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Profit on the Predators To Prey on the Canucks

The Stanley Cup Playoffs produce at least one upset in the first round. And we’re hitching our wagons to the Nashville Predators beginning with Game 1. These wily underdogs will roll into Vancouver and take the fight to the Canucks on Sunday. The NHL public betting odds favor the higher-seeded Canucks. But if we roll it back to November 18, after Nashville’s 5-10 start, the Predators have been better than the Canucks.

 

Profit on the Predators To Prey on the Canucks
Profit on the Predators To Prey on the Canucks

 

Predators vs Canucks Game Information

  • Game: Predators (47-30-5) vs Canucks (50-23-9)
  • Date/Time: April 21, 10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC
  • Predators vs Canucks Live Stream: NHL.com

 

Nashville is listed at +125 on the book. And its NHL playoff odds are at +130 to win the series. We’ll gladly bet these numbers when considering how each team has looked recently. Nashville is 42-20-5 in its final 67 games while Vancouver is 39-20-8. Not much separates these teams and the Predators have more playoff experience.

Predators vs Canucks Odds and Spreads

 

 

 

  • Nashville is 11-5 in its last 16 road games
  • Vancouver is 1-4 in its last five games against Central Division opponents
  • The Predators are 15-10 against the puck line (ATS) in road games against conference opponents
  • The total has gone over in eight of Nashville’s last nine games in Vancouver
  • The total has gone over four of Vancouver’s last six games
  • Predators F Ryan O’Reilly has four points in his last three road games

 

Predators vs Canucks ML Pick: Nashville Predators (+125)

Home teams win Game 1 of a series 62.6% of the time. Translate this to online sports betting odds and it’s roughly -167, so the Canucks have a good deal at -145? It depends. On one hand, Vancouver has a significant edge in goaltending and finishing. This is why Vancouver leads the league in PDO while Nashville is 17th. But there is a caveat.

Thatcher Demko, Vancouver’s star netminder, is still hurt and iffy. We saw how poorly he played last season when he toughed it out through an injury. He had a .901 save percentage (SV%) and a 3.16 goals-against average. He’s only played in two games since his knee injury and he looked rough against Winnipeg.

Vancouver is 15-16 without Demko. This team depends heavily on him since it fades down the stretch. The Canucks’ greatest strength is in the first period where it is a whopping +26. However, Nashville is built to withstand this. It is +14 after the first period and outshoots hosts in the first two periods.

Goaltender Juuse Saros needs to match Demko. He’s been lit up by Vancouver but has a .921 SV% in his last six playoff starts. Nashville can outshoot and outchance Vancouver here, especially on 5-on-5. It’s worth betting online it can get the best of Vancouver as the expected metrics indicate.

 

 

Predators vs Canucks Player Prop Pick: Anytime Goalscorer – Ryan O’Reilly (+250)

If Nashville upsets Vancouver, it will need a hero. Ryan O’Reilly is a Conn Smythe Trophy winner and he makes any team he’s on better. It’s no coincidence Nashville is back to the playoffs. But look at this absurd stat: he has one goal in 46 career games against Vancouver. That’s one goal on 97 shots.

Maybe we’re prone to “gambler’s fallacy” here. But we get the sense he’s due to score, especially with Demko potentially not himself. The sportsbook is offering +250 for him to get the monkey off his back. It’s worth a dart throw.

 

 

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Predators vs Canucks Game Prediction

Predators 4, Canucks 3

 

 

Questions of the Day

Which team has the better value in first-period betting?


Like the moneyline, we’ll take the dog shot on Nashville’s first-period bet.

Which team is the best bet to win the Western Conference?


Nashville has the longest NHL line to win the Western Conference at 18/1. It’s worth a small wager.

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