Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Odds, Predictions and Betting Trends for 9/29

In other words, it seems like a great opportunity for Atletico Madrid to take down Los Blancos and move up to second place. Time to check the latest soccer odds and find out if Los Colchoneros have what it takes to pull off the stunner!

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Match Information

• Match: Atletico Madrid (4-3-0) vs Real Madrid (5-2-0)
• Date: Sunday, Sept. 29
• Time: 3 p.m. ET
• Location: Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid
• Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Live Stream: fuboTV

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Odds and Handicap

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Trends

• The last meeting between the two finished 1-1.
• Both scored in the last four editions of the Madrid Derby.
• The total exceeded 2½ goals in two of the last five meetings between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.
• Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid haven’t drawn 0-0 since the 2019-20 season.
• Real Madrid averages 1.9 goals on the road.
• Atletico Madrid averages 2.2 goals at home.
• Real Madrid is 1-2-0 on the road.
• Atletico Madrid is 2-1-0 at home.
• The total has gone under in five of Real Madrid’s last seven games.

Best Two Picks for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

1. Bet on a Low Scoring Affair

If there’s something you can expect from a Madrid Derby, is a fast-paced, close, back-and-forth battle. After all, defeating your greatest enemy isn’t about winning three points, it’s about becoming kings of the city until the next meeting between the two.

That’s why we usually get an intense match but not too many goals. The total has gone under 2½ goals in three of the last five meetings between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid. As if that weren’t enough, we’re talking about two of the best defensive units in the league; Atletico Madrid has conceded three goals in seven goals, while Los Blancos have conceded five.

There’s also the fact that Real Madrid will be without Kylian Mbappe, the team’s top scorer with five goals. The Frenchman is expected to miss the next three games, which means Endrick will have to take a step forward and I don’t know if the 18-year-old is ready for such a big responsibility.

The good news is that Real Madrid’s attacking unit also includes Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo Goes, and Jude Bellingham, which means they’ll still create some chances, even if they decide to rely on the counterattack.

And let’s not forget that two of the best goalkeepers in the world will be on the pitch, Jan Oblak and Thibaut Courtois.

Simply Jan Oblak 🐐 #LaLigaHighlights pic.twitter.com/DhKtDQKKwq

— Atlético de Madrid (@atletienglish) September 26, 2024

Bet $200, Get $450 Soccer Bonus on first time deposit.

Having said that, I do expect both teams to score, which is offering a -175 price at BetUS Sportsbook, but I don’t expect the game total to go over 2½ goals. That’s right, that means my score prediction for the Madrid Derby is 1-1.

Bet on Game Total Under 2½, 3 Goals (-117)

2. Bet on Julian Alvarez to Score

With Mbappe out, Vinicius became the favorite to score for Real Madrid. The Brazilian, who has scored three goals, is offering a +185 price in the soccer odds. However, regarding the visitors, my choice would be Rodrygo at +225.

As for Atletico Madrid, Los Colchoneros offer two great options, Alexander Sorloth and Julian Alvarez. Last season, Sorloth scored 23 goals for Villarreal, but this season, he hasn’t scored since Matchday 1.

On the other hand, Alvarez has scored two goals, including the winner against Celta de Vigo midweek. Sorloth is +185, while Alvarez is +225.

I like Alvarez for one simple reason, the Argentinian has been coming off the bench to replace Sorloth in the second half. Knowing head coach Diego Simeone likes to play 4-5-1 in big games, I expect Sorloth to start against Real Madrid. However, I don’t expect any team to score until the second half, when the defensive units are already worn, and there’s when Alvarez comes into play.

Plus, the Argentinian is better than Sorloth when it comes to facing the keeper one-on-one. Sorloth is better through the air, but Real Madrid’s defensive unit includes Antonio Rudiger and Eder Militao, two of the best center-backs in the business when it comes to defending on the air.

Trust this soccer prediction, include Alvarez in your soccer picks, the Argentinian is eager to score in an important game like this. After all, Atletico Madrid spent a lot of money to sign him.

Bet on Julian Alvarez Anytime Goalscorer (+225)

Questions Of The Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.