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Bet Panthers Outright vs Lightning in NHL Picks for April 21

After a surprising run to the 2023 Stanley Cup Final, the Florida Panthers are in the role of the favorite after winning the Atlantic Division title. The NHL betting lines favor Florida to win the series opener and the series.

This is the third time the Lightning and Panthers will meet in the playoffs in the last four years. Tampa Bay won the previous two series including a four-game sweep in 2022. The Lightning was favored in 6 of the last 10 playoff games but that won’t be the case this time. The road team won all three games between Tampa Bay and Florida during the regular season.

Bet Panthers Outright vs Lightning in NHL Picks for April 21
Bet Panthers Outright vs Lightning in NHL Picks for April 21

The NHL betting lines have Florida priced at +160 to cover against the puck line as the 1.5-goal favorite with -180 odds for the Lightning to cover.

Florida has -195 odds to win the series with the Lightning at +170 in the series odds.

When looking at Stanley Cup odds, Florida is tied for third at +800 in the Stanley Cup betting odds with Tampa Bay 12th at +2200 in the championship odds.


Lightning vs Panthers Game Information

  • Game: Lightning 45-29-8 vs Panthers 52-24-6
  • Date/Time: Sunday, April 21, 12:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL
  • Lightning vs Panthers Live Stream: NHL.com


Florida has won 12 of its last 17 games as the home favorite but has covered in six of those games. Just four of those games went over the total.

Tampa Bay is 6-8-1 in its last 15 games as the road underdog but the Lightning has covered against the puck line in five straight games as the road ‘dog. Four of those matchups finished over the total.




Florida is priced at -165 to win the game outright while the Lightning is at +145 in our NHL betting lines.

The Lightning and the Panthers meet on Sunday, April 21, at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL. You can watch the game on ESPN at 12:30 p.m. ET.


Lightning vs Panthers Odds and Spreads




  • Eight of the last 11 games between the Lightning and the Panthers finished under the total.
  • Florida is 46-20-2 as the favorite this season.
  • The Lightning posted a 12-16-4 record when listed as the underdog.
  • Florida is just 14-27 against the spread at home.
  • Just 17 of Tampa Bay’s 41 road games went over the total.
  • The total went over in four of Tampa Bay’s last five games as the underdog.
  • Five of Florida’s last six games went under the total.
  • Four of the Panthers’ last five games against Eastern Conference teams went under the total.


Lightning vs Panthers ATS Pick: Panthers -1½ (+160)

The Lightning are fourth in the NHL in goals per game in April (second to Winnipeg among playoff teams) with 3.78 goals per contest even though the Lightning ranked eighth out of 16 playoff teams in power-play percentage during that time.

Tampa Bay has been leaning on the high-scoring duo of Nikita Kucherov and Steven Stamkos. Stamkos leads the NHL with 10 goals in April while Kucherov won his second scoring title after topping the NHL with 18 points in nine games played in April. They each had two goals and two assists in three games against the Panthers this season but were -4 as well.

Keep an eye on the status of star defenseman Victor Hedman after he missed the regular-season finale for the Lightning. Forwards Luke Glendening and Tyler Motte are also questionable. Forward Logan Brown and Mikhail Sergachev are out.

For Florida, defenseman Aaron Ekblad is expected to play in the series opener while defenseman Oliver Ekman-Larsson is questionable.



Lightning vs Panthers Over/Under Pick: Over 5½ (-120)

The Panthers’ late charge allowed them to finish the regular season with the best goal differential in the NHL. Keep that in mind when it comes to the NHL odds tonight.

In Florida’s last six games, the Panthers have allowed seven goals with four of the last five games having five or fewer combined goals scored. The 5½ total makes it hard to go with this game to finish under the total.



Lightning vs Panthers Prop Pick: Florida C Sam Reinhart 1+ Goals (+120)

After never scoring more than 33 goals in his first nine NHL seasons, Sam Reinhart erupted for 57 goals this season. After scoring eight goals in Florida’s long playoff run last season, it might be worth looking at the +120 odds for Reinhart to score a goal when making your player prop bets.



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Lightning vs Panthers Prediction

Panthers 4, Lightning 2



Questions of the Day

Which team has a better ATS record, the Lightning or the Panthers?

Tampa Bay is 42-40 against the spread this season compared to a 41-41 record for the Lightning.

What is a good player prop option for the Tampa Bay Lightning on April 21?

Steven Stamkos has had at least four shots on goal in 8 of his last 11 games so consider the +136 odds for the Tampa Bay captain to get at least four shots on goal in the series opener.

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