Juventus coming back from the dead means one of the Serie A powerhouses won’t qualify for the next edition of the UEFA Champions League. If the season ended today, that would be AS Roma. However, the Wolves can turn things around with a victory over AC Milan on Saturday. They’re slightly favored in the Serie A odds but keep in mind that Milan has six straight games without losing in all competitions.
AS Roma: Time to Regroup
Last Monday, AS Roma lost 3-1 to Atalanta, as we predicted. AS Roma won possession and even finished with more shots in total. On the other hand, Atalanta was pretty effective since it only took four shots on goal.
Now, AS Roma returns home for a crucial match, where it has been considerably better, winning its last three games in all competitions with a 10-1 aggregate. Plus, win or lose, it scored in each of its last 15 matches at Stadio Olimpico.
If Roma manages to win, it will depend only on itself to finish in the top four. That should be enough motivation to try and return to the winning column. The club offers +175 odds to win straight up.
If you need more reasons to consider including the Wolves in your Serie A picks, how about Paulo Dybala? Also known as La Perla, he leads the team in goals and assists with 11 and six. He’s the only player who has scored more than 10 goals. Tammy Abraham follows him with seven.
We’re talking about one of the top defensive squads in the league, finishing with a clean sheet in six of its last seven home games. That’s Jose Mourinho’s hand, no doubt about it.
AC Milan: On a Roll
After losing 3-1 to Udinese, AC Milan’s coaching staff made some adjustments, and now the the club is fourth in the Serie A and qualified for the UEFA Champions League semifinals for the first time since the 2006-07 season.
Most recently, it defeated Lecce 2-0 thanks to Rafael Leao’s brace. The Portuguese is on fire after scoring four goals in the team’s last four domestic games. He was also crucial for the Rossoneri to eliminate Napoli in the quarterfinals of the UCL despite not having the Serie A lines on their side.
Overall, AC Milan has scored 51 goals, enough to be the second top-scoring team in the league. Only Napoli scored more with 67. We’re also talking about a very good defensive team that finished with a clean sheet in four of its last six matches, twice against Napoli.
AC Milan comes in as the betting online underdog at +185. Its road record isn’t the best, 6-5-5, but it scored in seven of the last 10 games away from home.
AS Roma vs AC Milan Head-to-Head
The first meeting between AS Roma and AC Milan was a complete delight for all Serie A betting enthusiasts. AC Milan won the first half 1-0 thanks to a goal scored by Pierre Kalulu. It increased the advantage late in the second thanks to Tommaso Pobega, but AS Roma didn’t give up. Roger Ibanez and Tammy Abraham scored in a three-minute span to even the score.
Besides the total going over, the referee showed 10 yellow cards. That’s in case you like to mix things up by wagering on the props. The total for Saturday’s clash is set at two goals, with the over offering a -120 price in the sportsbook.
AS Roma vs AC Milan Match Information
- Match: AS Roma vs AC Milan
- Date/Time: Saturday, April 29 12:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- AS Roma vs AC Milan Live Stream: fuboTV
AS Roma vs AC Milan Betting Lines
AS Roma vs AC Milan Picks & Prediction
Yes, AS Roma has been considerably better at home, but that doesn’t mean it hasn’t suffered. In fact, five of the last eight matches at Stadio Olimpico finished with a one-goal difference. As for AC Milan, the Rossoneri are highly motivated after returning to Europe’s elite and a draw, precisely my online gambling recommendation, would allow them to at least remain in the top five.
The AS Roma are listed at 175 in our Vegas Serie A lines. This means that if you wager $100 on AS Roma, you have a chance to win $XX. The AC Milanare +185 , offering a chance to win $185 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives AS Romaa 36.36%chance to win, with AC Milan at 35.09%