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2024 NFL Draft: Breaking Down Buffalo Bills Offseason Blueprint

As the Buffalo Bills gear up for the 2024 NFL season, anticipation swirls around their offseason maneuvers and what General Manager Brandon Beane and company are planning to do to keep this team an... Read Now
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Buffalo Bills Stats, Odds, Standings, Schedule, 2023 NFL Season

Heading into the 2022 season, it felt like it was going to be the Buffalo Bills’ year. They were coming off an 11-6 season in 2021 and improved, going 13-3. While a three-loss season is still impressive, struggling to win in the Wild Card game against the Miami Dolphins and then losing to the Cincinnati Bengals in the Divisional Round caused the team to fall short of expectations. Las Vegas NFL odds have softened on the Bills due to their struggling late last season.

Buffalo Bills Last Season’s Performance

It is hard to say that the Bills did not meet expectations in 2023 with a third straight AFC East title. However, NFL odds had them favored to make the Super Bowl, and losing at home to the Bengals in the Divisional Round was a difficult way to end. On top of that, Josh Allen, who was favored in most NFL lines to win the MVP, had some rough patches.

On paper, Allen looked great, throwing for 4,283 yards and 35 touchdowns while rushing for 762 and 7 scores. But he had to do everything for the Bills offense, playing a massive role in the ground game, coming second in attempts and yards. That seemed to take a toll, leading to Allen playing extra aggressively, leading to mistakes, as in 14 interceptions, six within three weeks.

In the playoffs, the Bills struggled to beat the Dolphins in the Wild Card, a team that started their third-string quarterback. Part of the playoff issues could have been because of the dramatic events with Damar Hamlin nearly dying on the field. While facing the Bengals in Week 17, a game that was eventually canceled, Hamlin went in for a tackle, and his heart stopped. He was rushed to a hospital and has since made a full recovery.

Buffalo Bills Key Additions

Headed into the offseason, the Bills would not be big spenders. The roster is already built and ready to compete, so it would be hard to find money to make a NFL pick-changing addition. What the Bills could do was sign and re-sign value to the roster. The biggest re-signings were Buffalo bringing back some critical defensive players in Shaq Lawson, Jordan Poyer, and Jordan Phillips.

The one move that the Bills did decide to spend big on was the signing of guard Connor McGovern. The Bills let guard Rodger Saffold walk in free agency. McGovern signed a three-year $23 million contract. Another signing that could go under the radar was the addition of running back Damien Harris, a former New England Patriot. Harris can earn the starting job without a decisive lead back on the roster. The addition of Leonard Floyd was also an excellent pickup for the Bills’ linebacker core.

In the draft, the Bills did make some NFL news. They moved up to select tight end Dalton Kincaid after the top wideouts had already been drafted. Injuries were a big reason he slid down draft boards, However, Kincaid is one of the more skilled pass catchers entering the league. A second-round pick was used on guard O’Cyrus Torrence, who could also become a significant addition.

Buffalo Bills Key Subtraction

Given the Bills’ situation, this was bound to be a season in which they lost some talent in free agency. Middle linebacker Tremaine Edmunds might be the one that hurts the most. He signed with the Chicago Bears for four years, and $72 million, something the Bills could not match. Edmunds will leave a massive hole.

Losing lead running back Devin Singletary to the Houston Texans also could also be challenging. While the Bills’ ground game was not special during 2022, Singletary still led the team in rushing attempts and yards. Saffold left having yet to sign anywhere, despite being a Pro Bowler last season.

Buffalo Bills Head Coach Analysis

Sean McDermott is starting his seventh season. During his tenure, McDermott has brought Buffalo from being a struggling franchise to having Super Bowl expectations. He has changed the Bills, especially on the defense, becoming one of the best in the NFL.

On top of that, McDermott has hired the right people to run his offense and feature Allen. Despite losing former offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, who became the head coach of the New York Giants after the 2021 season, Ken Dorsey kept the offense going. The Bills’ offense ranked second in yards and points, through the offensive coordinator change.

Buffalo Bills Injured Players at the Beginning of the Season

For the most part, headed into the start of training camp, the team is looking pretty healthy. They do have some players that are questionable. Outside linebacker Von Miller and offensive tackle Tommy Doyle are recovering from ACL injuries they suffered in the 2022 season. Tight end Dawson Knox is also questionable due to a lower leg injury.

One injury that could affect the season is Nyheim Hines being out for the entire season, having suffered a knee injury away from the team. He was struck by a jet ski while sitting on another one.

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Buffalo Bills Offense

The offense was the heart and soul of the Bills last season and will continue to be. Allen is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, but everything fell on his shoulders last season. That caused turnovers and the QB trying to force too many plays.

In the offseason, the Bills went in trying to add support for Allen. He already has a top wide receiver in Stefon Diggs, who had 1,429 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns in 2022. After Diggs, it was Gabriel Davis with 836 yards but a 51.6% catch percentage.

The hope is that the offseason additions of Kincaid, Harris, and wide receiver Deonte Harty will have some impact. Plus, the Bills are hoping for growth from within the roster. James Cook was starting to take the lead running back role late in the season, and wide receiver Khalil Shakir showed flashes.

Buffalo Bills Defense

The defense is what McDermott leads with, and he has the players to back up that philosophy. The loss of Edmunds will be felt, but the Bills still have Matt Milano, who was a Pro Bowler and All-Pro last season. There will be a lot more on Milano‘s shoulders in 2023, but it looks like something he can handle.

For the most part, the defensive line will be the same, with the boost of Miller being healthy. In 11 games, he had eight sacks, which was still tied for the team lead at the end of the season. Having him back on the field will have a massive impact.

Similarly, keeping the pairing of Poyer and Micah Hyde in the secondary was crucial. Hyde played two games last season, resulting in Hamlin filling in for him and looking good. Furthermore, having Tre’Davious White for a full healthy season will be significant.

Buffalo Bills Special Teams

The special teams core from 2022 will be returning. Kicker Tyler Bass had a strong season last year, hitting 87.1% of his field goals, with a long of 56 yards, and only missing 2 of 50 extra points. Punter Sam Martin was called in late after the Bills had to cut the expected starter, draft pick Matt Araiza due to off-field issues. Martin was good enough to earn the job in 2023, averaging 41.2 yards per punt, with only 5 of 42 being touchbacks.

Buffalo Bills Prediction for the 2023 Season

The most significant loss of the Bills’ offseason was Edmunds. However, with the number of injuries the defense had last season returning in 2023, there is a good chance that the Bills will stay at the same level. They ranked second in yards and sixth points allowed in 2022.

The offense seems to have the most question marks. We know that Allen is excellent, and elite with Diggs. However, to win a Super Bowl, Buffalo will need more. Throughout the offseason, the Bills tried to add different kinds of skilled players to get more balanced. If any of them work, the Bills could make a legit run for the Super Bowl.

Buffalo Bills Final Thoughts

After winning the AFC East three straight years easily, this season could get more complicated. The Dolphins made the playoffs last season and are better. The New York Jets traded for Aaron Rodgers while already having an impressive overall roster. Let’s not forget about the New England Patriots, a team you can never count out. This could be the toughest division in the NFL, but the Bills are still the favorites

Buffalo Bills FAQs

Who beat the Bills in the 4 Super Bowls?

From 1990-93, the Bills made four Super Bowls, losing each one. In those years, they lost to the New York Giants, Washington (Commanders now), and the Dallas Cowboys in back-to-back years.

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Why haven't the Buffalo Bills won a Super Bowl?

In the years that the Bills made the Super Bowl, the NFC was superior to the AFC. That led to little competition for the Bills in their conference, while the teams they faced in the Super Bowl were battle-tested and a little more talented.

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What will happen if the Bills don’t make it to Super Bowl LVIII?

The Bills have not played in the Super Bowl since 1993, despite having one of the best fan bases in all sports, named the “Bills Mafia.” The fan base itself would make it a fascinating Super Bowl.

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When will the Buffalo Bills have a new stadium?

The Bills have been given the okay to build a new stadium in Buffalo that is projected to be ready in 2026.

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