Skip to content

NHL Picks: Go with Leafs To Continue Montreal’s Home Woes

Toronto goes after its 20th road win against one of the worst home teams in the NHL when Atlantic Division rivals Toronto and Montreal get together Saturday. This will be the 23rd consecutive time that the NHL latest lines list the Maple Leafs as the favorite against the Canadiens.

Toronto has won three games in a row against Montreal after winning the first game between the teams, 6-.5 Auston Matthews scored three times while Mitchell Marner netted the winning goal in a shootout. It was the second game in a row between the teams to go over the total.

NHL Picks: Go with Leafs To Continue Montreal's Home Woes
NHL Picks: Go with Leafs To Continue Montreal's Home Woes

The NHL betting lines list the Maple Leafs at +115 to cover the puck line as a 1½-goal favorite.

When looking at NHL futures odds, Toronto is eighth at +1300 in the odds to win the Stanley Cup. Montreal is well back at +50000 in the championship odds.


Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Game Information

  1. Game: Maple Leafs (36-19-8) vs Canadiens (24-29-10)
  2. Date/Time: Saturday, March, 9, 7 p.m. ET
  3. Location: Bell Centre, Montreal
  4. Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Live Stream: NHL.com


Toronto is 13-4-6 when listed as a road underdog. The Maple Leafs have covered in 5 of the last 19 games as the favorite on the road. Montreal is 7-15-3 as a home underdog and has covered against the puck line in 16 of those games.

Toronto is priced at -200 to win the game outright while the Canadiens are +170 in our sportsbook odds even with Toronto being pretty quiet at the trade deadline.

The Canadiens and Maple Leafs meet on Saturday, March 9, at Bell Centre in Montreal. You can watch the game on the NHL Network at 7 pm ET.


Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Odds and Spreads


  1. The total went under in 13 of the last 20 games between the Canadiens and Maple Leafs.
  2. Toronto is 28-20-6 as the favorite.
  3. Montreal has a 19-38-10 record as the underdog.
  4. Montreal is 19-12 against the Las Vegas odds at home.
  5. The Maple Leafs are 12-19 ATS on the road.
  6. The total went under in four of Toronto’s last five games.
  7. Five of the last six games for Toronto against Atlantic Division teams went under the total.
  8. Six of Montreal’s last nine games against Eastern Conference teams went over the total.


Maple Leafs vs Canadiens ATS Pick: Maple Leafs -1½ (+115)

Montreal has won its last five home games against Toronto. Will that trend continue against a Toronto team with the sixth-best points percentage in the NHL since the start of February?

Toronto has won four of its last five road games and is 4-2 over the last six matchups with the Canadiens. That is enough to roll with Toronto to continue its recent run of strong play.

Forward Matthew Knies is questionable for Toronto while defensemen John Klingberg, Mark Giordano, Jake Muzzin, and Conor Timmins are all out.

Defenseman Johnathan Kovacevic is questionable for Montreal.


Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Over/Under Pick: Under 6½ (-115)

Toronto has four goals in its last three games. However, two of those matchups were against the Boston Bruins. There should be more open ice for the Maple Leafs in this matchup. It still could be the smart play to have this game finish under the 6½-goal total.

The total has gone over in six of the last Atlantic Division games for the Canadiens. That is something to consider for NHL over/under predictions.


Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Player Prop Pick: William Nylander 1+ Points (-141)

William Nylander has been pretty quiet recently with two goals and no assists over his last four games. In his last five games against Montreal, he has four goals and three assists, so take a look at the +141 odds for Nylander to have at least two points for your player prop bets.


Bet Now! $450 NHL Bonus Available for $200 Bets on your first deposit!


Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Montreal Canadiens 2



Questions of the Day

Which team has a better ATS record coming into the matchup between the Canadiens and the Maple Leafs?

The Canadiens are second in the NHL with a 40-23 record against the NHL betting lines. Toronto is 22-39 against the spread.

What is a good player prop option for the Montreal Canadiens?

Nick Suzuki has five goals in his last six games for the Canadiens. He could be a solid option at +179 to have at least one goal in this game as he looks to match his career-high with his 26th goal of the season.

Did you find this article interesting?

Comments (0)