NFL game predictions are so 2022. this season, I’m going all in on player props with two picks from the NFC East in Week 3.
Buffalo vs Washington – Brian Robinson 57+ Rushing Yards (-120)
Considering Brian Robinosn Jr. amassed more than 57 yards in each of his first two games, including 87 last week at Denver, his NFL odds to go over that total at -120 are worth a wager. The Bills’ defense has been uncharacteristically bad against the run and ranks 30th in yards per carry at 5.3. Despite seeing the seventh-fewest rushing attempts, the Bills allow the 19th most rushing yards at 113.5 per game.
The Bills haven’t allowed a rushing touchdown yet, but with three scores in two games, a bet online for Robinson to score isn’t a bad move. Two of his scores were on the ground, but he also showed his ability in the passing game with a receiving touchdown against the Cardinals in Week 1. If you go this route, his current odds at BetUS Sportsbook are +120 to score.
Dallas vs Arizona – Jake Ferguson Anytime TD Scorer (+240)
Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson may only have a Madden 23 rating of 66, but he’s been busy in the red zone for Dallas. Despite only having 11 passes thrown his way this year, he leads the league in red zone targets with seven. Five of those seven targets were inside the 10. He caught four of those passes and scored one touchdown.
Jake Ferguson TD!
The @DallasCowboys‘ hot start to the season continues.
— NFL (@NFL) September 17, 2023
Fantasy football players would call Ferguson a boom-or-bust candidate to score a touchdown every week if his usage stays the same. Don’t expect him to put up big yardage, but a touchdown catch is a reasonable NFL bet for Week 3.
Let’s not forget that the Arizona Cardinals may be the worst team in the NFL. They’ve already allowed 10 touchdowns to the NFC East over the first two weeks after dropping games to the Commanders and Giants. The Cardinals are the perfect victims to exploit with NFL picks in Week 3.