An exciting Milan derby in the Champions League semi-final sees AC Milan and Inter Milan face off in the first leg in a game where home advantage means little. You can live bet on the UCL action by using our sportsbook.
AC Milan: Ups and Downs
The winner between AC Milan and its city rivals will win a place in the Champions League final early next month against Real Madrid or Manchester City in Istanbul.
The hosts, who deposed Inter as Italian champions last season but have since been toppled from their throne by their Champions League quarter-final victim Napoli, were runners-up in Group E during the first half of the campaign, improving on a group-stage exit in 2021, which came after a seven-year absence from the competition.
The seven times European champions eliminated Tottenham in the last 16 before frustrating a deflated Napoli side last month, winning 2-1 on aggregate against their Serie A champions. Milan’s most recent Champions League triumph came back in 2007.
Milan has a deep squad with strength in depth in multiple positions. Still, they have some undisputed first-choice players who are guaranteed to make an appearance in this marquee fixture barring any late injury worries. Milan selected a more conventional starting lineup for their 2-0 victory over Lazio at the weekend, with Olivier Giroud, Theo Hernandez, and Sandro Tonali all returning to the side.
According to Italian media, Milan star Rafael Leao is unlikely to be available for the first leg, so if you’re betting online, don’t expect too many goals from the hosts on Wednesday. Alexis Saelemaekers is the favorite to replace the Portuguese star. The Belgian has four goals in 33 appearances across all competitions this season, including two in six Champions League games.
Inter Milan: Great Run of Form
Inter Milan is currently in fourth and AC Milan in fifth, two points behind. Neither team has enjoyed a good Serie A campaign. Simone Inzaghi’s side enters this clash in better form after five wins in a row in all competitions and has only conceded once in that spell.
Since the 3-3 draw against Benfica that sealed their spot in the Champions League semi-finals, they have brushed aside Empoli, Lazio, Verona, and AS Roma by scoring 14 times. Their prowess in cup competitions cannot be doubted: As well as reaching the Coppa Italia final, where they will face Fiorentina later this month, Inter qualified from a tough Champions League group featuring Bayern Munich and Barcelona, eliminating the latter to set up a last-16 clash with Porto. They are in great form and we will continue to include them in our Champions League picks and parlays.
Like their semi-final opponents, Inter has kept three clean sheets in four knockout-round games, with goalkeeper Andre Onana playing an important role. Milan Skriniar and Robin Gosens will miss out due to injury, but Danilo D’Ambrosio could return to the squad after overcoming a muscular problem.
Milan vs Inter Head-to-Head
When Inter won the Serie A in the 2020-21 season, AC Milan came second. The reverse happened the next year when AC Milan toppled Inter. The two sides meet in the Champions League for the first time since 2015. It’s Inter who has had the better of recent head-to-head fixtures, winning three from the last five, including a 1-0 win back in February.
The visitors enter this clash on the back of five wins in a row, four of them without conceding, while they’re also unbeaten in seven competitive away games. Lautaro Martínez has scored four goals in Inter’s last three games, three times in the game’s last 15 minutes. Three of the last four encounters produced more goals before half-time than after.
Milan vs Inter Match Information
- Match: AC Milan (5-3-2) vs Inter Milan (5-3-2)
- Location: Stadio San Siro, Milan
- Day/Time: Wednesday, May 10, 3:00 p.m. ET
- AC Milan vs Inter Milan Live stream: fubo.tv
Milan vs Inter Betting Lines
Milan vs Inter Pick and Prediction
The visitors enter this clash as favorites, priced at +145 on the three-way moneyline according to the latest Champions League odds, while the goal line is set at two
This should be a cagey game, but Inter can put down a real marker by winning the first leg and carrying on their excellent recent form. We expect a low-scoring match, so whoever scores first should also win this fixture. Although there have been plenty of goals in the meetings recently, there’s too much at stake here for one of the two sides to go all in and risk getting knocked out just before the final.
Inter’s attacking line has recently started firing on all cylinders, and they should be able to pick up a positive result on Wednesday.