points per game, could stifle Washington’s already limited scoring capabilities. And while the Huskies rank 23rd in points allowed, it’s hard to imagine them maintaining that standard against a motivated Penn State squad.
The bottom line for college football best bets? The odds and stats paint a clear picture. Penn State is favored by 13.5 for a reason, and with Washington struggling on the road and failing to cover spreads, this game is the Nittany Lions’ to lose. Penn State has won nine of its last 12 games SU and enters this game with a stellar home-field advantage.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
Questions of the Day
What are the spread odds for Washington vs Penn State?
The Huskies are heavy underdogs in this Big Ten showdown with the spread at 13.5 points.
