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Bundesliga Betting: Can Anyone Slow Stuttgart?

It has been nine months since VfB Stuttgart finished 16th in the Bundesliga table, missing out on automatic safety by a point, avoiding relegation by two, and booking their ticket in the promotion/relegation playoff, where they would demolish HSV 6-1 across two legs. Despite losing key figures like Wataru Endo, Konstantinos Mavropanos, and Borna Sosa in the summer, Stuttgart has emerged as one of the breakout sides in European football under Sebastian Hoeness. They are the owner of the longest winning streak in Germany’s top flight, and they’re a surefire addition to your Bundesliga betting picks.

After opening 2024 with back-to-back defeats, it seemed that Stuttgart was struggling to cope with the absence of top scorer Serhou Guirassy, who was representing Guinea at the Africa Cup of Nations. However, they rebounded in stellar fashion with a 5-2 win vs. RB Leipzig and a 3-1 win at Freiburg.

Bundesliga Betting: Can Anyone Slow Stuttgart?
Stuttgart's German defender #02 Waldemar Anton /THOMAS KIENZLE / AFP

Despite taking the lead on two occasions, they were undone by a 90th-minute goal from Jonathan Tah, who continued Bayer Leverkusen’s unbeaten campaign and booked their spot in the DFB-Pokal semifinals. Stuttgart bounced back in stellar fashion with a comfortable 3-1 victory against Mainz, whilst their following match would see Guirassy score his first goal for club or country since Dec. 20.

Guirassy enjoyed a historic start to the Bundesliga season, breaking Robert Lewandowski’s record from 2020-21 by scoring an astonishing 14 goals in eight Bundesliga matches. Whilst his form has cooled off in recent months due to hamstring issues, he has nevertheless racked up 20 goals and two assists in 18 appearances across all competitions for Stuttgart. His confidence will be sky-high after grabbing his first goal of 2024. If you’re planning to bet on German soccer, bet on Guirassy finding the back of the net for a second straight match.

The first half of Stuttgart’s match against Darmstadt on Saturday would see Guirassy head home from close range in the 14th minute. On the cusp of halftime, Pascal Stenzel received a second yellow after catching his opponent in the face. And yet, 10-man Stuttgart hung on and doubled their lead in the 92nd minute via January recruit Mahmoud Dahoud before Aaron Seydel would cut into their lead to force a nervy final four minutes.

Unlike Bayer Leverkusen, Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, and Eintracht Frankfurt, Stuttgart are only involved in one competition. Die Schwaben has one mission: Finish in the top four and reach the UEFA Champions League for the first time in 15 years. We’re backing them to come away with a win in our Bundesliga betting predictions, and we’re backing them to take a huge step toward returning to Europe’s premier competition.



Lack of Goals a Cause for Concern for Cologne

Cologne are scoring just 0.68 goals per match, a worrisome pattern that could very well result in their relegation. It should come as no surprise that our sportsbooks are backing Stuttgart at -316 as they look to come away with their fifth straight Bundesliga win as they host Cologne on Saturday.

Cologne occupy the relegation play-off spot and sit one point above Mainz and six away from automatic safety, and they have not won on the road since December 1. They have conceded 36 goals in 22 matches and have been unable to stay competitive against the Bundesliga’s top sides, losing 4-0 to Dortmund, 6-0 to RB Leipzig, 3-0 to Bayer Leverkusen, and 1-0 to Bayern Munich.

The last time these two sides met, Stuttgart won 2-0 at Cologne via a second-half brace from Deniz Undav, and I’m expecting something similar in my Bundesliga predictions.

Cologne are in jeopardy of dropping down to the second tier for the first time since 2018-19, and one of the biggest culprits has been their underperforming attack. They have scored a paltry 15 goals in 22 league matches, the worst in the division. After failing to find the back of the net on Friday in a 1-0 loss to Werder Bremen, they could have a tough time finding a way past a Stuttgart side that looks determined to finish in the top four. Stuttgart sit third in the table, four behind Bayern, five above Dortmund, and six above Leipzig, and they’re a surefire bet to not only come away with a fifth straight win, but a clean sheet as well.



Questions Of The Day

Which Bundesliga team is likely to win and keep a clean sheet this season?

Stuttgart have scored five and conceded zero in their last two matches against Cologne, and they should have no issues getting a clean sheet and a fourth straight win against Cologne.

Which Bundesliga side is likely to suffer relegation?

Cologne have the worst attack in the Bundesliga, and there’s a reason why the sportsbooks are backing them to go down at +125.

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