Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Aston Villa: Improved Under Unai Emery

Aston Villa’s pursuit of their first top-half Premier League finish since 2010/11 continues on Friday at Villa Park against relegation-battling Leeds United. Unai Emery has taken charge of seven matches since his arrival at Villa, with the Spaniard boasting a record of three wins, one draw, and three defeats.

The team now has more time to focus on Premier League action after suffering a shock defeat, giving up a 1-0 lead to lose 2-1 at home against Stevenage in the FA Cup. Villa has lost six of their last nine Premier League games that were played on Friday, which hardly bodes well for its bid to maintain its four-game unbeaten run.

Villa’s scoring record has drastically improved upon Emery’s appointment, as witnessed by its average of 1.9 goals per Premier League match, so we will include them in our soccer picks and parlays. Villa will again be missing John McGinn on Friday due to a hamstring injury, while Diego Carlos is still recovering from a ruptured Achilles tendon. They will also be without the services of Leander Dendoncker following his red card against Stevenage.

Leeds: Disappointing Form

Leeds was held to a 2-2 away draw against Cardiff in the FA Cup on Sunday. The Whites were 2-0 down at halftime before Rodrigo and Sonny Perkins scored in the closing stages. It was Leeds‘s third consecutive draw in all competitions following the two Premier League draws against Newcastle and West Ham.

Jesse Marsch’s side sits 14th in the table, despite failing to win in 12 of their last 14 Premier League matches. Only two points are separating it from the relegation zone, so the team must be careful and start picking up points, but if you’re betting online, you should check its away record before backing the Whites.

With pressure mounting on Marsch after Leeds conceded at least two goals in four of their last five games across all competitions, Friday’s trip could get ugly. The Whites have the third-worst away record in the Premier League this season, picking up just five points from eight matches. Patrick Bamford has a chance of returning to the squad following injury, but Luis Sinisterra, Adam Forshaw, Archie Gray, and Stuart Dallas remain on the sidelines.

Aston Villa vs Leeds Head-to-Head

Leeds has not beaten Villa since a 3-0 success at Villa Park in October 2020, although two of the last four meetings have finished all square.

Villa has picked up four points from its last two league games, while Leeds hasn’t won a game since returning from the international break at the end of December. Both teams have scored in three of Aston Villa’s last four outings in league and cup, and the hosts have only kept two clean sheets in their last six attempts. Five of Leeds’ last six outings in all competitions have witnessed both teams scoring.

Aston Villa vs Leeds Match Information

• Match: Aston Villa (6-4-8) vs. Leeds (4-5-8)
• Location: Villa Park, Birmingham
• Day/Time: Friday, Jan. 13, 3:00 p.m. ET
• Aston Villa vs Leeds Live Stream: fubo.tv

Aston Villa vs Leeds Betting Lines

Aston Villa vs Leeds Picks & Prediction

The home team enters this clash as the favorite, priced at -105 on the three-way moneyline according to the latest soccer odds, while the goal line is set at 2½.

Leeds has the third-worst away record in the Premier League this season, picking up just five points from eight matches, but it will have one of its best players, Patrick Bamford, back in the squad, so we expect the team to find the back of the net on Friday. Aston Villa has seen at least four goals in three of its last four Premier League home games, so we’re backing the over and avoiding the moneyline.

The Villa are listed at -105 in our Vegas Premier League lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Villa, you have a chance to win $95. The United are +295, offering a chance to win $295 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Villa a 51.22% chance to win, with United at 25.32%.

Aston Villa vs Leeds Match Detail