Two of the NHL’s top Stanley Cup contenders meet when the Boston Bruins visit the Tampa Bay Lightning. The NHL odds book Tampa Bay as the slight favorite as host. The Lightning is on a 10-game winning streak in the Amalie Arena, although Boston has won five straight games against them.
Bruins: Rock-Solid on the Road
With an away record of 16-4-1, the Bruins are the NHL’s second-best road team. The Bruins don’t slow down when traveling and still average 3.9 goals per game while allowing just 2.24 in return. Both are the second-best in the NHL.
Most notably, Boston is a whopping 16-5 on the puck line as a visitor and 3-3 as an underdog. While the Bruins get this done via its prolific 5-on-5 and special teams play, they owe a lot of their success to their netminding. The Bruins’ 93.5 save percentage (SV%) on the road leads the NHL.
Linus Ullmark, the frontrunner for the Vezina Trophy, is 11-1-0 on the road with a 93.8 SV%. He has allowed no more than three goals in all but one of his appearances. Jeremy Swayman has been just as dominant lately. He’s 4-0-1 in his last five road games, with no more than two goals allowed in each.
Uncle Nick got it started, but Jeremy Swayman and Linus Ullmark finished the hug for the #NHLBruins win in MTL. Next up, Tampa Bay🏒🥅
— The Camera Guys (@NBCSCameraGuys) January 25, 2023
Ride the Lightning at Home
While Boston cruises on the road, the Lightning has been electrifying at home. Tampa’s 10 straight home wins include Minnesota, Seattle, and the Rangers. The Lightning has put up an average of 4.4 goals in these games. Their power play (37.9%) leads the NHL and their penalty kill (92.6%) is the second-best.
Nikita Kucherov has been on fire at home. With 68 points on the season, 41 have come at the Amalie Arena. In fact, he’s scored in 13 straight home games and has 20 points in the team’s 10-game home winning streak.
Tampa Bay is 16-4-0 when Kucherov has a multi-point game. The NHL’s leader in assists is the main driver of the team’s offense. But others like Nick Paul (16 goals) and Steven Stamkos (55 points) have been just as critical. The team’s depth in scoring makes them a prolific bet online.
Bruins vs Lightning Game Injuries
Bruins vs Lightning Head-to-Head
While Boston has won five straight versus Tampa Bay, the Lightning is 5-4-1 in their last 10 against the Bruins. Five of their games were decided by one goal. The total went under in six games.
- Game: Bruins (38-5-4) vs Lightning (30-15-1)
- Day/Time: Thursday, Jan. 26, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa Bay
- Bruins vs Lightning Live stream: NHL.TV
Bruins vs Lightning Betting Lines
Bruins vs Lightning Picks and Prediction
This matchup pits Boston’s immovable goaltending against Tampa Bay’s unstoppable offense. The online gambling lines favor Tampa Bay, and we concur. The Lightning can match Boston everywhere, from 5-on-5 play to special teams to goaltending. But in terms of upside, Tampa Bay has more on offense hence why it’s the pick.
Tampa Bay is listed at -115 in our Vegas NHL lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Lightning, you have a chance to win $87. Boston is -105, offering a chance to win $95 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Tampa Bay a 53.49% chance to win, with the Bruins at 51.22%.