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Home » NHL » NHL Picks » Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Teams on Roll Entering Matchup

Ryan Knuppel by Ryan Knuppel
Nov 28, 2022, 10:51am ET
in NHL Picks
Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Winning Streaks on Line

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings have both won four of their last five games. The Maple Leafs have won three games in a row while the Red Wings are riding a four-game winning streak. However, the Maple Leafs’ wins are more impressive when considering the competition.

The Maple Leafs ended New Jersey’s unreal winning streak and defeated Pittsburgh, Minnesota and Buffalo while losing in overtime to the New York Islanders in their last five games. Conversely, the Red Wings have built their winning streak by beating San Jose, Columbus, a good Nashville team and the Arizona Coyotes.

We’ll review the stats, trends, and odds and find the best picks for Monday’s online sports betting ticket.

Let’s check the latest NHL odds, stats, injury reports, and NHL lines for Maple Leafs vs Red Wings. We’ve plenty of NHL betting odds for you to consider.

Maple Leafs Impressive

Not only is the Toronto Maple Leafs‘ strength of competition during this winning streak impressive, but so too are the injury issues they’ve been dealing with all season. Half of the Maple Leafs’ top-six defensemen and early-season standout in net Ilya Samsonov are all on the injured reserve list, but Toronto is still winning games.

The Maple Leafs are averaging 3.00 goals per game on 30.7 shots while averaging 2.57 goals against on 28.3 shots. The Leafs’ power play has converted on 24.3 percent of their chances (18 power-play goals), while the penalty kill has been a weak point giving up 16 goals against (78.4% efficiency).

Mitchell Marner is on a heater and leads the Maple Leafs in scoring with 27 points (six goals, 21 assists).

We expect Matt Murray to get the start for Toronto as Erik Kallgren started their last matchup – a 4-1 win over the Pittsburgh Penguins. Murray has a 4-1-1 record with a 2.51 goals-against average and a .921 save percentage.

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How Improved are Red Wings?

We know that the Detroit Red Wings are an improved hockey team, but how improved are they?

While their season has been very good, we’ve seen them struggle against varying competition levels. However, the Detroit Red Wings will make it a difficult night for any team. Toronto represents a chance to measure the 2022-23 Red Wings against a team with the playoffs firmly in their future.

The Red Wings are averaging 3.25 goals on 29.3 shots while averaging 3.00 goals against on 31.2 shots. The Red Wings’ power play has very similar stats to the Maple Leafs, scoring 17 power-play goals and converting 23.3% of their opportunities. Detroit’s penalty killers have been better than Toronto’s, killing 82% of Detroit’s penalties (11 power-play goals against).

We’re not sure who starts for the Red Wings, but Ville Husso has played the last five games in a row. We think Husso gives the Red Wings the best chance to defeat the Maple Leafs. Husso has a 9-2-3 record with a 2.39 goals-against average and a .919 save percentage.

However, the Red Wings goalie situation is more complicated as Detroit is carrying three netminders on its NHL roster. So, we’re not sure if Alex Nedeljkovic or Magnus Hellberg will get the start if the Red Wings don’t start Husso. Our picks change depending on who the Red Wings are starting.

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Game Injuries

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Head-to-Head

This is the first of four head-to-head matchups between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Detroit Red Wings this season.

Last season, the Maple Leafs won all four head-to-head matchups. The Maple Leafs averaged 6.25 goals per game while the Red Wings averaged 3.75 goals.

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Game Information

  • Game: Maple Leafs (13-5-5) vs Red Wings (11-5-4)
  • Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
  • Day/Time: Monday, Nov. 28, 7 p.m. ET
  • Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Live stream: NHL.TV
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Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Betting Lines

Betting Odds Calculator

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Picks & Prediction

The Red Wings are 11-9 straight up on the moneyline while the Maple Leafs are 13-10.

Toronto has an 8-15 record against the spread (ATS) while Detroit has a 12-8 ATS record.

The Maple Leafs have a 7-15 over/under record while the Red Wings are 10-10 over/under.

We think the Detroit Red Wings and Husso can win this game. We’d consider taking the Red Wings to end the Maple Leafs’ winning streak. However, we don’t like the Red Wings’ current goaltending situation and think that Detroit might start one of two other options than Husso in the net.

We are taking the Toronto Maple Leafs for our betting online to continue their winning streak. We also think the Maple Leafs might cover the spread in this one, although we’re less confident considering their ATS record.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are listed at -165 in our Vegas Lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Maple Leafs, you have a chance to win $61. The Red Wings are +145, offering a chance to win $145.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Maple Leafs a 62.26% chance to win, with the Red Wings at 40.82%.

BET THIS PICK: Toronto Maple Leafs -1½ (+165)
BET THIS PICK: Toronto Maple Leafs (-165)

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Trends

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Edge

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Results

Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Game Summary

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Tags: Detroit Red WingsNHL PicksToronto Maple Leafs
Ryan Knuppel

Ryan Knuppel

Ryan Knuppel has been writing about sports & sports betting topics online for over 15 years. He was a college basketball All-American in the early 2000's and has always had a deep understanding for sports. Ryan was the 2011 Buffalo Wild Wings National "Pickem" Winner which earned him a trip to play flag football with Jerry Rice and Deion Sanders. He was also a 2015 FanDuel.com Playboy Mansion NBA Championships Qualifier in daily fantasy sports. But his true claim to fame is the fact that he has played basketball with and against THE Michael Jordan numerous times in his life. Ryan is excited to be writing and covering sports here and would love to hear from you on social media.

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