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Salernitana’s Woes to Continue Against Lazio

The first match of the weekend will see Salernitana host Lazio at the Stadio Arechi. Salernitana looked headed for a comfortable win after taking a two-goal lead within 17 minutes, only to cough up their advantage and draw 2-2 to Sassuolo. They sit last in the table with 5 points, three points behind Hellas Verona, four behind Cagliari and five away from automatic safety, and they are the only winless team in Europe’s top 5 leagues alongside Almería. Having scored just eight goals and conceded 24 goals – the joint-worst defense in Italy – it’s little wonder that the Las Vegas sportsbooks are quickly abandoning faith in the Granata. Salernitana decided to sack Paulo Sousa on October 10 and appoint Filippo Inzaghi, who has since guided them to a 2-2 draw against Cagliari, a 1-0 loss at Genoa, a 2-0 loss to Napoli, and the stalemate against Sassuolo. The betting lines reflect the club’s morbid form, with the Las Vegas Serie A odds putting them down as the overwhelming favorite to suffer relegation at -250.

As for Lazio, they have brushed off an underwhelming start and enjoyed an impressive October that saw them beat Atalanta, Sassuolo, Fiorentina and Celtic as well as lose to Feyenoord in the Champions League. They would lose 1-0 to Bologna before beating Feyenoord 1-0, their third straight match which featured just one goal, as Ciro Immobile took his tally to 200 goals in 311 appearances for Lazio, but he was kept under wraps in the following match, a goalless draw against Roma.

Salernitana’s Woes to Continue Against Lazio
Antonio Candreva celebrates after scoring during the Italian Serie A | Alberto PIZZOLI / AFP

On the back of their best season in two decades which saw them finish second in the table under Maurizio Sarri, the Biancocelesti have struggled to balance European football with Serie A, sitting 10th in the table, level on 17 points with Monza, one point behind Roma and Bologna, three points behind Atalanta and Fiorentina, and four behind Napoli, who occupy the final Champions League spot. However, they sit second in their Champions League group, one point behind Atlético Madrid and one point above Feyenoord, and they will be hosting Celtic on Tuesday before closing out their group stage campaign with a trip to Atleti. Anything less than three points would be a major disappointment, but the Serie A odds are in their favor as they look to continue Salernitana’s struggles. Salernitana finished 17th and avoided relegation by a point in 2021/22, their first Serie A season in 23 years, before placing 15th, finishing comfortably above the drop thanks to Boulaye Dia’s 16 goals, but today, they find themselves in grave danger of going down, and a ninth league defeat for the Garnets should be in your Serie A parlays for this weekend.

This will be an emotional match for many but perhaps none other than Claudio Lotito, owner and president of Lazio since 2004. Lotito took charge of Salernitana in 2011 after bankruptcy sent them down to the fourth tier, pouring a total of €42m into the club and regularly loaning them players from Lazio. However, when Salernitana secured promotion a decade later, he found himself in between a rock and a hard place. It is illegal for an one person or organization to own two Serie A clubs, and rather than arrange a sale immediately, Lotito left it until the final days of 2021. If he failed to find a new buyer by the time the new year kicked in, Salernitana would be thrown out of Serie A. Lotito, looked to make €70m from the deal, was forced to hand over control to local businessman Danilo Iervolino for just €10m.

 

Revenge is a dish best served cold, and that may very well be the case for Lotito, whose Lazio side has won three of their last four matches against Salernitana since their promotion in 2021. Whilst it may not be the blockbuster match of a weekend that will see second-placed Juventus host first-placed Milan, third-placed Milan host sixth-placed Fiorentina, and fifth-placed Atalanta host fourth-placed Napoli – who will be looking to kick off Walter Mazzarri’s second spell in charge with a positive result – Lazio vs. Salernitana is definitely worth adding to your Serie A betting predictions for this weekend. Moreover, I’m expecting it to be a fairly low-scoring result: apart from a 3-2 win against Atalanta on October 8, each of Lazio’s 15 matches this season have featured under 4.5 goals. You can double your money by successfully picking a Lazio win and under 4.5 goals, and there’s more than enough evidence to include this in your betting picks. Having kept four clean sheets in their last six, I’m backing Lazio’s strong defensive record to continue in their trip to Salerno.

Serie A Prediction: Lazio to win and under 4.5 goals (Even)

 

 

Question Of The Day

Which Serie A player is the most likely to score over 2.5 goals this weekend?


Ciro Immobile scored a brace in a 2-0 win the last time Lazio and Salernitana faced off, and after reaching 200 Lazio goals, he could have another key role to play in Saturday’s match.

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