The Underdog Dallas Stars Are A Value Bet In Game 6 At Edmonton

· Jun 01 - 5 minutes read

Rogers Place will be rocking on Sunday night when the Edmonton Oilers return home with a chance to punch their ticket to the Stanley Cup Final for the first time since 2006. The NHL odds have the Oilers as the home favorite in Game 6 continuing a trend when 18 consecutive matchups between the Stars and the Oilers have been the favorite.

Dallas has won five of its last eight games in Edmonton and earned a split of the first two games at Rogers Place in this series. Six of the last seven times that the Stars played on the road against Edmonton, the game landed over the total. There were a total of 15 goals scored in Games 3 and 4 in Edmonton.

The Dallas Stars will need Jake Oettinger to stand on his head to stop the Edmonton Oilers from advancing to the Stanley Cup Finals. Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by MATTHEW STOCKMAN / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

Underdog Dallas Stars Hope To Win In Edmonton And Force Game 7

The NHL betting line has Edmonton priced at -140 to win Game 5 with the Oilers at +185 to cover at -1½ on the puck line. Dallas has +120 odds to win the game outright.

If Dallas can extend the series to a winner-take-all Game 7, there are +275 odds for the Stars to win the series compared to +300 odds for the Oilers.

When looking at the NHL championship odds, the odds for the Oilers to win the Stanley Cup moved from +300 to +125 after the Game 5 win. The Stanley championship odds for the Stars are now at +600.

Stars vs Oilers Game Information

Game: Dallas Stars 62-27-11 (32-12-5 on the road) at Edmonton Oilers 60-32-7 (33-11-5 at home).
Date/Time: Sunday, June 2, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
TV & Live Stream: TNT

Oettinger, Stars Pretty Comfortable On the Road

There was very little to separate the results on the road and at home for Dallas as the Stars won the Central Division title and earned the top seed in the Western Conference playoffs.

It has been a different story in the postseason.

In eight road games, the Stars have outscored its opponents 25-17 while they have a -3 goal differential on home ice.

Dallas won its only other elimination game in this year’s playoffs. Radek Faksa scored after missing the previous four games and Jake Oettinger made eight of his 22 saves after the Stars took the lead early in the third period in a 2-1 win in Game 7 against reigning Stanley Cup champion Vegas.

Miro Heiskanen, Wyatt Johnston, Jason Robertson, and Tyler Seguin are tied for the team lead with eight points on the road in this year’s playoffs while Oettinger is 6-2 with a 1.71 goals-against average.

Six of the last nine games for the Stars went under the total.

Oilers Turn On the Power

Edmonton failed to score on the power play in each of the first four games of the series.

That all changed in Game 5 as the Oilers made the Stars pay with a pair of goals by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins after the first two Dallas penalties to give the Oilers a 2-0 lead.

Leon Draisaitl called Ryan Nugent-Hopkins the “coach’s favorite player.” 😂

The coach’s favorite player talked with @Jackie_Redmond ahead of Game 5. @EdmontonOilers | #LetsGoOilers | #StanleyCup pic.twitter.com/n8xBi49KoI

— NHL Network (@NHLNetwork) May 31, 2024

While neither team could hold onto early two-goal leads in the previous two games, this time Edmonton added to the lead with Phillip Broberg scoring his first career playoff goal to push the lead to 3-0 in the second period.

Wyatt Johnston’s 10th goal of the playoffs coming with less than six minutes to play was too little, too late for the Stars.

Edmonton outshot Dallas 6-2 with the man advantage with the 3-1 win pushing the Stars to the brink of elimination.

Edmonton has seen six of the previous nine games land under the odds total.

Stars Look to Reverse Troubling Betting Trend

Edmonton has won five of its eight games in this year’s playoffs as a home favorite. The Oilers have scored 24 goals in the five wins and 11 goals in the three losses.

Dallas has won two of its three games in the postseason as the road underdog and that includes a 5-3 win in this series.

Here are some numbers for those who bet online to consider heading into Game 6 of the series between Dallas and Edmonton.

Edmonton is 54-31-7 as the favorite this season.
Dallas is 6-7-2 as the underdog.
The Stars have covered in 27 of 49 road games.
Edmonton is 26-23 against the puck line on home ice.
Dallas has seen 28 of its 49 road games go under the total.
Seven of Edmonton’s last nine games went over the total.

Stars vs Oilers Injury Update

Defenseman Chris Tanev is questionable for the Stars while Dallas is already without defensemen Jani Hakanpaa and Jerad Rosburg.

Veteran winger Corey Perry is questionable for the Oilers after leaving the previous game with a shoulder injury.

Second Period Scoring Flurry Could Continue

Much of the focus has been on the early scoring in this season. However, the second period has been the one with the most action with 11 combined goals being scored. That has been a factor in both teams overcoming multi-goal deficits in this series.

When looking at player prop options, keep in mind that Edmonton’s Leon Draisaitl has two goals and an assist as Edmonton closed out Los Angeles and Vancouver earlier in this year’s playoffs.

The teams are a combined 2-for-20 on the power play in the first five games of the series.