After losing a crucial game to Barcelona two months ago, Atletico Madrid is 4-3-0. That non-losing streak has allowed Los Colchoneros to get back into the La Liga top-three race. That’s also the main reason the club comes in as the La Liga betting favorite to defeat Sevilla on Saturday. Los Rojiblancos won’t be easy prey, though. Losing could make them fall into the relegation zone.
Atletico Madrid: Not Missing Felix
After the 2022 World Cup, Joao Felix asked Atletico Madrid for a trade. He was sent to Chelsea and the club hasn’t missed him, not for a single minute. Los Colchoneros have scored in each of their last seven matches, becoming one of the top-scoring teams in the league.
On Saturday, Athletico Madrid visited Real Madrid and snatched a point, drawing 1-1, despite finishing the match with one less player. Angel Correa was sent off. Atletico almost pulled off the stunner, but Alvaro Rodriguez saved the day for Real Madrid five minutes before the end.
With Felix gone, Antoine Griezmann and Alvaro Morata took over the attacking unit. Each has scored seven goals, enough to be the team’s top scorers. There’s also Angel Correa, who has scored five.
Defensively, Atletico Madrid has conceded 18 goals. During its non-losing streak, no team has been able to score more than one goal against it, while four didn’t score at all. Overall, only Barcelona has conceded fewer goals, with eight.
Regarding the soccer odds, Atletico Madrid is offering a -145 price. A fair line, considering the club is 5-3-3 at home, meaning it has struggled a little.
Sevilla: Bad Luck
Last Sunday, the soccer lines were on Sevilla’s side, but Los Rojiblancos lost 3-2 to Osasuna. Fernando Reges scored an own goal and Osasuna scored the winning goal five minutes before the end of the match. Reges was sent off in stoppage time.
The good news is that Youssef En-Nesyri scored again. The 25-year-old is the team’s top scorer with four goals, scoring all of them over the last five matches. He also scored against Osasuna in the Copa del Rey and PSV in the UEFA Europa League. The man is on fire!
Sevilla is 2-4-5 when playing on the road, but it defeated Villarreal, the team sitting in seventh place, and managed to draw against Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano, the teams sitting in fifth and sixth place.
This time, Sevilla is offering a +455 price in the sportsbook to win straight up. We’re talking about a team playing in the UEL, meaning the talent is there.
🇲🇦👑🕺 𝘋𝘪𝘦𝘨𝘰 𝘈𝘳𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘥𝘰 @ennesyri9.@SevillaFC ❤🤍#LaLigaSantander | #LaLigaHighlights pic.twitter.com/B9dK4ijY1T
— LaLiga (@LaLiga) March 1, 2023
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 174
- Atletico Madrid Victories: 65 (261 goals)
- Sevilla Victories: 54 (244 goals)
- Draws: 55
Los Colchoneros had no trouble fulfilling their role as betting online favorites in the first meeting between the two. Atletico won 2-0 with Marcos Llorente and Alvaro Morata as the scorers. Sevilla won possession with 61%, but the visitors were lethal on the counterattack.
That was Atletico’s third victory over Sevilla in their last 10 encounters, while Los Rojiblancos won two. The total has gone under in seven of their last 10 meetings. In other words, you can expect a close contest.
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Match Information
- Match: Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla.
- Date/Time: Saturday, March 4th, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid
- Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Live Stream: fubo.tv
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Betting Lines
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Picks and Prediction
Besides the 17-point gap, there’s another huge difference between the two: Atletico Madrid is only playing in one competition. That means finishing in the La Liga top three is all it has left, while Sevilla could still win the UEL. That being said, I expect the home side to get the three points. However, I don’t expect a blowout. Three of Atletico’s last four victories were by one goal, and I expect that online gambling trend to continue.
The Madrid are listed at -145 in our Vegas La Liga lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Madrid, you have a chance to win $69. The Sevilla are +455, offering a chance to win $455 on a $100 wager. The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Madrid a 59.18% chance to win, with Sevilla at 18.02%.
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla Match Detail
