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Don’t Bet on Bolivia: Why You Should Fade Them in Copa America

It has been 27 years since Bolivia reached the Copa America Final, only to lose 3-1 to Brazil in La Paz. It may as well have been 270 years – since then, Bolivia has been eliminated from the group stage in eight out of nine tournaments, winning one match, drawing eight, and losing 20.

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Don't Bet on Bolivia: Why You Should Fade Them in Copa America
Bolivar's midfielder Ramiro Vaca-Raul ARBOLEDA / AFP

Bolivia has not won a Copa America match since 2015 when they beat Ecuador 3-2. Across the next three tournaments, they would lose 10 out of 10 matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 26. They have lost 16 of their last 20 matches across all competitions, and it seems that another early exit is on the cards for Bolivia, who won their only Copa America in 1963.

In contrast to the various star-studded teams in this year’s tournament, nearly every single player in their squad is playing in the Bolivian league, while only three of their players are plying their trade in Europe. All in all, this lack of top-level experience could prove fatal in their attempts to escape Group C.

What Can We Expect From Bolivia in Copa America?

The nickname of the Bolivia national team is “La Verde”, or The Green. For fans of La Verde, things are usually greener on the other side. No matter what, there’s almost always something that happens at the last minute that throws their plans into disarray. This time, Bolivia will not have 16-year-old Moisés Paniagua available, who has scored 7 goals and 2 assists in 56 appearances for Always Ready, emerging as one of the finest talents in the country. The reason? His father is not in Bolivia and cannot sign his permission slip to travel to the U.S. and attend the tournament.

Bolivia will also be without their all-time leading scorer and all-time leading appearance maker Marcelo Martins Moreno, who retired from soccer in 2023. It leaves a gaping void: one that could be filled by Ramiro Vaca. He’s scored 5 goals and 6 assists in Bolivar’s last 17 matches, and he could have a big role to play this summer for Antonio Carlos Zago’s side.

 

Betting on Bolivia? Think Again

Bolivia’s nickname may as well be Never Ready given their recent woes in the competition, and it’s clear that the the betting odds are not in their favor as they look to go far in the States.

The sportsbook is backing them at -1000 to get eliminated in the group stage, and on paper, they are certainly the weakest team in the group. Bolivia will kick off their tournament by facing the hosts on June 23 before taking on Uruguay and Panama. It seems increasingly likely that Uruguay will finish atop their group, and after winning five of their last six matches vs. La Verde, Uruguay should make quick work of Bolivia.

As for the other two sides, Panama has been making a name for themselves in recent years, making it to their first-ever World Cup in 2018 and narrowly losing to Mexico in the 2021 Gold Cup Final. The United States boasts an uber-talented setup featuring the likes of Christian Pulisic, Folarin Balogun, and Giovanni Reyna, and they should have more than enough firepower to sink Bolivia in their tournament opener.

If you’re planning to bet on Copa America, bet on Bolivia finishing bottom of Group C at -120 odds.

 

 

Questions Of The Day

Which team is likely to lose all of their matches in Copa America?


Bolivia have lost each of their last 10 matches in the Copa America, and we’re backing that trend to continue in the U.S.

Who is likely to finish as Bolivia’s top scorer in Copa America?


Ramiro Vaca has scored two of Bolivia’s last four goals, and we’re backing him to have a big role to play for La Verde this summer.

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