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Can Italy Win Back-to-Back Euro titles? Odds Say No

Can Italy win back-to-back Euro titles? Humm, the short answer is yes but the long version is: Yes, but not likely. After winning the continental title in 2020, the Azzurri failed to qualify for the 2022 World Cup. According to the latest soccer odds, Italy isn’t even among the top four favorites to win the Euro 2024 edition. However, now that I think about it, not having so much pressure can play in their favor

 

Can Italy Win Back-to-Back Euro titles Odds Say No
Gianluca Scamacca - Joris Verwijst / Orange Pictures / DPPI via AF

EURO 2024 Information

  • Dates: June 14 – July 14
  • Location: Germany (10 venues)
  • Teams: 24
  • Defending Champions: Italy

 

A Team Full of Champs

I really missed players like Alessandro Del Piero, Francesco Totti and Paolo Maldini, but if there’s something that cannot be denied, it’s that the current version of Italy is full of talent and winners.

To start, Gianluigi Donnarumma is the goalkeeper. He was crucial for Italy to pull off the stunner in the Euro 2020 final against England. To this day, he isn’t welcome in London. This season, he was crucial for PSG to win the Ligue 1 title and the Coupe de France.

Let’s continue with the defense, which is built around Inter Milan, the reigning Serie A champions. The Nerazzurri provide four players, including Alessandro Bastoni, considered one of the best center-backs on the continent. He led a defense that only conceded 22 goals in 38 games.

Something similar happens with the midfielder unit, which will be led by Nicolo Barella and Davide Fratessi, who also play for Inter Milan. There’s also Nicolo Fagioli, who won the Coppa Italia with Juventus.

Finally, the attacking unit will be led by Gianluca Scamacca, who was crucial for Atalanta to win the UEFA Europa League. The Italian side defeated an unbeaten Bayer Leverkusen in the Grand Finale 3-0. During the tournament, Scamacca scored six goals and he also scored 12 goals in the Serie A.

 

 

The talent is there, I’m just not so sure about the attitude and the chemistry, which is why Italy is +1400 in the sportsbook to win the title. Germany, France, England and Spain are the favorites.

 

 

Recent Results

As mentioned before, Italy failed to qualify for the 2022 WC, which is why the 2020 Euro is the team’s last major tournament to reference. The Azzurri finished unbeaten and with 13 goals for and only four against. They defeated powerhouses like Belgium, Spain and England.

Italy also won the title in 1968. Winning the 2024 edition would allow the Azzurri to tie Germany and Spain as the team with the most titles.

Regarding the qualifiers – yes, even the reigning champions have to play the qualifiers – Italy suffered much more than expected. First, they failed to win Group C, finishing six points behind England. They lost both matches against the Three Lions by a 5-2 aggregate.

Second, they advanced as runners-up thanks to the goal-difference because Ukraine also finished with 14 points. Even the defense had a bad performance by allowing nine goals in eight games, more than England and Ukraine.

The good news is that 11 different players scored at least one goal, which means we’re talking about a squad that truly believes in the teamwork concept. No big stars here, at least not at the level of the top four favorites.

 

Group of Death Makes Odds Longer

We already mentioned that Italy is +1400 to win the title. If you were looking for an underdog to include in your soccer picks, you won’t find a more tempting option. Yes, it’s time to call the Azzurri underdogs because even Portugal is ahead of them at +800.

Keep in mind that the Azzurri will face a very tough competition since the beginning because many consider Group B to be the Group of Death. Spain is the favorite to win it at -125 while Italy is +200 and Croatia is +450. Albania completes the group, which should be an easy victory, but let’s not forget that Italy didn’t qualify for the WC because North Macedonia won their playoff matchup.

You can also bet on Italy to reach the final at +600 or the semis at +300. After all, that would be exceeding expectations as well.

Individually, we’ve Barella (+3300) and Federico Chiesa (+4000) as the favorites to finish as the player with the most assists. But here’s a dark horse that you should keep in mind – Lorenzo Pellegrini at +8000.

 

 

Finally, Scamacca is +4000 to finish as the top scorer while Giacomo Raspadori is +5000. Go with Scamacca, who failed at the English Premier League but took advantage of a second chance in the Serie A and is highly motivated.

 

 

 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

 

Questions of the Day

What are the odds for Italy to finish bottom of Group B?


Italy is +1600 to finish bottom of Group B.

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