The Montreal Canadiens will be going all out to pick up their first win after getting dominated by the Tampa Bay Lightning in the first two games of the Stanley Cup Finals.
Now in an 0-2 series hole as they get set to host the defending champion Lightning on Friday night, the Canadiens will be throwing everything they have at Tampa Bay, including the proverbial kitchen sink.
With Montreal completely and utterly desperate and Tampa Bay looking to solidify its already-convincing series lead, the NHL odds for Game 3 are again offering avid hockey bettors a ton of value in the BetUS online sportsbook. Now, let’s find out where that value lies for online betting.
Lightning at Canadiens
When: Friday, 8 p.m. ET
Where: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec
TV: NBC, CBC, SN, TVAS
Radio: TSN 690 – 98. 5FM, 970 WFLA
Tampa Bay -135
Tampa Bay -1½ (+195)
Montreal +1½ (-235)
3 Goals Without Reply
Analysis: This wager looks like a value-packed pick because of its simplicity. Tampa Bay is the only team capable of scoring three consecutive goals and that’s not going to happen in Game 3 with the Canadiens desperate and playing at home in front of a raucous crowd that will give them a boost of adrenaline.
Pick: No (-115)
Tampa Bay Trends
The Lightning are 6-1 in their last seven Stanley Cup Finals games.
The Lightning are 25-10 in their last 35 playoff games as a favorite.
Under is 9-1-3 in Lightning’s last 13 road games.
Under is 10-4-2 in Lightning’s last 16 overall.
Both Teams to Score Two or More Goals
Analysis: Sure, the Canadiens have been held to an identical one goal in each of the first two games and, yes, the Habs are going up against the game’s best netminder in Andrei Vasilevskiy. Still, I like Montreal to get two past the superstar goalie in order to have a chance to pull off the upset. Conversely, there is no holding Tampa Bay under two goals. Both teams will score at least two goals in Game 3.
Pick: Yes (-115)
The Canadiens are 10-2 in their last 12 games playing on one day of rest.
The Canadiens are 5-1 in their last six home games.
Under is 4-0-2 in Canadiens’ last six games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-1-4 in Canadiens’ last 10 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
Score in First 9½ Minutes of Game
Analysis: I’ve missed out on this props odds wager in both games by going with the “No” selection in Game 1 and the “Yes” pick in Game 2, but I remain unperturbed against this fun wager.
Montreal is completely and utterly desperate after losing the first two games by a combined score of 8-2. While there’s absolutely no way that the Canadiens will beat Tampa Bay four times in six games to claim this year’s Stanley Cup hardware, I do believe Montreal is good for one win in the series, most likely in Game 3.
With that said, I’m expecting Montreal to get on the scoreboard early against Vasilevskiy in order to boost their hopes of picking up a win against the clearly superior Lightning. The Canadiens will be hard-pressed to score three times, but an early goal will help them put at least two on the board. Montreal scores inside the 9½ minute mark to make this pick come up roses for the first time,
Pick: Yes (-115)
Favorite is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
Home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
The Lightning are 4-1 in the last five meetings in Montreal.
The Lightning are 14-3 in the last 17 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Montreal.
When Will Match End
Analysis: I’m going with my gut here. Montreal jumps out to an early lead before Tampa Bay comes back to tie the score. The teams go to overtime before Nick Suzuki ends in with a one-timer. In the words of the immortal Colonel Hannibal Smith, I love it when a plan comes together.
Pick: Overtime (+275)
Canadiens by 1 +280
Analysis: In keeping with my aforementioned prediction, I like Montreal to get it done by a lone goal to cash in as a value-packed +280 pick on this always fun-filled props odds wager.