While the Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning headline the early portion of the NHL schedule on Monday night, the Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche are set to steal the show later in the evening. Much like the Bruins and Lighting, the Avalanche and Stars are very evenly matched, have very even odds and have reasonably similar stats.
We’ll review the odds, stats and recent trends to find the best picks from the Avalanche vs. Stars for your online sports betting today.
Defending Champs Still Team to Beat
The Colorado Avalanche enter Monday night’s matchup with a 10-5-1 record, having won four of their last five games. Three of their last five games have finished with more than a 1½-goal spread. The early-season story for Colorado has been injuries and how they would fare after losing significant contributors to their 2021-22 Stanley Cup win.
So far, so good as everything seems status quo for the Avalanche.
Colorado averages 3.56 goals per game on 32.2 shots per game while averaging 2.50 goals against per game on an average of 34.2 shots per game. Colorado’s power play is the best league, converting on 36.5% of their chances and scoring 19 times.
We expect Alexandar Georgiev to get the start against the Stars. Georgiev has an 8-2-1 record with a 2.45 goals-against average and a .930 save percentage. Georgiev made 32 saves for a shutout in helping the Avs defeat the Washington Capitals 4-0.
Stars: Consistency Key to Success
The Dallas Stars are off to a very good start with an 11-5-2 record. The Stars have won their last two games by a 1½-goal spread, won three of their previous five matchups and all five of their recent games have had at least six goals scored in total.
No significant winning streaks have helped the Stars reach their record; they’ve done it through consistent play and avoiding multiple losses.
The Dallas Stars have also been scoring a lot of goals. The Stars are averaging 3.94 goals on 30.6 shots per game, and 2.72 goals against per game on an average of 31.7 shots against per game. Dallas’ power play is almost as good as Colorado’s, scoring 16 goals and converting on 30.2% of their chances. The Stars’ penalty killers have been better than the Avalanche’s, giving up 13 power plays and killing off 82.7% of their penalties.
We expect Jake Oettinger to start against the Avalanche on Monday night, with Scott Wedgewood listed as day-to-day. Oettinger has a 7-2-1 record with a 2.21 goals-against average and a .927 save percentage.
Avalanche vs Stars Game Injuries
Avalanche vs Stars Head-to-Head
Monday night’s matchup is the first of four head-to-head matchups between the Avalanche and the Stars in the 2022-23 season.
Last season, the Avalanche and Stars played three head-to-head games. The Dallas Stars took the season series 2-1 and averaged 2.33 goals while the Avs averaged 2.0 goals across the three games.
Avalanche vs Stars Game Information
- Game: Avalanche (10-5-1) vs Stars (11-5-2)
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
- Day/Time: Monday, Nov. 21, 8:30 p.m. ET
- Avalanche vs Stars Live stream: NHL.TV
Avalanche vs Stars Betting Lines
Avalanche vs Stars Picks & Prediction
Before making any betting picks or predictions, betting records are always something to consider.
Like the NHL odds today, the Avalanche and Stars are fairly even – both teams are currently listed at -110 on the moneyline. Colorado has a 10-6 moneyline record while Dallas has an 11-7 moneyline record.
The total goals line is set to 6, with the over and under listed at -110. The Avalanche have a 7-9 over/under record while the Stars are 10-6 over/under. Dallas has an impressive 13-5 record against the spread while Colorado is 9-7.
First, we’re conflicted on the total goals line. We have two goalies with great stats, facing two of the better offensive teams in the NHL. The total goals is set at six, which we think this game will surpass because of these teams’ power plays. Both Oettinger and Georgiev are playing great, but a 4-3 win is not out of the question here.
We’re favoring the Colorado Avalanche on the moneyline to win the game. We’ve really liked the Avalanche’s performance recently and think they will extend their winning streak to three.
However, in the end, we think this is a one-goal game, so we’re taking the Dallas Stars to cover the spread of +1½. Regardless of how many goals the Avs’ power play scores – and they will – the Stars can strike back against a weak Colorado penalty kill. Pair that with Oettinger in the net, and the Stars will cover the spread.
Take the Colorado Avalanche on the moneyline, but take the Dallas Stars to cover the spread.
The Colorado Avalanche are listed at -91 in our Vegas Lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Avalanche, you have a chance to win $91. The Dallas Stars are -110, offering a chance to win $91.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Avalanche a 52.38% chance to win, with the Stars at 52.38%.