Atletico Madrid could win the title this Sunday, all they need is a victory or draw against Osasuna plus a Real Madrid defeat at San Mames. If both Madrid teams win, the title race will go on until the last fixture.
Athletic Bilbao has nothing important to play for but winning at San Mames has never been easy. Let’s take a look at the latest team and player news, stats, injury reports and the La Liga Odds for Bilbao vs Madrid while making some predictions.
Game: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid
Location: San Mames Stadium, Bilbao
Time: Sunday, May 16, 12:30 p.m. ET
Television: beIN Sports
Live Stream: fuboTV
La Liga Betting Lines
| Team | Handicap | Moneyline | Over/Under | Team Total |
| Athletic Bilbao | +½ +145 | +425 | 2½ -125o | 1 +150o/-180u |
| Real Madrid | -½ -165 | -165 | 2½ +105u | 1½ -150o/+120u |
| Draw | +320 |
Head to Head
- Competitive Matches: 200
- Athletic Bilbao Victories: 62 (267 goals)
- Real Madrid Victories: 102 (384 goals)
- Draws: 36
The last time they met, Real Madrid won 3-1 thanks to a couple of goals from Karim Benzema and one more from Toni Kroos. Ander Capa scored for Athletic Bilbao, who played most of the game with 10 players after Raul Garcia was expelled 13 minutes into the match.
Athletic hasn’t defeated Real Madrid, in La Liga, since the 2014-15 season, but they managed to beat them 2-1 in the Spanish Super Cup Semifinals last January.
Madrid owns a 6-4-0 record in their last 10 La Liga games against Bilbao. They scored 17 goals, allowed seven, finished with a clean sheet four times and failed to score twice.
Their last encounter at San Mames finished 0-1 thanks to a Sergio Ramos’ penalty goal.
Why bet on Athletic Bilbao?
Athletic Bilbao has nothing to win, but also nothing to lose, and that could make them very dangerous. They lost just one of their last 10 domestic games, and check this out, they recently defeated Atletico Madrid and Sevilla.
They’ve scored 20 goals less than Real Madrid, but they own the sixth-best defensive unit in the league after allowing 39 goals in 36 games. Bilbao scored two goals in three of their last five games, and don’t forget they played the Copa del Rey final against Barcelona.
Their home record 8-6-4 is a lot better than their road record 3-7-8; they also are 7-8-3 against the sports betting spread and 8-7-3 over/under when playing at San Mames. Their last home defeat was in January against Barcelona.
Several players will not be able to suit up due to injury, including Iker Muniain, Inigo Vicente, Ander Capa and Yeray Lopez. Their expected lineup is Unai Simon, Inigo Martinez, Unai Nunez, Mikel Balenziaga, Oscar De Marcos, Ibai Gomez, Raul Garcia, Mikel Vesga, Jon Morcillo, Inaki Williams and Unai Vencedor.
Why Bet on Real Madrid?
It’s win-or-go-home for Real Madrid, because I don’t think Atletico Madrid will have problems beating Osasuna at home. Madrid regained some confidence after crushing Granada 4-1 last Thursday, but they know this is going to be a tougher match.
“We can only keep putting pressure on Atletico and hope they don’t win both of their games. We are close, there is no margin for error,” said goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois after the game against Granada.
Domestically, Real Madrid has 16 straight games without losing, but they drew in five of those games, and a draw is not enough here.
The injury-plague keeps being a problem, but manager Zinedine Zidane gave some young players an opportunity, including Marvin, Miguel Gutierrez, Rodrygo; and they responded very well.
Madrid owns an 11-6-1 record when playing on the road, 9-5-4 against the spread and 9-8-1 over/under.
Sergio Ramos, Raphael Varane, Lucas Vazquez and Dani Carvajal are out due to injury, while Marcelo and Ferland Mendy remain questionable. Their expected lineup is Thibaut Courtois, Alvaro Odriozola, Nacho, Eder Militao, Miguel Gutierrez, Luka Modric, Casemiro, Toni Kroos, Rodrygo, Eden Hazard and Karim Benzema.
Final Analysis and Predictions
Real Madrid will suffer, but they’re well aware of what they’re playing for, and this team is used to this kind of pressure. Athletic Bilbao will put on a fight, that’s for sure, and that’s why I think Madrid will have to settle for a 1-0 victory, more than enough to keep the title race alive.
Check the latest Soccer Props to predict the Correct Score and more. Our prediction is offering a +600 price.
Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 0, Real Madrid 1
