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Croatia vs Spain Prediction, Match Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
The 2023 UEFA Nations League will reach its climax this weekend, with the final between Croatia vs Spain taking place on Sunday. You can live bet on the Nations League action by using our sportsbook.
Croatia: Amazing Semis
Croatia moved a step closer to a first-ever major trophy after coming from behind to beat the Netherlands 4-2 in the UEFA Nations League semi-final at De Kuip in Rotterdam. Bruno Petkovic put Zlatko Dalic’s men in front nine minutes into extra-time, and captain Luka Modric put the game out of reach for the Netherlands by converting from the spot in the second period.
It will be just the second time that Croatia has appeared in a major final. Croatia might have finished second and third in the last two World Cups, but coach Zlatko Dalic insisted that reaching this weekend’s Nations League finals is a considerable achievement for his team. The golden generation that reached a World Cup semi and final are still impressive in their silver years, and it would be fitting if they delivered their nation’s first trophy.
Luka Modric and Co. would certainly deserve it, having topped a group containing France, Denmark, and Austria before dumping the Netherlands in their own backyard in the semis. Andrej Kramaric led the line well for Croatia in the semi-final and got himself on the scoresheet with a penalty. Modric was the maestro again in midweek and will pull the strings for Croatia again in the final. We won’t include them in our soccer picks and parlays, but we expect them to find the back of the net.
Spain: Attacking Firepower
Spain knocked Italy out of the UEFA Nations League at the semi-final stage for the second successive time in the tournament, running out 2-1 winners at De Grolsch Veste. Following their disappointing defeat to Scotland in just his second game in charge, Spain head coach Luis de la Fuente couldn’t have asked for a better start.
The winning goal was what Spain deserved after dominating for a clear majority of the match, and the three-time European champions will now face Croatia on Sunday for the Nations League’s third-ever crown. This will give them a lot of confidence after a shaky start to the year. Spain must continue this improvement to beat Croatia in the final.
Alvaro Morata missed a sitter for Spain against Italy but chances always seem to fall his way, and the Atletico Madrid striker will fancy his chances of grabbing a goal in the final. If you’re betting online and love props, you should back him here. Luis de la Fuente is expected to play with the same starting lineup, with Manchester City’s Rodri being the brain from the midfield.
Croatia vs Spain Head-to-Head
Spain has won four of their seven finals. They enter this clash as favorites, despite being ranked three places behind Croatia in FIFA’s rankings, but with two wins across the last three mutual encounters, Spain may be quietly confident. Croatia’s Andrej Kramaric has directly contributed to five goals from as many games for club and country following his second-half equalizer in the semi-final. All four goals scored across the two Nations League finals to date came in the second half.
Croatia vs Spain Match Information
- Match: Croatia (5-1-1) vs Spain (4-2-1)
- Day/Time: Sunday, June 18, 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: De Kuip, Rotterdam
- Croatia vs Spain Live Stream: fubo.tv
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Croatia vs Spain Betting Lines
Croatia vs Spain Picks and Prediction
Spain enters this clash as favorites, priced at +100 on the three-way moneyline according to the latest soccer odds, while the total is set at 2½.
Sunday’s final will likely be the last chance for several Croatia players to win silverware, and they will be eager to get the job done. Spain will undoubtedly have plenty of possession against Croatia but will hope it does not take them as long to break down their stubborn defense. Claiming the Nations League crown would represent the perfect start for the new Spain boss, overseeing just his fourth game in this final after two wins and a shock defeat against Scotland in his opening trio of games.
The Spain are listed at +100 in our Vegas sport lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Spain , you have a chance to win $100. The Croatia are +270, offering a chance to win $270 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Spain a 50.00% chance to win, with Croatia at 27.03%.
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