Niko Tosa Roulette Strategy vs Traditional Approaches

Tosa entered the casino with a pair of accomplices and proceeded to take the venue for thousands of pounds a night.

As noted in our guide to how to play roulette, this wheel-based game is a game of chance. There should be no way to beat it consistently, and while there are a variety of strategies, they aren’t as effective as playing optimally in a poker tournament or blackjack game.

The Niko Tosa Roulette Strategy: What Was it?

There is no official word on the Niko Tosa roulette strategy, so if you’re here to learn tips and tricks from the gambler who beat roulette, you will be disappointed.

We do have some information, though, and we can use that to try and guess what he might have done.

According to the original report, security cameras recorded Tosa’s actions, and the tables he chose were also checked. Nothing unusual was discovered.

The police got involved after Tosa was suspected of cheating, suggesting they thought he was using an illegal device or colluding with the croupier, but again, nothing was found.

Potential Techniques Used by the Gambler Who Beat Roulette

If we take the story at face value, we have to assume that Niko Tosa didn’t collude with anyone.

Apparently, after entering the casino, he spent some time looking around. He could have been getting his bearings, but he may also have been looking for a specific wheel or table, perhaps one he had already studied.

That brings us to the first potential solution: mechanical flaws, known as the game’s “Achilles’ heel.”

The Achillies Heel

Roulette wheels are perfectly balanced. They must be, as that’s the only way to ensure a random outcome. The problem is that those wheels are spun hundreds of times a night. That’s a lot of action, and depending on how stable the wheel is, how aggressive the dealer is, and how well the wheel is treated, it could lead to imbalances and flaws.

In a game as finely balanced as roulette, it only takes a slight variation for players to gain an advantage.

For instance, imagine someone giving you a 1:1 payout for a coin flip. It’s an even payout for an even probability, so there is no edge. But if there is a nick on the coin, which means heads will land 60% of the time, you could win a lot of money betting on that outcome if you stretched your bankroll over an extended period.

In roulette, a little wear and tear can create a dent in the wheel, which means the ball is more likely to land on specific numbers. It doesn’t need to hit those numbers every time, as just being slightly more likely could help the player.

Dealer and Game Advantages

The roulette ball will only bounce a certain number of times, and if you study the dealer’s actions and how the ball reacts, you can get a rough idea of how many times it will bounce. If you pay attention to where it is dropped and leave your bets until the last second, you could use this knowledge to estimate a result.

It would be nearly impossible to guess the exact number every time, but that’s not what Niko Tosa did.

He left his bets as late as possible and then covered various numbers—up to 15 at a time.

Roulette Software/Timers

Many have argued that Tosa must have used some timer or prediction software. These programs use information from the game, such as the location of the ball drop, to estimate the most likely outcomes.

However, Tosa was adamant that he didn’t use any such tools. Considering the police investigated and cleared the matter, we have to assume he was telling the truth.

Could it Have Been a Simple Strategy or Luck?

It’s possible that Tosa was using an accepted progressive or non-progressive strategy. Still, we’re dealing with experienced croupiers and managers who know the game inside out and have seen everything.

If they hadn’t mentioned it, then it probably didn’t happen, and while Tosa could have created his strategy, nothing is successful enough to deliver a consistent profit.

You can try a few of these strategies to see their effectiveness. See our guide on how to choose an optimal roulette strategy.

He could have been very lucky, but we’re talking about multiple wins over successive nights on a game with a clear house edge. It’s unlikely.

Summary: The Man Who Beat Roulette

Whether played at a land-based or online casino, roulette is a fun game of chance. It can’t be beaten with skill and strategy alone and usually needs some kind of interference, a lot of which is classified as cheating, with such techniques likely getting you thrown out of the casino.

This makes the Niko Tosa story all the more intriguing, but we don’t know how he did it, and it’s unlikely he’ll ever reveal his secrets.