Napoli is currently third in the Serie A with 14 points, 16 goals for and six against. Fiorentina is currently fifth with 14 points, 15 goals for and 10 against. Both are on a four-game non-losing streak and two of the league’s top scorers will collide in this match. I think it’s more than fair to call this the Game of the Week. And yes, it’s time to make some soccer expert picks.
Napoli Back on Track
After a rocky start, Napoli won its last two Serie A games with an 8-1 aggregate. First, they defeated Udinese 4-1 and, most recently, Lecce 4-0. Yes, midweek, they lost to Real Madrid, but the UEFA Champions League is a topic for another day.
Domestically, Napoli has a +10 goal difference. Only Inter Milan has a better one with +16. Victor Osimhen has a lot to do with that. He’s Napoli’s top scorer with five goals and is last season’s Golden Boot winner. In case you want to include a prop in your Serie A betting ticket, Osimhen scoring at any time is the way to go.
Napoli has lost just one of their last eight Serie A matches at home. And even when they lost, they managed to score, scoring two or more goals in four of their last five games at Diego Maradona Stadium.
Fiorentina’s Defense Needs to Improve
Fiorentina is fifth. Curiously enough, only Inter Milan and Napoli have scored more goals than them, but no other team in the top 10 has conceded more. On average, they concede 1.4 goals per game.
Most recently, they defeated Bologna 3-0, but Napoli is way better than Bologna. Here’s a better comparison. Fiorentina already visited Inter Milan and lost 4-0. I don’t expect another blowout, but the point is that they’ve struggled when playing on the road.
— ACF Fiorentina English (@ACFFiorentinaEN) October 2, 2023
Individually, you should keep an eye on Nicolas Gonzalez, who has scored four goals. He’s the main reason to consider wagering on Fiorentina at +425 Serie A odds.
Low Winning Margin
Last season, Napoli defeated Fiorentina at Diego Maradona Stadium 1-0. Osimhen scored the winner from the penalty spot during the second half. Four of the last five meetings between these two finished with a draw or a victory by only one goal.
In addition, Fiorentina failed to score in three of their last five meetings. That’s why I don’t expect the total to go over three goals. Napoli is determined to bounce back and will not allow a single goal. Go ahead and include the under in your betting online ticket.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Betting Odds
Napoli vs Fiorentina Match Information
- Match: Napoli (4-2-1) vs Fiorentina (4-2-1)
- Date: Sunday, Oct 8
- Time: 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Diego Maradona Stadium, Naples
- Napoli vs Fiorentina Live Stream: Fubo.tv
Napoli vs Fiorentina Serie A Betting Predictions
Again, I don’t expect a blowout, but I do expect Napoli to win comfortably. Midweek, Fiorentina struggled a lot to draw 2-2 against Ferencvaros at home. They had to make an extra effort that, physically, will also make the difference on Sunday. Napoli will get the three points thanks to a 2-0 victory.