Don’t look now, but the Dallas Stars have risen from the ashes and have become the NHL’s hottest team. Online gambling enthusiasts would be on a roll wagering on Dallas (13-7-2), which has won a franchise-record seven straight games. They’ll take this streak into Vegas this Wednesday night as underdogs on the NHL betting lines.
The Golden Knights (14-10-0) have been treading water for most of the season thanks to a litany of injuries. But with the team getting healthier, the Knights have started to resemble their dominant version and will look to snap Dallas’s hot streak while at home.
NHL Odds Preview
Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights (10 p.m. ET, TNT)
- Puckline: Dallas +1½ (-210), Vegas -1½ (+175)
- Moneyline: Dallas +115, Vegas -135
- Total: Over/Under 5½
Stars: Playing With House Money
Congratulations to the Dallas Stars for making franchise history, but color us unimpressed as the team’s current hot streak is bordering on a fluke. Let’s give credit where credit is due first. Beating St. Louis, Edmonton, Colorado and Carolina as part of this winning streak is mighty impressive.
But looking at the advanced metrics, Dallas is playing with house money in its seven-game run. Dallas is running with a 1.040 PDO thanks to some dead-eye sniping with 5v5 shooting percentage splits of 10.8, 20.2 and 29.2 percent, the latter two of which lead the NHL. This isn’t sustainable, though the goaltending could be.
A franchise record-tying 7 wins in a row, and a Dallas Stars record-tying 8 wins in a row at home.
A good night.
— Dallas Stars (@DallasStars) December 7, 2021
Jake Oettinger and Brayden Holtby have combined for an 87.6 scoring chance save percent and 86 percent when it’s high-danger. This brilliant display of goaltending combined with Dallas’s hot shooting is why the team is +13 in high-danger goal differential and why the team is, at the moment, unbeatable.
Golden Knights: Roaring Back
If there is a team that knows how to overcome odds, it’s Vegas. The Knights have stayed afloat despite missing most of their star players. With the likes of Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty back and playing well, the Knights are looking like a force again.
The team may only be 3-2-0 in its last five, but check the stats: 4.4 goals per game (third), 93.8 percent penalty kill (fourth), and 29.4 shots allowed (ninth). Their power play has also improved to 25 percent (11th). Never mind that a lot of this is from the 7-1 destruction of Arizona, Vegas also beat Calgary and ousted Nashville 5-2.
This squad still has ways to go before it can become a more dependable bet online, but keep an eye out for them as this is still mostly the same core of players that dominated last season.
At one point, the Stars will run into a brick wall. We saw them get smoked by the Wild as a +115 underdog and the Knights, arguably, are a better team than the Wild. Since Pacioretty’s return, Vegas has a plus-four goal differential in scoring chances (plus-three in high-danger situations).
More notably, Vegas is generating far more scoring chances than Dallas. Even with the Stars’ pinpoint sniping, Vegas should be able to overwhelm Dallas by being the more assertive team. Expect a high-scoring affair with the edge to the home team.
Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -135
The total may have gone under in five of these teams’ last six games, but bank on this one to buck this trend. Dallas has been incredible at converting its scoring chances while Vegas creates them at a relentless pace. There will be plenty of back-and-forth here.