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Home » NHL » NHL Picks » Canadiens vs Lightning 2021 NHL Week 11

Canadiens vs Lightning 2021 NHL Week 11

Paolo Go by Paolo Go
Dec 28, 2021, 11:22am ET
in NHL Picks
Canadiens vs Lightning

Minas Panagiotakis/Getty Images/AFP

With the NHL tentatively returning to action this Tuesday, the Tampa Bay Lightning and visiting Montreal Canadiens square off in a rematch of last season’s Stanley Cup Final. Taking into account the latest news, stats, and injury reports, Tampa Bay is a sizable favorite on the NHL betting lines as these COVID-stripped squads get back on the ice.

Lightning, Canadiens Scraping for Bodies

Lightning in a Taxi

In case you haven’t heard, the NHL will be returning the “Taxi Squad” rules so expect at least a quarter of NHL rosters, including the Lightning, to contain names you’d normally not see. Tampa Bay will start this game without netminders in Andrei Vasilevskiy and Brian Elliott along with several others.

So #tblightning players/staff currently in COVID protocol: Mikhail Sergachev, Andrei Vasilevskiy, Brian Elliott, Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, Anthony Cirelli, Andrej Sustr, Jon Cooper, Rob Zettler

— Joe Smith (@JoeSmithTB) December 27, 2021

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Syracuse goalies Amir Miftakhov, along with one of Hugo Alnefelt and Maxime Lagace will be called up. Miftakhov appeared in 12 games for the Crunch, posting a record of 3-4-2 with a 90.7 save percentage.

It is a far cry from having the league’s best goaltender but at least Tampa will still have several key players like leading scorer Steven Stamkos and top defenseman Victor Hedman. If any team can overcome the absences, it’s the two-time defending Stanley Cup champions.

The Future Canadiens

Watch out Arizona, Montreal is coming for that No. 1 pick. And no, COVID absences don’t need to do anything with this team. The Stanley Cup runners-up already entered the season without several of their best players and general manager Marc Bergevin took the fall for what has been a historically bad season.

Montreal’s 27.4 point percentage is the second-worst record they’ve had ever. This is the worst the team has been since the 1939-40 Canadiens, when the team’s parents were not even born yet.

And there is no sugarcoating how bad the team is. They stink on both ends of the ice. Their power play (PP) is atrocious and they are one of only two teams that do not have a player with at least 10 goals. Betting online against Montreal goes as far as laying juice for the other team’s puckline.

Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Head to Head

Montreal Stat Tampa Bay
1-9-0 Record 9-0-1
3-6-0 Over/Under 3-6-0
1.60 Average Score 3.40
12.50% Power Play % 17.39%
82.61% Penalty Kill % 87.50%

Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Game Information

  • Date: Tuesday
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Amalie Arena
  • Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Live Stream: NHL Live

Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Lines

Montreal Tampa Bay
+240 Moneyline -280
30.53% Implied Probability 69.47%
+1½

(-105)

Puck Line -1½

(-115)

6

(-110o)

Total 6

(-110u)

Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

Tampa Bay is going to whoop on Montreal here. It would take a herculean effort from Cayden Primeau or whoever starts in net to give Montreal a shot here. But their nerfed power play and subpar penalty kill will be what dooms them. The Lightning have only lost to Montreal twice in the last three seasons.

The question here is if Tampa Bay can beat Montreal by at least two goals. We backed them to do it the first time and the Lightning fell just short. But the Lightning will strike twice and get it done this time.

Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1½ (-115)

We’re this close to picking the over here as Tampa Bay could just score six or more goals on Montreal. But a more likely result is the Lightning scoring somewhere between three to five goals while Montreal gets one or none. Take the under from the BetUS online sportsbook.

Pick: Under 6 (-110)

Parlay: Lightning -1½ and Under 6 (+281)

 

BET THIS NHL GAME

Tags: Montreal CanadiensNHL PicksTampa Bay Lightning
Paolo Go

Paolo Go

As a long-time Toronto Raptors and Buffalo Bills fan, Go Paolo knows that every dog gets its day. Paolo fancies himself as an underdog in the sports betting world as he does not come from a traditional sports background. He did not become a hardcore sports fan until his freshman days in college studying Mass Media and Communications. While he played basketball and trained in martial arts, Paolo sees himself more as a nerd who cut his teeth in sports analysis by dropping truth bombs and stone-cold facts against crazed fans from online message boards. It was here he caught the attention of several sports journalists and website owners who gave him his start as a sportswriter. He has since published with the likes of Sportsnet and FanSided and has been writing about sports betting for over five years. Paolo is thrilled to continue covering sports and cannot wait to unearth more underdogs and unconventional winners.

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