While Chelsea and Aston Villa haven’t lost in their last three English Premier League games, both are nine points behind Newcastle, the team sitting in fifth place.
For Chelsea, which comes in as the soccer betting favorite for Saturday’s clash, finishing the season out of the top five would be embarrassing. For Aston Villa, finishing in the top 10 would be more than welcome. Summing up, it will be a thrilling afternoon at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea: Talent to Spare
Prior to the international break, Chelsea drew 2-2 to Everton at home. Good thing we advised you to wager on the over. Chelsea had the three points in the pocket, but Ellis Simms scored the equalizer in the 89th minute. That was very unfortunate since Chelsea controlled the match from start to end, winning possession with 69% and finishing with seven shots on goal, four more than the Toffees.
What’s more impressive is that the following players didn’t start: N’Golo Kante, Trevoh Chalobah, Mijailo Mudryk, Noni Madueke, Marc Cucurella and Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
Despite being ninth in the EPL, Chelsea will face Real Madrid in the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League. So we’re talking about an extremely talented team that just needs to be more confident.
Chelsea controls the soccer lines thanks to a -160 price, which isn’t a bad deal considering they’re 6-4-3 when playing at Stamford Bridge. Plus, it finished with a clean sheet in three of its last five EPL home games.
Aston Villa: Great Defense
After losing 4-2 to Arsenal, which was expected, Aston Villa is 3-1-0. Most recently, it defeated Bournemouth 3-0 on March 18, with Douglas Luiz, Jacob Ramsey and Emiliano Buendia as the scorers, finishing with 20 shots in total.
The Villagers also did a great job in their last two road games. First, they defeated Everton 2-0. Later, they drew 1-1 to West Ham United. That was the only goal they conceded in their last four matches since they also defeated Crystal Palace 1-0 at home.
Offensively, Buendia is on fire, but you should also keep an eye on Oliver Watkins, the team’s top scorer with nine goals. They’re the main reason to consider including the visitors in your soccer picks, especially at +470.
Regardless of the result, the Villagers scored in each of their last six road games, something to consider when betting online.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head
- Previous Matches: 160
- Chelsea Victories: 66 (252 goals)
- Aston Villa Victories: 59 (227 goals)
- Draws: 35
Chelsea won the first meeting between the two at Villa Park. The Blues scored the opener only six minutes into the game and sealed the deal in the second half.
Aston Villa has only won one of the last 10 meetings but always puts up a good fight, with the total going over in seven of those matches. According to the Las Vegas soccer odds, the total for Saturday’s game is set at 2½ goals.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Match Information
- Match: Chelsea vs Aston Villa
- Date/Time: Saturday, April 11th 2:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Stamford Bridge, London
- Chelsea vs Aston Villa Live Stream: fubo.tv
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Betting Lines
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Picks & Prediction
The first game after an international break is always tricky, but I have no doubt this is going to be a thrilling match. First, Chelsea is finally getting back on track, including Joao Felix, who’s starting to prove its worth. Second, Aston Villa isn’t easily intimidated. It already put up a good fight against other members of the Big Six. That’s why my online gambling recommendation is to wager on the over.
The Chelsea are listed at -160 in our Vegas Soccer lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Chelsea, you have a chance to win $63. The Aston Villa are +470, offering a chance to win $470 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Chelsea a 61.54% chance to win, with Aston villa at 17.54%