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Athletic vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

High Stakes at San Mames

Only a catastrophe could prevent Barcelona from winning the La Liga title, but that doesn’t mean the other teams don’t have something to fight for. For example, Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad aim to finish in the top six to qualify for a UEFA competition. Playing at home gives Bilbao some edge in the La Liga lines, but keep in mind that Sociedad has won more games on the road than at home.

Nothing Else Matters

Last week, Athletic Bilbao failed to turn things around in the semifinals of the Copa del Rey against Osasuna. Osasuna won the first leg 1-0, while the second finished 1-1. Bilbao tried everything and even won possession with 62%, finishing with 23 shots, but it wasn’t enough.

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Real Sociedad's Spanish midfielder Mikel Oyarzabal - ANDER GILLENEA / afp

Winning the domestic cup was the club’s top priority, but now it’s all about finishing in the top six of La Liga. Bilbao is currently seventh, five points behind Real Betis. The team that finishes sixth qualifies for the UEFA Conference League.

Athletic Bilbao is trying to build a non-losing streak in La Liga. After losing to Barcelona on March 12, it managed to bounce back by defeating Valladolid 3-1. Later, it drew 0-0 to Getafe. Most recently, it defeated Espanyol 2-1.

No player from Athletic Bilbao is among the league’s top scorers, but four of them have scored at least five goals. Oihan Sancet leads the way with eight, followed by Inaki Williams and Gorka Guruzeta with six. Finally, there’s Nico Williams with five. Not depending on a specific player is a huge advantage.

The four of them are also the main reason for Bilbao to come in as the La Liga betting favorite at +120, which is a great price for a team that finished with a clean sheet in five of its last 10 home games.

Road Warriors

Last Saturday, Real Sociedad returned to the winning column by defeating Getafe 2-0 at home. Mikel Oyarzabal and Takefusa Kubo were the scorers. They didn’t face much resistance. In fact, Real Sociedad won possession with 61% and finished with 11 shots, five more than the visitors.

Prior to that, it lost 2-0 to Villarreal on the road, but don’t worry, that’s not usual. Real Sociendad has only lost four of its last 15 games on the road, and that was its only defeat by more than one goal.

Real Sociedad doesn’t depend on specific players to score as well. Alexander Sorloth leads the way with nine goals, followed by Brais Mendez with seven and Kubo with six. There’s also Mikel Merino, who leads the league in assists with eight.

The clun is offering a +250 price in the La Liga odds to win straight up. Don’t forget we’re talking about fourth place, which makes it an even more tempting underdog.

Athletic vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head

Real Sociedad won the season’s first meeting, 3-1. Alexander Sorloth, Takefusa Kubo and Mikel Oyarzabal were the scorers. Playing with one more player for the last 30 minutes also helped. Yeray Lopez was sent off.

Things were completely different the last time Athletic Bilbao was the host. Bilbao was in control of the Las Vegas odds and crushed Real Sociedad 4-0. All four goals were scored in the second half.

The total has gone over in six of their last 10 encounters.

Athletic vs Real Sociedad Match Information

  • Match: Athletic vs Real Sociedad
  • Date/time: Saturday, April 15, 10:15 a.m. ET
  • Location: San Mames, Bilbao
  • Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Stream:

Athletic vs Real Sociedad Betting Lines

Athletic vs Real Sociedad Picks and Prediction

Yes, Real Sociedad is fourth with 11 points over Athletic Bilbao, but Bilbao has scored one more goal. Defensively, Real Sociedad has conceded 26 goals, while Bilbao has conceded 29. In other words, we’re talking about two very similar teams. Considering that and what will be on the line, our online gambling recommendation is to bet on the draw.

Real Sociedad is listed at +250 in our Vegas La Liga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Real Sociedad, you can win $250. Bilbao is +120, offering a chance to win $120 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Real Sociedad a 28.57% chance to win, with Bilbao at 45.45%.

Athletic vs Real Sociedad Match Detail

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