The Stanley Cup finalists meet for the first time since the deciding Game 6 last season. This time, the Tampa Bay Lightning are favored by the NHL odds to come out on top. Both they and the Colorado Avalanche have looked rusty since returning from the All-Star break. But you can expect at least one of them to bring out their best in this highly anticipated rematch.
Let’s check the latest NHL news, stats, injury reports, and NHL lines for Avalanche vs Lightning. We’ve got plenty of NHL picks for you to consider.
Building Up Another Avalanche
The Colorado Avalanche were on a roll heading into the All-Star break. The team started getting healthy and won seven of its last eight. It stumbled in a 2-1 loss against Pittsburgh on Tuesday but still put up a strong effort (42 shots) in a losing effort. Colorado needs to build up steam again because, as its namesake suggests, this team gets tough to stop when it gets going.
Getting Bowen Byram back on the blue line could help. The Avalanche had a PDO of 102.4 with Byram on the ice, which is the second highest. Most noteworthy is the team’s save percentage of 96.1, which is a testament to his defensive acumen.
THIS IS NOT A DRILL!
Bowen Byram is playing on Tuesday at Pittsburgh! #GoAvsGo pic.twitter.com/Qn7kUktcXH
— Mile High Hockey (@MileHighHockey) February 5, 2023
And if Colorado rolls out Pavel Francouz, the netminder has been better on the road with a 92.1 save percentage (versus 91.7 at home). The skaters will just have to handle things on their own end and score. Colorado averages just 2.83 goals per road game, 24th in the NHL. But the Avalanche are worth betting on online if they score three or more – they are 7-3-0 when scoring three or more in regulation.
Lightning Need Spark
Maybe a date with their Stanley Cup nemesis will restart the Lightning’s engine. But as of now, Tampa Bay is coming off two bad losses to San Jose (as a -230 favorite) and to Florida (7-1 defeat as a -120 favorite). Tampa Bay allowed 49 shots from Florida and blew a 3-1 lead as San Jose scored three unanswered.
They were two different games. The Lightning dominated the Sharks but just let in some deflating goals while the game against Florida was just a no-show for the team. Expect Jon Cooper to get this veteran team to bounce back.
Tampa Bay is still 12-6 in its last 18 games with the totals going over in six of the last eight. That means the Lightning’s offense is beginning to pick up. It sits atop the NHL with over four per home game thanks to a 30 percent power play (PP).
Avalanche vs Lightning Game Injuries
Avalanche vs Lightning Head-to-Head
Colorado is 7-2-1 in its last 10 meetings versus Tampa Bay. The total has gone under in the Avalanche’s last three games but it went over in six of the seven games prior. Notably, the Avalanche have a big edge on the power play: 25.8 percent versus just 7.1 percent from Tampa Bay.
Avalanche vs Lightning Game Information
- Game: Avalanche (27-18-4) vs Lightning (32-16-2)
- Day/Time: Thursday, Feb. 9, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, Fla.
- Avalanche vs Lightning Live Stream: NHL.TV
Avalanche vs Lightning Betting Lines
Avalanche vs Lightning Picks and Prediction
In spite of recent results, we’re siding with Tampa Bay here on the condition that Andrei Vasilevskiy starts in net. As the slight favorites in the sportsbook, we’re banking on the Lightning being motivated enough to play their best against Colorado. Nikita Kucherov has been on a roll and will need to deliver as well.
Tampa Bay is listed at -130 in our Vegas NHL lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Lightning, you have a chance to win $77. Colorado is +110, offering a chance to win $110 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Tampa Bay a 56.52% chance to win, with the Avalanche at 47.62%.