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Home » Soccer Betting » Soccer Picks and Parlays » AS Monaco vs PSV Predictions & Picks

AS Monaco vs PSV Predictions & Picks

AS Monaco Slightly Favored to Beat PSV in Europa League

Zack Robinson
Nov 3, 2021, 1:38pm ET
in Soccer Picks and Parlays
as monaco vs psv prediction

JEAN-FRANCOIS MONIER / AFP

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Real Sociedad (+2000), AS Monaco (+3000) and PSV (+4000) are among the top 10 favorites to win the UEL title. That’s why Group B was baptized as the Group of Death. That’s also why the second leg between Monaco and PSV is a match you don’t want to miss.

We’ve two great scenarios. In the first one, AS Monaco wins, remains unbeaten and puts one foot in the Round of 32. In the second one, PSV wins, meets Monaco at the top and both keep hopes alive. Real Sociedad will face Sturm, so there’s a good chance they’ll be joining the party at the top.

Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and soccer odds for AS Monaco vs PSV.

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Competition: UEFA Europa League

Location: Stade Louis II, Monaco

Time: Thursday, 1:45 p.m. ET

TV: beIN Sports

Live Stream: fuboTV

UEFA Europa League Betting Lines

Team Handicap Moneyline Over/Under Team Total
AS Monaco -½ +115 +115 2½ -135o 1½ Evo/-130u
PSV +½ -145 +220 2½ +105u 1½ +160o/-200u
Draw +270

Head to Head

  • Previous Matches: 7
  • AS Monaco Victories: 3 (8 goals)
  • PSV Victories: 2 (7 goals)
  • Draws: 2

 

The first leg ended with a surprising 2-1 victory for AS Monaco. It was surprising because Sofiane Diop scored the winning goal with one minute left on the clock. We had PSV winning at home, but our football prediction also included both to score and the total going over. That’s why it’s good to mix things up.

The second leg will be like a Final, meaning it will be a close one. But don’t worry, that doesn’t mean we won’t have plenty of scoring opportunities. Both sides have talent to spare on offense. Besides, who doesn’t want to win a final, right?

New Objectives

Last season, AS Monaco fought bravely and almost won the Ligue 1 title, but there will not be a repeat this year. They already are 14 points behind PSG, meaning they need a miracle to change things. They still have a chance to finish in the top four, though.

Precisely, finishing in the Ligue 1 top four and winning the UEL are their new main objectives. The good news is that they’ve what it takes with a balanced, talented roster and an experienced manager. Niko Kovac won pretty much everything with Bayern Munich.

Monaco is one of nine teams that hasn’t lost in the Group Stage of the UEL. They sit in Group B first place with seven points thanks to a 2-1-0 record, four goals for and two against. They own the fifth-best defensive record in the tournament.

In addition to winning in Eindhoven, they already got a draw in San Sebastian against Real Sociedad. That means they depend only on themselves to win the Group of Death.

They’ve been a productive soccer pick when playing at home. Including the Ligue 1 and UEFA competitions, they played in the Champions League Playoff round and own a 5-1-3 record. They also are 4-5 against the spread and 3-3-3 over/under.

Keep an eye on Caio Henrique. He leads the team in assists with two. Kevin Volland and Wissam Ben Yedder are the main attractions, but Henrique is the one making them look good.

Eye of the Tiger

PSV isn’t even favorites at home, thanks to Ajax, but its hope to win it all is still alive. They’re only two points behind Amsterdam’s team in the Eredivisie. They’ll start competing in the domestic cup in December. Last, but not least, regarding the UEL, they sit in third place in the Group of Death.

If they want to remain in the continental race, they need to keep winning on the road. Besides losing to Monaco at home, they also conceded a draw to Real Sociedad. That means they have to recuperate those points.

They own a 7-0-3 record when playing on the road. They beat Sturm 4-1 in their only UEL road game. Tempted to include them in your betting online ticket? I don’t blame you.

Manager Roger Schmidt can’t afford to leave Eran Zahavi on the bench, like he did in the first leg. Zahavi has scored eight goals in all competitions. With Cody Gakpo out due to injury, Carlos Vinicius should be his partner in crime. He scored his first two goals for PSV last weekend.

“Carlos is a good player. He always gives everything to help the team. He is a real fighter, and his work ethic is beyond reproach. The first goal is the most difficult but also the most important,” said Schmidt to the press, hinting he expects great things from the Brazilian striker.

Besides Gakpo, Davy Propper, Noni Madueke and Ryan Thomas are also out due to injury. German midfielder Mario Gotze won’t be available due to illness. Gakpo, Gotze and Madueke will be missed. Their absence is the short explanation for why they deserve to be underdogs.

Final Analysis, Predictions

Despite injuries, I expect PSV to put up a fight. They just crushed Twente 5-2 without them. Defensively, all their starters are ready to go, which is why I expect them to heavily rely on the counterattack. Zahavi and Vinicius are enough to make AS Monaco pay.

Regarding Monaco, they must go for the kill. A victory practically secures them a ticket to the next round. Don’t forget to check the props our sportsbook is offering for this and other games to increase your winning chances. Our score prediction is offering a +1100 price, while four exact total goals are +450.

Score Prediction: AS Monaco 2, PSV 2

Pick: Draw (+270)

BET THIS PICK: Draw (+270)
Tags: PSVSoccerUEFA Europa League
Zack Robinson

Zack Robinson

Zack Robinson is an experienced freelance writer/sports betting analyst who thinks and talks sports 24/7, that’s right, even when he sleeps. Zack has been writing insightful sports betting related articles for a decade and believes that every piece of information should be considered relevant, from the weather forecast to the stats, recent events, odds fluctuations and more; that’s why he makes sure to cover it all.

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