Skip to content

Toronto Maple Leafs vs St. Louis Blues Game Preview, Odds, Picks & Predictions

Despite being perpetually injury-plagued, the St. Louis Blues manage to keep it going. They play host to the Toronto Maple Leafs as underdogs on the NHL betting lines despite being on a 13-game point streak at home. What is Toronto’s edge to be getting the chalk in this matchup?

Toronto Maple Leafs (23-9-3) vs St. Louis Blues (22-10-5)

Blues Unbeatable at Home

The St. Louis Blues have been the league’s best home team in the last two months. Overall, St. Louis has the third-best goal differential at +31, behind only Colorado and Florida. However, one stat that makes St. Louis a hot bet online at home: The Blues have never lost a game by more than one goal.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs St. Louis Blues Game Preview, Odds, Picks & Predictions
Toronto Maple Leafs vs St. Louis Blues Game Preview, Odds, Picks & Predictions

If the Blues were constantly underdogs at home, they would be flawless on the puckline. As it stands, a 12-8 puckline record isn’t too shabby. St. Louis’s strongest benefactor at the Enterprise Center is its goaltending.


The team is still giving up nearly 31 shots a game and is outshooting opponents by just two shots on average. And yet the Blues are giving up just 2.1 goals at home thanks to a league-leading 93.0 save percentage (SV%). Ville Husso is unbeaten at home (5-0-0) with a whopping 95.1 SV%. Whew.

Maple Leafs Shake Off Bad Loss

Welp, it felt inevitable that the Toronto Maple Leafs would lose a trap game. Karel Vejmelka turned aside 45 of 46 shots as the Arizona Coyotes stunned the Leafs and sunk what was Toronto’s -320 online sports betting odds.

It’s back to the drawing board for Toronto, which remains a favorite despite the letdown. The Leafs have generally been decent as favorites with a 6-2 record in their last eight games and 23-9 overall. But that loss was a big one as it put the Leafs down by 2.3 units on the moneyline.

Toronto is without Mitch Marner and newly minted All-Star Jack Campbell, who is resting. Backup netminder Petr Mrazek has played sparsely and did not look his best against Arizona, but he’s proven to be capable in his career and should be good enough to lead Toronto on most nights.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs St. Louis Blues Head to Head

Toronto Stat St. Louis
3-4-3 Record 7-3-0
2-5-3 Over/Under 2-5-3
2.50 Average Score 2.90
12.5% Power Play % 15.4%
84.6% Penalty Kill % 87.5%

Toronto Maple Leafs vs St. Louis Blues Game Information

Date: Saturday

Time: 7 p.m. ET

Location: Enterprise Center

Toronto Maple Leafs vs St. Louis Blues Live Stream: NHL Live

Toronto Maple Leafs vs St. Louis Blues Betting Lines

Toronto St. Louis
-200 Moneyline +170
-1½

(-145)

Puck Line +1½

(+165)

5 1/2

(-115o)

Total 5 1/2

(-105u)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs St. Louis Blues Prediction

Will lightning strike twice? Will Toronto get stonewalled for a second straight game by a hot goaltender? It’s possible. Husso has been nigh-unbeatable at home and despite Toronto’s prolific offense, the Leafs are just 9-5-2 on the road and 2-5 in their last seven trips to St. Louis.

The Blues are also much more proficient at home. Even if Mrazek holds a career 92.3 SV% against them, St. Louis is a better bet as an underdog.

Pick: St. Louis Blues +120

We have two potent offenses going head-to-head so it behooves us to lean on the over, right? Nope. The Blues’ ability to neutralize most offenses at home will come to play here. This is a team that held Washington, Edmonton and Vegas to two goals or less.

Pick: Under 6 goals (-110)

Parlay: St. Louis Blues and Under 6 (+320)

Did you find this article interesting?

Comments (0)

Featured Picks

Related News