Skip to content

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Game 6 Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Lightning Look To Send Series to Game 7

Toronto Look To End Playoff Frustration

The Tampa Bay Lightning advanced to the last three Stanley Cup finals for a reason and that championship pedigree came through again with a 4-2 road win to remain alive in the series.

Toronto has lost its last 11 games when given a chance to close out a series. This series returns to Tampa for Game 6 on Saturday.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Game 6 Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Maple Leafs vs Lightning Game 6 Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Just 26 seconds after Morgan Rielly gave Toronto the lead in Game 5, Anthony Cirelli answered for the Lightning. Tampa Bay would not trail again.

Toronto hasn’t won a playoff series since 2004, Six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven playoff exits came in a winner-take-all Game 5 or 7. They have another chance to win the series before it would head to a Game 7.

For those making NHL picks, keep in mind that Toronto led last year’s series after five games before the Lightning won Games 6 and 7 to win the series.

When looking at some of the NHL news, Toronto defenseman Erik Gustafsson is questionable. Defensemen Victor Mete and Jake Muzzin are out.

Tampa Bay got forward Michael Eyssimont back and now there is a chance that defenseman Erik Cernak could return for Game 6.

According to the NHL playoff odds, Toronto’s odds to win the Stanley Cup title moved from +550 to +700 after the Game 5 loss. Tampa Bay’s championship odds went from +8000 to +4000 heading into Game 6.

Maple Leafs Too Generous

After taking hard-earned wins in Tampa Bay, everything was in place for the Maple Leafs to become the first team to advance to the second round in this year’s Stanley Cup playoffs.

However, Toronto was its own worst enemy with 19 giveaways in the Game 5 loss compared to only eight by Tampa Bay. The Maple Leafs had a total of 10 giveaways in Games 3 and 4 combined.

Defensemen Mark Giordano and Justin Holl were both -3 in the game while fellow Rielly and fellow defenseman Luke Schenn each had three giveaways. One number that spoke volumes about how things went on Thursday was that Toronto had only one more shot on goal in the two power plays than Tampa Bay had while killing off those two penalties.

Four of the last five games played by the Maple Leafs finished over the NHL betting lines total.

Production Coming From Unlikely Sources

When Toronto’s coaching staff devised a game plan for Game 5, it seemed safe to assume that slowing Lightning forward Michael Eyssimont was pretty far down the list.

Eyssimont missed three of the first four games in the series and played just 5:13 in the series opener.

After being acquired from the San Jose Sharks, Eyssimont failed to score a goal in his first 14 games. None of that mattered as he had the goal that put Tampa Bay in front in the second period and an assist on what proved to be the game-winning goal at 11:53 of the third period. Eyssimont, playing for his third team this season, recorded his second multi-point game.

Eyssimont and Nicholas Paul became the 13th and 14th players to score a goal for the Lightning in the series.

That was more than enough for Andrei Vasilevskiy, who continues to climb the charts of the winningest goalies in Stanley Cup history.

The Las Vegas NHL odds total has gone over in eight of the last 10 games played by the Lightning.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Game Injuries

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Head-to-Head

Toronto has won five of the last seven games against Tampa Bay after the Game 5 loss. Three of those were decided by one goal.

Eleven of the last 13 games, including the last five, have finished over the total before Game 5 finished under the total.

Toronto has won the last three times it has played in Tampa with all three being decided by one goal.

Alex Killorn leads Tampa Bay with three goals in the series after finishing the regular season with five goals in eight games.

For Toronto, Mitchell Marner has two goals and nine assists in the first five games of the series.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Game Information

  • Game: Tampa Bay Lightning (46-30-6 regular season) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (50-21-11)
  • Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
  • Day/Time: Saturday, April 29, 7 p.m. ET
  • Maple Leafs vs Lightning Live stream: NHL.TV

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Betting Lines

The odds in this chart are posted on the time of publication of the article. They are subject to change without previous notice.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Picks and Prediction

There were no power-play goals scored for the second time in the last three games after the teams struck for six man-advantage goals in the first game of the series.

Will the special teams have a role in Game 6? Tampa Bay converted on 29.5% of its power plays at home during the regular season. However, the Lightning also allowed nine short-handed goals at home. Toronto had the fifth-best penalty kill unit on the road during the regular season. It is something to keep in mind when it comes to live betting odds.

This has been the highest-scoring series in the first round with Toronto putting up 4.2 goals per game and Tampa Bay scoring four goals per contest.

Tampa Bay and Toronto are tied for second in hits per game and expect plenty of physical play in Game 6. With the recent playoff histories of the teams, it is hard to pick against the Lightning in this matchup.

When making NHL predictions, keep in mind that Toronto is just 17-26 against the spread at home while Tampa Bay is 16-27 against the NHL betting lines on the road.

Tampa Bay is 40-24-7 when listed as the favorite by the NHL odds with Toronto is 12-5-2 as the underdog.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are listed at -110 in our Las Vegas hockey odds. This means that if you wager $100 on the Lightning, you have a chance to win $91.00. Tampa Bay is -110, offering a chance to win $91.00 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 52.38% chance to win, with the Toronto Maple Leafs at 52.38%.

Playoffs week 2
Playoffs week 2

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Edge

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Results

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Game Summary

Did you find this article interesting?

Comments (0)