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Do Oilers Deserve to be Home Favorites in Game 4 vs Stars?

It is safe today that the Edmonton Oilers haven’t played a more important home game this season than the one coming up on Wednesday. The Oilers look to tie the Western Conference finals with the Dallas Stars before the series heads back to Dallas. The NHL odds have Edmonton as the home favorite in Game 4. This will be the 16th game in a row between the Stars and the Oilers when the home team is favored.

This is the first time that Dallas and Edmonton have met in the playoffs since 2003. Dallas won two of the three matchups in the regular season and that includes a 5-0 victory in the most recent clash. Five of the last six times that the Stars played in Edmonton, the game went over the total.

Do Oilers Deserve to be Home Favorites in Game 4 vs Stars?
Connor McDavid #97 of the Edmonton Oilers/Cooper Neill/Getty Images/AFP

The NHL betting line has Edmonton priced at -130 to win Game 4 with the Oilers at +190 to cover at -1½ on the puck line. Dallas, which hasn’t been favored on the road against the Oilers since 2019, has +110 odds to win the game outright.

The Stars are priced at -250 to win the series.

When looking at the NHL championship odds, the odds for the Stars to win the Stanley Cup have moved from +375 to +150 after winning the last two games. Edmonton’s championship odds have gone from +190 to +450.


Oilers vs Stars Game Information

  • Game: Stars 62-25-11 (32-11-5 on the road) vs Oilers 58-32-7 (32-11-5 at home)
  • Date/Time: Wednesday, May 29, 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
  • Oilers vs Stars Live Stream: NHL.com



Oilers vs Stars Odds and Spreads


Robertson Among 20-Something Stars to Shine

With Matt Duchene, Joe Pavelski, Jamie Benn, Tyler Seguin and Ryan Suter leading the way, there are plenty of grizzled veterans on the Dallas roster. However, when Edmonton took the two-goal lead in Game 3, it was the younger generation that took control.

The 24-year-old Jason Robertson had three goals and that included what proved to be the game-winning score. Miro Heiskanen, a 24-year-old defenseman, and 21-year-old center Wyatt Johnston also scored for the Stars as all five goals came from players under the age of 25.

Roope Hintz had two assists in his return to the lineup and rookie Logan Stankoven had an assist as well as Dallas moved two wins away from the Stanley Cup Final.

Thirteen of the last 19 games for the Stars went under the total.


All Eyes on McDavid, Oilers

Not that there’s much pressure, but it could be argued that an entire country will be watching in what could be the final game of the 2023-24 NHL season played in Canada if the Oilers come up short in Game 4.

Connor McDavid assisted on Zach Hyman’s goal and scored less than six minutes later to give the Oilers a 2-0 lead in the first period in Game 3.

Edmonton had the puck for much of the third period but Dallas scored on its final two shots of the game to take Game 3. Edmonton had more than twice as many hits and eight more shots but still came up on the wrong side of the scoreboard.

If that happens in Game 4, Edmonton would have to win three games in a row, with two of those games coming on the road, to win the series.


Stars Continue to Dazzle on Road in Playoffs

Edmonton is 4-2-1 in this year’s playoffs as the home favorite but just 2-5 against the puck line. Dallas has won its first two games in this year’s Stanley Cup Playoffs as the road underdog.

The Stars are 6-1 away from home in this year’s playoffs.

Here are some numbers for those who bet online to consider heading into Game 4 of the series between Dallas and Edmonton.

  • Five of the last six times that Dallas played in Edmonton, the game went over the total.
  • Dallas is 54-27-9 as a favorite this season.
  • Edmonton has lost six of its 10 games as the underdog.
  • The Stars are 27-21 against the puck line on the road.
  • Just 19 of the 48 road games for Dallas went over the total.
  • The total went under in five of the last seven games for Dallas.
  • Five of Edmonton’s last seven games went under the total.


Oilers vs Stars Injury Update

Defensemen Jani Hakanpaa and Jared Rosburg are out for Dallas while it should be all hands on deck for Edmonton.


What to Look for: Draisaitl Needs to Step Up

Dallas scored five times on 22 shots in Game 3 so the goaltending will need to improve for the Oilers.

Edmonton’s Leon Draisaitl has been pretty quiet in the last two games with no goals, no assists and a -3 defensive rating. He will need to start producing for Edmonton to have a chance to win this series and keep alive the chance for a Canadian team to win the Stanley Cup for the first time since 1993.

The teams are a combined 0-for-6 on the power play in the last two games. That is just fine with the Dallas Stars, who are 17-4-2 in its last 23 games that had five or fewer combined goals scored. Edmonton is 10-6-4 in its last 20 games that went under six goals. The total is set at six goals for this matchup.

Expect to see the Oilers to come out flying as this feels like a must-win game for the Oilers.

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Oilers vs Stars Game 4 Prediction

Oilers 4, Stars 3




Questions Of The Day

What happened the last time the Oilers and the Stars met in a playoff series?

Dallas won 4-2 in the first round of the 2003 Stanley Cup playoffs with the Stars winning two of its three games at home.

What are good player prop options for Game 4 of the Stars-Oilers series on May 29?

Seven of Leon Draisaitl’s last 11 multi-goal games came after a loss so take a look at the +141 odds for Draisaitl to have at least two points for the Oilers in Game 4. Joe Pavelski has been a big-game player throughout his career so the +117 odds for the veteran Dallas forward to have a point are too good to pass up.

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