While Napoli won the Serie A title weeks ago, second, third, and fourth place are still up for grabs. All Lazio needs to do to finish second is defeat Empoli, and according to the latest Serie A odds, it shouldn’t have too much trouble. However, keep in mind that Empolo has been considerably better at home. Plus, they’ll play without any pressure.
Empoli: Nothing to Lose
Prior to the start of the season, Empoli’s main goal was to avoid relegation. Since they already met expectations, they’ve nothing to lose. That has been their mentality over the last month, not losing once in five matches.
Most recently, they drew 1-1 to Hellas Verona on the road. Prior to that, they crushed Juventus 4-1 at home, with Francesco Caputo as Man of the Match after scoring a brace.
Eight of Empoli’s 10 victories were at home. That includes winning four of the last five with a 10-3 aggregate. They lost to Inter Milan, a highly motivated team on the verge of winning the UEFA Champions League.
Empoli’s attacking duo deserves a special mention. We’re talking about Caputo and Nicolo Cambiaghi, who have scored six goals each. I know that’s not a lot, but we’re talking about a team that has only scored 37 goals.
Regarding the Serie A lines, the home side is offering a +250 price to win straight up.
Lazio: Top Defense
Lazio is one of the most balanced teams in the Serie A. They own the second-best defensive unit, conceding 30 goals in 37 games. Only Napoli, the team atop the standings, has conceded less with 28.
The attacking unit is led by Ciro Immobile, who has scored 12 goals. There are also Mattia Zaccagni and Felipe Anderson, who have scored 10 and nine.
Most recently, Lazio defeated Cremonese 3-2 at home, with Elseid Hysaj and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic as the scorers. Savic leads the team in assists with eight.
Lazio is 10-4-4 when playing on the road, losing two of their last 10 road games and finishing with a clean sheet six times.
Empoli vs Lazio Head-to-Head
The first meeting between these two ended up being a goal-fest. Felipe Anderson scored the opener for Lazio only two minutes into the game. The team increased its advantage at the beginning of the second half thanks to Mattia Zaccagni. But Empoli never gave up, evening the score thanks to Francesco Caputo and Razvan Marin, who scored in the 83rd and 90th minute.
That was the second draw in their last 10 encounters, while Lazio won seven and Empoli one. The total has gone over in their last three meetings. For Saturday’s clash, the total is set at three goals, with the over offering a +120 price in the sportsbook.
Empoli vs Lazio Match Information
- Match: Empoli vs Lazio
- Date/Time: Saturday, June 3, 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Carlo Castellani, Empoli
- Empoli vs Lazio Live stream: fubo.tv
Empoli vs Lazio Betting Lines
Empoli vs Lazio Picks and Prediction
Yes, Empoli has nothing to play for, but the club wants to finish the season with a victory in front of its fans. On the other hand, finishing second would be huge for Lazio, especially regarding the draw of the UEFA Champions League. Therefore, I expect both teams to score and a victory from the betting online favorites.
Lazio is listed at +100 in our Vegas Serie A lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Lazio, you have a chance to win $100. The Empoli is +250, offering a chance to win $250 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Lazio a 50.00% chance to win, with Empoli at 28.57%.