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Bruins Outright Pick vs Leafs in Series Opener

Is this the season when the Toronto Maple Leafs finally figure out a way to win a playoff series against the Boston Bruins? Boston squandered a chance to win the Atlantic Division title by losing its last two games while Toronto heads into the postseason on a four-game losing streak, Boston is listed by the NHL latest lines as the favorite at home against the Maple Leafs.


Bruins Outright Pick vs Leafs in Series Opener
Bruins Outright Pick vs Leafs in Series Opener

The Bruins have won five consecutive series against the Maple Leafs. The last time Toronto got the best of the Bruins in the postseason was in 1959. The Bruins beat the Maple Leafs in 2013, 2018 and 2019, with the series going the full seven games each time. Boston won all four games during the regular season and three of them landed under the total.

When looking at Stanley Cup odds, Boston is seventh at +1000 for the best odds to win the Stanley Cup. Toronto is tied for ninth at +1400 in the championship odds.


Maple Leafs vs Bruins Game Information

  • Game: Maple Leafs (46-26-10) vs Bruins (47-20-15)
  • Date/Time: Saturday, April 20, 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA
  • Maple Leafs vs Bruins Live Stream: NHL.com


Boston has won seven of its last 10 games as the home favorite with the Bruins covering against the puck line in just four of those matchups. The Maple Leafs are 2-4 outright and 3-5 against the spread in the last six games as the road underdog.

Boston is priced at -125 to win the game outright while the Maple Leafs are +105 in our NHL betting lines. In the 12 previous home games for the Bruins against Toronto in the playoffs, the average moneyline for the Bruins was at -165 and +140 for the Maple Leafs.

The NHL’s latest lines have Boston at +190 to cover the 1½-goal puck line while the Maple Leafs are priced at -230 at -1½ on the puck line.

The Maple Leafs and the Bruins meet on Saturday, April 20, at TD Garden in Boston. You can watch the game on NESN or TBS at 8 pm ET.


Maple Leafs vs Bruins Odds and Spreads


  • Boston is 38-28-11 as the favorite this season.
  • The Maple Leafs went 6-9-2 as the underdog in the regular season.
  • Toronto is 18-23 against the Las Vegas odds on the road.
  • Just 18 of Boston’s 41 home games have gone over the total.
  • The total went over in each of the last five games for the Maple Leafs.
  • Boston has seen seven of its last eight matchups with Eastern Conference teams go under the total.
  • Eight of Boston’s last nine games finished under the total.
  • The total went over in five of Toronto’s last six games against Eastern Conference teams.


Maple Leafs vs Bruins ML Pick: Bruins (-125)

The Bruins have won seven straight games against the Maple Leafs, who are 1-6 in its last seven games in Boston.

However, it is a little troubling that the Bruins managed one goal in two games to end the regular season, knowing that a win would give them the Atlantic Division title and home-ice advantage for at least the first two rounds of the playoffs.

How will the Bruins fare against Auston Matthews, the NHL’s leader with 69 goals scored, without Patrice Bergeron, one of the best defensive centers in NHL history?

Toronto will look to put the pressure on the Bruins by winning one of the first two games in Boston. That is something to consider when looking at the NHL odds tonight.

Forwards Maxi Domi and Bobby McMann are questionable for the Maple Leafs while defensemen John Klingberg and Jake Muzzin as well as forward Calle Jarnkrok are out.

Defenseman Brandon Carlo is questionable for the Bruins and Boston is already without defenseman Derek Forbort.



Maple Leafs vs Bruins Over/Under Pick: Under 6 (-125)

When looking at the NHL over/under predictions, keep in mind that four of Boston’s last five games against Toronto went under the total, as have eight of the Bruins’ last 10 games against Atlantic Division teams.

The Bruins will look to keep this game under control because in a game when the teams are trading odd-man rushes, the edge goes to the Maple Leafs.



Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prop Pick: Boston LW Brad Marchand 2+ Points (+254)

Marchand had five points in four games against the Maple Leafs during the regular season and the last time the Bruins faced Toronto in the playoffs, he had four goals and five assists. When making your player prop bets, there’s value with the +254 odds for Marchand to have at least two points.



Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction

Bruins 3, Maple Leafs 2



Questions Of The Day

Which team has a better ATS record, the Islanders or the Hurricanes?

Boston is 39-43 against the spread this season compared to a 32-50 record for the Maple Leafs.

What is a good player prop option for the Toronto Maple Leafs on April 20?

Tyler Bertuzzi, who finished the 2022-23 season with the Bruins, didn’t score in his last four games of the regular season but he is somebody to keep an eye on in this series.

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